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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 2.8% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in October?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 85.0%, with top volume on "25 bps increase" at 16.0% and $457K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? - December 31, 2026
$0
Highest implied
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.8%
Top priced
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the desk at 14.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
ECI tells HC no Khairatabad bypoll until election petition ends
ECI tells HC no Khairatabad bypoll until election petition ends. Longtime Lumby mayor runs in municipal and provincial elections - Okanagan. B . C . Conservative MLA candidate name to appear on Burnaby civic election ballot | Daily Hive.
Sources: siasat.com, globalnews.ca, dailyhive.com
20 Iranian oil tankers stranded off Sri Lanka as supplies run short - Breaking News
20 Iranian oil tankers stranded off Sri Lanka as supplies run short - Breaking News. 20 Iranian oil tankers stranded off Sri Lanka as supplies run short - Breaking News. Rubio Kicks Iran Diplomats Out After They Overstayed Their Welcome.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase leads the desk at 16.0% with $457K traded.
Lead stories
Should you wait until after the September Fed meeting to invest in gold ?
Should you wait until after the September Fed meeting to invest in gold ?. Commentary : The Fed credibility depends on resisting politics , not playing it. Small CPI surprise could trigger big Fed rate decision.
Sources: cbsnews.com, timesleader.com, finance.yahoo.com
B4
Lead market: Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? - December 31, 2027 leads the desk at 11.0% with $228K traded.
Lead stories
Citing a Vacuum , Governors Plan Bipartisan Push on AI
Citing a Vacuum , Governors Plan Bipartisan Push on AI.
Sources: newser.com
Google Gemini desktop app for Windows released
Google Gemini desktop app for Windows released. Google - parent Alphabet unveils Gemini 4 flagship AI model : Check features , release date , Gemini 3 . 5 Pro scrapped. Hallelujah , there finally a Gemini app for Windows.
Sources: fonearena.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com,
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 1.3% with $29K traded.
Lead stories
Who Is That Water For ? The Soldiers …
Who Is That Water For ? The Soldiers …. 1 year ago today : 4 killed , several injured in shooting , fire at Grand Blanc Township church. Viral Video Comparing Bible Quotes And Socialism Belief.
Sources: newswithviews.com, clickondetroit.com, buzzfeed.com
Trump taps Musk to help kill people in war
Trump taps Musk to help kill people in war. Instagram Is For Girls : Elon Musk. Greg Abbott backscratching with Elon Musk exposes GOP power trifecta : legal analyst.
Sources:
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 45,000 leads the desk at 3.5% with $224K traded.
Lead stories
Why Does the Price of Bitcoin Keep Going Up ? The Answer Might Surprise You .
Why Does the Price of Bitcoin Keep Going Up ? The Answer Might Surprise You .. Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin After a 32 % Rally in Two Months ?. Bitcoin Crossed $85 , 000 on Cooler Inflation Data , Then Lost It the Same Day . Why Does Bitcoin Keep Failing at $85....
Sources: fool.com, 247wallst.com, 247wallst.com
B7
Lead market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal leads the desk at 38.9% with $66K traded.
Lead stories
Joao Pedro : Chelsea boss Xabi Alonso says striker like Karim Benzema and as good as Erling Haaland
Joao Pedro : Chelsea boss Xabi Alonso says striker like Karim Benzema and as good as Erling Haaland. Ranking the 2026 Ballon dOr contenders : Do Harry Kane astonishing numbers give him the edge ?. Champions League briefing : Ballon dOr contenders dazzle , a 12 - minute hat - trick and a two - man canoe.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, nytimes.com, nytimes.com
Emily Moffitt and For Sale 6 Make WEF Comeback
Emily Moffitt and For Sale 6 Make WEF Comeback.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 1.9% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We )
When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We ).
Sources: fas.org
Savannah : Isaias impacts. Pacific health voices call for climate finance and action ahead of COP31. Florida woman flood proofs home with berm , pipes , pumps and portable barriers.
Sources: wjcl.com, pina.com.fj,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$10
Sources: dailymirror.lk, dailymirror.lk, breitbart.com
US prepares military for possible new Iran strikes , Trump yet to decide
US prepares military for possible new Iran strikes , Trump yet to decide. Trump says Iran war almost over , open to direct talks. US imposes new sanctions on Iran auto , rail , manufacturing , steel sectors – Pajhwok Afghan News.
Sources: business-standard.com, samaa.tv, pajhwok.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 14.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
Lead event
Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Trading at 14.0% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Top volume: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 14.0% | $2M
Top odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 85.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: October 15 | 12.0% | $420K
Top odds: December 31 | 48.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 17.0% | $336K
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Top volume: James Talarico | 2.1% | $329K
Top odds: JD Vance | 19.9%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: R Senate, D House | 28.0% | $315K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 64.0%
Popular events
15.1%
—
$13M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $710M
Presidential election
Event volume $715M
Trump says that Iran wants a Strait of Hormuz deal because theyre dying. Trump says that Iran wants a Strait of Hormuz deal because theyre dying. Trump says that Iran wants a Strait of Hormuz deal because theyre dying.
Sources: komonews.com, wcti12.com, katu.com
Friday CPI inflation report is even more important than usual . Here what to expect
Friday CPI inflation report is even more important than usual . Here what to expect. Fed Meets Next Week To Confront Rising Inflation Pressures. This is the test : All eyes on US Fed to tackle high inflation.
Sources: cnbc.com, aol.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase at 16.0% with $457K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 19.0% | $172K
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Top volume: December 31 | 11.0% | $34K
Top odds: March 31, 2027 | 29.0%
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2027 | 10.0% | $31K
Top odds: December 31, 2029 | 22.0%
Popular events
3 Important Things to Know About AI Giant Anthropic Ahead of Its Possible November IPO
3 Important Things to Know About AI Giant Anthropic Ahead of Its Possible November IPO. 3 Important Things to Know About AI Giant Anthropic Ahead of Its Possible November IPO. 3 ETFs That Could Include Anthropic After Its IPO in October.
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? - December 31, 2027 at 11.0% with $228K traded.
Top volume remains in Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? - December 31, 2027.
Lead event
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? - December 31, 2027
Trading at 11.0% with $228K in volume.
Event leaders
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2027 | 11.0% | $228K
Top odds: December 31, 2028 | 28.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Top volume: October 15 | 57.0% | $15K
Top odds: October 31 | 88.0%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Top volume: $1.5–$1.75T | 7.9% | $14K
Top odds: $2.0–$2.25T | 28.3%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Top volume & odds: Google | 70.0% | $9K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$4.0T | 7.8% | $6K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 94.0%
Everything Coming to Netflix in October 2026
Everything Coming to Netflix in October 2026. Demon Slayer : Infinity Castle Gets A New Surprise 2026 Release. HBO Max New # 1 Movie Is One Of The Year Biggest Horror Successes.
Sources: ign.com, gamerant.com, screenrant.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 1.3% with $29K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.3% | $29K
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
Top volume & odds: 500+ | 14.1% | $23K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 55.0% | $17K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 2.9% | $14K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 5.1% | $4K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 96.0%
Is Bitcoin a Good Investment Right Now After a 42 % Quarter ?. Bitcoin Price Forecast : Fed Shock and BTC Levels. Michael Saylor Strategy buys Bitcoin again as surprise rally pushes price above $85 , 000.
Sources: aol.com, coinspeaker.com, finance.yahoo.com
Circle Launches BTC - Backed USDC Borrowing
Circle Launches BTC - Backed USDC Borrowing. These Cryptocurrencies Have Become Wall Street Favorites and Deserve a Place in Your Portfolio. Polygon Stablecoin : Can Crypto Checkout Win Over Merchants ?.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, fool.com, coinspeaker.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 45,000 at 3.5% with $224K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 45,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Top volume: ↓ 65,000 | 4.8% | $120K
Top odds: ↑ 82,500 | 89.0%
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 61.0% | $45K
Top odds: $100M | 98.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 3.0% | $11K
Popular events
Joe Week 4 NFL Picks - Joe Always Wrong – 106 . 7 The Eagle
Joe Week 4 NFL Picks - Joe Always Wrong – 106 . 7 The Eagle. Dallas Cowboys , Suki Waterhouse featured in this week To - Do List. NFL Week 4 betting : Odds , lines and totals for every game.
Sources: eaglesanantonio.com, theshorthorn.com, abc7.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal at 38.9% with $66K traded.
Top volume remains in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal.
Event leaders
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Top volume: Tampa Bay Rays | 24.4% | $22K
Top odds: Los Angeles Dodgers | 44.0%
Popular events
Vol $33K
A Pacific island will be swallowed by the sea within decades . Is Ireland paying attention ? – The Irish Times. Savannah : 98 - year - old helps neighbors clean up after Matthew.
Sources: irishtimes.com, wjcl.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 1.9% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 1.9% | $4K
Popular events
+$19,666
+$10,744
+$8,646
Kalshi via Jupiter
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