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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 2.7% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in October?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 95.0% and $555K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k
$0
Highest implied
98.9%
Top priced
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Brazil Presidential Election - Flávio Bolsonaro leads the desk at 83.1% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Meta tells Brazil electoral court it treats Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro equally ahead of Sunday vote
Meta tells Brazil electoral court it treats Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro equally ahead of Sunday vote. Meta tells Brazil electoral court it treats Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro equally ahead of Sunday vote. Meta tells Brazil electoral court it treats Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro equally ahead of Sunday vote.
Sources: baltimoresun.com, orlandosentinel.com, bostonherald.com
Guide for New Jersey residents to register to vote in upcoming elections
Guide for New Jersey residents to register to vote in upcoming elections. Former President Barack Obama to visit Cleveland for midterm rally. Obama assails cruelty and indecency from Trump ahead of midterm.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in October? - No change leads the desk at 95.0% with $555K traded.
Lead stories
Reuters Poll Finds All 100 Economists Expect December Fed Rate Increase
Reuters Poll Finds All 100 Economists Expect December Fed Rate Increase. Bond traders are backing off Fed rate hike bets here what it means for mortgage rates. Breitbart Business Digest : Wall Street Is Daring Kevin Warsh to Raise Interest Rates.
Sources: econotimes.com, aol.com, breitbart.com
B4
Lead market: Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T leads the desk at 19.5% with $39K traded.
Lead stories
1 % Of Companies Account For 80 % Of OpenAI And Anthropic Spending - And It Just Stalled
1 % Of Companies Account For 80 % Of OpenAI And Anthropic Spending - And It Just Stalled. New Phishing Attack Promises Claude Max , but Steals Your Google Credentials Instead. Not Palantir . Not Snowflake . This AI Software Stock Could Be the Biggest Winner of 2027 ..
Sources: zerohedge.com, cnet.com, aol.com
Will Anthropic pull off a November IPO ? Time is running out to file key paperwork .
Will Anthropic pull off a November IPO ? Time is running out to file key paperwork ..
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 4.9% with $67K traded.
Lead stories
Jagun Jagun 2 Set to Raise the Bar as New Faces Join Cast – THISDAYLIVE
Jagun Jagun 2 Set to Raise the Bar as New Faces Join Cast – THISDAYLIVE. Titan box office collection day 2 : Jayasurya , Vinayakan film earns Rs 1 . 00 cr in India ; Friday collection falls.... Inside Nicole Kidman red - hot renaissance at age 59.
Sources: thisdaylive.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, pagesix.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 70,000 leads the desk at 40.0% with $171K traded.
Lead stories
Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ? | The Motley Fool
Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ? | The Motley Fool. Is Bitcoin a Buy Right Now ?. What Happened to Uptober ? Bitcoin May Be Down in October , But Here Are 3 Reasons to Remain Bullish on BTC ..
Top cryptocurrency White House adviser announces departure from the administration
Top cryptocurrency White House adviser announces departure from the administration. Top cryptocurrency White House adviser announces departure from the administration. New bull for Bitcoin – Citigroup changes the game with a $113 , 000 price target.
B7
Lead market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Kylian Mbappé leads the desk at 16.5% with $897K traded.
Lead stories
Bayern star leads picks for Ballon dOr but Yamal , Mbappé keep race open
Bayern star leads picks for Ballon dOr but Yamal , Mbappé keep race open. Ballon d’Or 2026 : Organisers keep winner to chest - Blueprint Newspapers Limited. Ecuador Willian Pacho Eyes Ballon dOr on 26 October.
Sources: thenationonlineng.net, blueprint.ng, riotimesonline.com
Heat vs . Hornets Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24
Heat vs . Hornets Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24. Heat vs . Hornets Predictions , Odds & Stats – Oct . 24 | 1049 Fox Sports Upstate. Heat vs . Hornets Time , TV & Stream – Oct . 24.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.4% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive – Orange County Register. Super Typhoon Champi Update : Storm Cancels Over 1 , 000 Flights as Taiwan Braces for Extreme Rain. Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive | Dan Walters | Dan - walters.
Sources: ocregister.com, ibtimes.co.uk, lompocrecord.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.8%
$256
Sources: fox5ny.com, whio.com, wmur.com
News | CEI. Serbia Votes Sunday After Student Protests. Court of appeal.
Sources: cei.int, riotimesonline.com, global.chinadaily.com.cn
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Brazil Presidential Election - Flávio Bolsonaro at 83.1% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Brazil Presidential Election - Flávio Bolsonaro.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 83.1% | $1M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: Republicans Sweep | 8.0% | $845K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 66.0%
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Top volume & odds: Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | 72.0% | $498K
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Top volume: October 31 | 83.0% | $293K
Top odds: October 28 | 90.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Xi Jinping out before 2027?) | 3.3% | $261K
15.7%
-0.2pp
$14M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $716M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $719M0%
Gold and silver price today , October 20 : Check rates of 24K , 22K gold in Delhi , Mumbai , Kolkata other cities. Fast Approaching The BREAKING POINT. BI holds rate despite seeing hawkish Fed stance - Regulations.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, shtfplan.com, thejakartapost.com
Inflation Is Running Hotter Than Expected . That Could Be Bullish for Bitcoin .
Inflation Is Running Hotter Than Expected . That Could Be Bullish for Bitcoin .. DC voters to decide whether a controversial luxury food should be banned. Gold Just Fell Below $4 , 000 After Its Worst Week in Five Months.
Sources: fool.com, nbcwashington.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in October? - No change at 95.0% with $555K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in October? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 95.0% | $555K
Top volume & odds: 25 bps increase | 77.0% | $85K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 96.7% | $68K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 12.0% | $53K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 78.0% | $40K
Popular events
Sources: morningstar.com
Anthropic $80 . 7B loss highlights AI industry financial risks ahead of blockbuster IPO – NaturalNews . com. Selling Gas Twice : Venture Global Courts Qatar While Plotting A $160 Billion AI Power Empire.
Sources: naturalnews.com, zerohedge.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T at 19.5% with $39K traded.
Top volume remains in Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T.
Lead event
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) - $2.0–$2.25T
Trading at 19.5% with $39K in volume.
Event leaders
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Top volume: $2.0–$2.25T | 19.5% | $39K
Top odds: $1.75–$2.0T | 30.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Top volume & odds: Google | 90.0% | $18K
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 65.0% | $10K
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 80.0% | $9K
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 17.0% | $4K
Top odds: December 31, 2027 | 66.0%
Truth Is Not a What , but a Who. ASK AUGUSTINE - Times Republican. Sharing your faith : practical tips for evangelism.
Dutch football team celebrates Stranraer links with tartan kit
Dutch football team celebrates Stranraer links with tartan kit. Matt Damon Gritty James Bond Replacement Is Officially Streaming on Netflix. Judge allows Cornell Jane Doe to keep pseudonym in Chi Phi case.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, collider.com, foxnews.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 4.9% with $67K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 4.9% with $67K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 4.9% | $67K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.3% | $7K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 57.0% | $3K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 6.0% | $2K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0%
Sources: komonews.com, wcyb.com, bankingnews.gr
What Happened to Uptober ? Bitcoin May Be Down in October , But Here Are 3 Reasons to Remain Bullish on BTC .. Bitcoin Cash vs Litecoin : Which Payment Coin Has More Upside in 2026 ?. Inflation Is Running Hotter Than Expected . That Could Be Bullish for Bitcoin ..
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 70,000 at 40.0% with $171K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 70,000.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 3.5% | $55K
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
Top volume: ↓ 78,000 | 4.6% | $45K
Top odds: ↓ 80,000 | 48.0%
Popular events
Wizards vs . Raptors final score : Washington loses 112 - 102 to Toronto
Wizards vs . Raptors final score : Washington loses 112 - 102 to Toronto. Caleb Wilson , Bulls bid to pick up steam vs . Wizards. Caleb Wilson , Bulls bid to pick up steam vs . Wizards.
Sources: bulletsforever.com, 921theticket.com, z93jamz.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Kylian Mbappé at 16.5% with $897K traded.
Top volume remains in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Kylian Mbappé.
Event leaders
Popular events
Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive – Daily Bulletin. Californian support for cutting carbon emissions wanes as new climate warnings arrive | Dan Walters | Dan - walters. Tone - deaf Tice mocked again over juvenile climate change jibe - Left Foot Forward : Leading the united kingdom prog....
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports for this desk.
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.4% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.4% | $2K
Popular events
+$19,666
+$13,859
+$12,050
Kalshi via Jupiter
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