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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?" Event volume totals $57M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Gadi Eizenkot" at 54.7%, with top volume on "Benjamin Netanyahu" at 28.0% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in October?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 93.8% and $5M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Fed Decision in October? - No change
$5M
Highest implied
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? - October 27
98.8%
Top priced
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? - October 27
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu leads the desk at 28.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Benjamin Netanyahu visits new border wall section , touts anti - drone capabilities
Benjamin Netanyahu visits new border wall section , touts anti - drone capabilities. The most serious act of treason : Naftali Bennett condemns Benjamin Netanyahu over Qatargate. Netanyahu calls Trump by far , the greatest friend Israel has ever had.
Sources: jpost.com, jpost.com, middleeasteye.net
Chichester care home Cornelius House rated outstanding
Chichester care home Cornelius House rated outstanding. 6 HBO Miniseries Endings That Are Genuine Masterpieces. Brighton cocktail company Tipsy Parties seeks bartenders.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in October? - No change leads the desk at 93.8% with $5M traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin slips under $80 , 000 as traders de - risk ahead of Fed meeting
Bitcoin slips under $80 , 000 as traders de - risk ahead of Fed meeting. Japan Benchmark Bond Yields Rise Ahead of BOJ and Fed Decisions. Sterling Holds Near $1 . 3373 as FXStreet Flags $1 . 3420 Hurdle.
Sources: coindesk.com, econotimes.com, econotimes.com
B4
Lead market: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $1.75–$2.0T leads the desk at 32.0% with $50K traded.
Lead stories
3 Important Things to Know About AI Giant Anthropic Ahead of Its Possible November IPO
3 Important Things to Know About AI Giant Anthropic Ahead of Its Possible November IPO. 3 Important Things to Know About AI Giant Anthropic Ahead of Its Possible November IPO. 3 ETFs That Could Include Anthropic After Its IPO in October.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 4.2% with $55K traded.
Lead stories
Elon Musk Grok releases first AI - generated Odyssey episode
Elon Musk Grok releases first AI - generated Odyssey episode. Matthew Perry docuseries , Minions & Monster to The Gilded Age : Movies and series to stream this week. Elton John to wonderful husband David Furnish : I love you with all my heart.
Sources: arynews.tv, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, ianslive.in
B6
Lead market: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.3% with $71K traded.
Lead stories
Top cryptocurrency White House adviser announces departure from the administration
Top cryptocurrency White House adviser announces departure from the administration. Top cryptocurrency White House adviser announces departure from the administration. New bull for Bitcoin – Citigroup changes the game with a $113 , 000 price target.
Sources: komonews.com, wcyb.com, bankingnews.gr
B7
Lead market: Timberwolves leads the desk at 52.0% with $476K traded.
Lead stories
Timberwolves vs . Cavaliers Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26
Timberwolves vs . Cavaliers Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26. Timberwolves vs . Heat Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 21. Timberwolves vs . Heat Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 21.
Sources: wone.iheart.com, 1230thegambler.iheart.com, kxno.iheart.com
Pacers vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26
Pacers vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26. Pacers vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 26. Pacers vs . Bucks Injury Report – Oct . 26 | Sports Talk 790AM.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.3% with $19K traded.
Lead stories
Cupola Lower Carbon LLLP and SWCorp Malaysia Establish Strategic Collaboration to Advance Low - Carbon Solid Waste Ma.... Cyclonic Storm Arnab Forms Over Bay of Bengal , Set to Strike Andhra Coast as Very Severe Cyclone. Coalition eyes climate , housing money to fund tax cuts.
Sources: manilatimes.net, pragativadi.com, examiner.com.au
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$122K
Sources: theargus.co.uk, collider.com, theargus.co.uk
Wars and the oil blockades may be waiting for Xi party congress
Wars and the oil blockades may be waiting for Xi party congress.
Sources: article.wn.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu at 28.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu.
Lead event
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? - Benjamin Netanyahu
Trading at 28.0% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Top volume: Benjamin Netanyahu | 28.0% | $2M
Top odds: Gadi Eizenkot | 54.7%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Top volume: Republican Party | 9.0% | $988K
Top odds: Democratic Party | 93.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Xi Jinping out before 2027?) | 3.7% | $452K
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume & odds: Democrats Sweep | 66.0% | $321K
14.7%
—
$14M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $717M
Presidential election
Event volume $720M
OpenAI 2026 Revenue Estimate Just Got Cut by $20 Billion . Anthropic Quarterly Revenue Just Climbed to $16 . 8 Billion .. NYC Comptroller Levine urges Anthropic to pause US IPO , CNBC reports. Investors temper Anthropic IPO valuation expectations over revenue growth slowdown , sources say.
Sources: fool.com, aol.com, dunyanews.tv
Oil Prices Fall Monday After Six - Month Highs
Oil Prices Fall Monday After Six - Month Highs. Sensex falls 134 points , Nifty slips below 22 , 600 amid crude oil prices and West Asia tensions.
Sources: en.shafaqna.com, ibtimes.co.in
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in October? - No change at 93.8% with $5M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in October? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 93.8% | $5M
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 95.0% | $63K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $115 | 3.3% | $52K
Top odds: ↓ $100 | 84.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 12.0% | $47K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GameStop acquire eBay?) | 6.0% | $28K
Popular events
OpenAI resumes frontier AI training after security overhaul , discloses flaw in widely used software. Visa sharpens its identity for the AI shopping era. Elon Musk Pushes Beyond Cars as Tesla Weighs SpaceX Merger.
Sources: thehindu.com, marketing-interactive.com, observer.com
Two Customers Account for a Fifth of Anthropic Revenue , a Concentration Risk IPO Buyers Should Know
Two Customers Account for a Fifth of Anthropic Revenue , a Concentration Risk IPO Buyers Should Know. Two Customers Account for a Fifth of Anthropic Revenue , a Concentration Risk IPO Buyers Should Know. Two Customers Account for a Fifth of Anthropic Revenue , a Concentration Risk IPO Buyers Should Know.
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $1.75–$2.0T at 32.0% with $50K traded.
Top volume remains in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $1.75–$2.0T.
Lead event
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $1.75–$2.0T
Trading at 32.0% with $50K in volume.
Event leaders
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Top volume & odds: $1.75–$2.0T | 32.0% | $50K
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Top volume: Anthropic | 9.1% | $26K
Top odds: Google | 86.5%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 19.0% | $15K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 96.6%
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 2.5% | $13K
Top odds: December 31, 2028 | 30.0%
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 95.0% | $9K
Christians , stop promising hurting friends it will get better. Birmingham contaminated Mamba tragedy as devastated sister pleads dont risk your lives. Republic Bank wins Climate Finance award.
Sunny Deol Suryaa : Ant Se Aarambh Tak song brings Udit Narayan and Kumar Sanu together after 21 Years ; Suniyo Zara.... Three Playwrights Explain Why Live Theater Makes Horror Even More Terrifying. 6 HBO Miniseries Endings That Are Genuine Masterpieces.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, theatermania.com, collider.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 4.2% with $55K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 4.2% with $55K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 4.2% | $55K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.2% | $22K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 63.0% | $13K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 8.5% | $8K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93.0%
Bitcoin wealthy holders are moving from trading to private banking , Xapo CEO says. Strategy Inc Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock ( NASDAQ : STRC ) Plans Dividend of $0 . 03.
Sources: coindesk.com, themarketsdaily.com
How Much of Your Portfolio Should Be in Bitcoin After JPMorgan 10 % Forecast ?
How Much of Your Portfolio Should Be in Bitcoin After JPMorgan 10 % Forecast ?. Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ? | The Motley Fool. Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ?.
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes at 4.3% with $71K traded.
Top volume remains in Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 4.3% | $71K
Popular events
Jerome leads Memphis against Golden State after 45 - point game
Jerome leads Memphis against Golden State after 45 - point game. Grizzlies open season against Jazz as Jaren Jackson Jr . returns to Memphis. Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies game preview.
Sources: abc7news.com, fox13memphis.com, slcdunk.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Timberwolves at 52.0% with $476K traded.
Top volume remains in Timberwolves.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 52.0% | $476K
Top volume & odds: Pacers | 83.0% | $276K
Popular events
Cyclone Arnab : Over 4 , 800 fishing vessels return safely to Kakinada coast
Cyclone Arnab : Over 4 , 800 fishing vessels return safely to Kakinada coast. Workers continue to restore power to homes hit by Storm Boelo. Workers continue to restore power to homes hit by Storm Boelo.
Sources: thehindu.com, chelmsfordcitynews.co.uk, burnhamandhighbridgeweeklynews.co.uk
Typhoon Champi leaves one dead , hundreds injured in Taiwan
Typhoon Champi leaves one dead , hundreds injured in Taiwan. Typhoon Champi leaves one dead , hundreds injured in Taiwan. Typhoon Champi leaves one dead , hundreds injured in Taiwan.
Sources: sierraleonetimes.com, sandiegosun.com, philippinetimes.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.3% with $19K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.3% | $19K
Popular events
+$19,666
+$18,442
+$15,773
Kalshi via Jupiter
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