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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $286M across outcomes, with $378 traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.1% and $72 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in October?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 83.0% and $958K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$0
Highest implied
F1 Constructors' Champion - Mercedes
98.7%
Top priced
F1 Constructors' Champion - Mercedes
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads the desk at 44.0% with $817K traded.
Lead stories
Brazil election : U . S .- China rivalry and government debt loom large
Brazil election : U . S .- China rivalry and government debt loom large. Brazil launches probe into alleged Trump administration plan to fund far - right causes in the country. Brazil investigates reported Trump funding for campaign against Supreme Court.
Sources: cnbc.com, euronews.com, thenews.com.pk
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in October? - No change leads the desk at 83.0% with $958K traded.
Lead stories
Fed October Odds : Hold Hits 66 %, but Is a Hike Just Delayed ?
Fed October Odds : Hold Hits 66 %, but Is a Hike Just Delayed ?. Trump Could Target Three Fed Governors. ETMarkets Smart Talk : Rupee under pressure , inflation sticky : Will RBI be forced to rethink rates ? Ankita Pathak....
Sources: coinspeaker.com, politicalwire.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Fed policymakers lean against October rate hike
Fed policymakers lean against October rate hike. Dollar hits 17 - month high : Greenback headed for three week gaining streak as bond rout drags euro. Dollar at 17 - month high as global bond rout hits euro.
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of October? - Anthropic leads the desk at 38.0% with $76K traded.
Lead stories
BigBear . ai vs . IonQ : Weighing Whether to Invest in the Artificial Intelligence Company or the Quantum Computing G....
Sources: fool.com
Google Enters Cyber AI Race With Gemini 4 Argon
Google Enters Cyber AI Race With Gemini 4 Argon. Google unveils Gemini 4 Argon with coding and security capabilities. OpenAI says three staffers fired for mishandling sensitive info.
Sources: ,
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 2.8% with $166K traded.
Lead stories
Baththa box office collection day 1 : Vijay Sethupathi film earns Rs 1 . 50cr ; opens at 24 % occupancy. Why Raunchy R - Rated Comedy Rolling Loud : The Movie Has A Teenage Boy Credited For Its Story. Eraserheads : Combo on the Run wins Best International Director Award at New York Limehof Music Documentary Film Fest....
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, cinemablend.com, manilatimes.net
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↑ 87,500 leads the desk at 72.0% with $132K traded.
Lead stories
Here What a $500 Investment in Bitcoin Could Be Worth by 2030
Here What a $500 Investment in Bitcoin Could Be Worth by 2030. Citi Raises Bitcoin Price Target to $113 , 000 on ETF Optimism. AI Predicts BTC as Bitcoin Beats Gold and Stocks Again.
Sources: aol.com, econotimes.com, coinspeaker.com
Fed October Odds : Hold Hits 66 %, but Is a Hike Just Delayed ?
Fed October Odds : Hold Hits 66 %, but Is a Hike Just Delayed ?. Transaction in own shares | Company Announcement. 10 - Year Treasury Yield Nears 6 %: 4 Bitcoin Signals.
Sources:
B7
Lead market: Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal leads the desk at 49.5% with $121K traded.
Lead stories
UNL : Brazil legend , Marcelo reacts as Cristiano Ronaldo leaves Portugal national team camp
UNL : Brazil legend , Marcelo reacts as Cristiano Ronaldo leaves Portugal national team camp. Messi Acquires Second Spanish Club – THISDAYLIVE. Ronaldo Portugal future in doubt after walkout.
Sources: dailypost.ng, thisdaylive.com, ewn.co.za
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.7% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We )
When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We ).
Sources: fas.org
Nouryon brings U . S . solar project online at Morris , Illinois , facility
Nouryon brings U . S . solar project online at Morris , Illinois , facility. Home ReSource opens new interactive solar display , begins new fall project. Chicago joins lawsuit over EPA power plant emissions rule.
Sources: manilatimes.net, nbcmontana.com,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Opinion : Why U . S . Democrats cant stop Trump tariffs in Canada. Opinion : Why U . S . Democrats cant stop Trump tariffs in Canada. Opinion : Why U . S . Democrats cant stop Trump tariffs in Canada.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, bnnbloomberg.ca, bnnbloomberg.ca
US imposes new sanctions on Iran auto , rail , manufacturing , steel sectors – Pajhwok Afghan News
US imposes new sanctions on Iran auto , rail , manufacturing , steel sectors – Pajhwok Afghan News. Iran War : US Sends Thousands of Troops as Trump Warns Tehran Over Flydubai Incident. Iran denies report on Araghchi offer to restore nuclear inspections for sanctions relief.
Sources: pajhwok.com, jagranjosh.com, moneycontrol.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 44.0% with $817K traded.
Top volume remains in Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
Lead event
Brazil Presidential Election - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Trading at 44.0% with $817K in volume.
Event leaders
Top volume: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 44.0% | $817K
Top odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 56.6%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: Republicans Sweep | 7.0% | $315K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 65.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 17.0% | $191K
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Top volume & odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 76.0% | $182K
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Top volume: Republican Party | 8.0% | $179K
Top odds: Democratic Party | 93.0%
Popular events
15.5%
—
$13M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $709M
Presidential election
Event volume $712M
Philippine govt urged to adopt South - East Asian models to curb fuel prices
Philippine govt urged to adopt South - East Asian models to curb fuel prices. August trade surplus positive for external resilience : BI. Three arrested in alleged used cooking oil thefts in Hampton.
Sources: thestar.com.my, en.antaranews.com, wmur.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in October? - No change at 83.0% with $958K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in October? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 83.0% | $958K
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 11.0% | $62K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 96.3% | $18K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GameStop acquire eBay?) | 6.0% | $18K
Popular events
Broadcom to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to lease its chips , filing says
Broadcom to lend Anthropic up to $42 billion to lease its chips , filing says. OpenAI says three staffers fired for mishandling sensitive information. OpenAI says three staffers fired for mishandling sensitive info.
Sources: dunyanews.tv, moneycontrol.com, thestar.com.my
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of October? - Anthropic at 38.0% with $76K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of October? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of October? - Anthropic
Trading at 38.0% with $76K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Top volume: Anthropic | 38.0% | $76K
Top odds: Google | 63.2%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$4.0T | 7.0% | $15K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 94.0%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 54.0% | $15K
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 56.3% | $4K
Holiness Revival Movement Brings Call For Righteousness , Heaven and Biblical Truth to Liberia
Holiness Revival Movement Brings Call For Righteousness , Heaven and Biblical Truth to Liberia. Franklin Graham on bringing the Gospel to Manchester. United Christian Broadcasters | Christian Media Charity.
Sources: frontpageafricaonline.com, christianpost.com, ucb.co.uk
Amazon Already Has The Perfect Story For A James Bond TV Show
Amazon Already Has The Perfect Story For A James Bond TV Show. Monday , September 7 , 2026 - Jamaica Observer. Paramount+ 2 - Season Spy Thriller Series Beat Amazon To James Bond.
Sources: screenrant.com, jamaicaobserver.com, screenrant.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 2.8% with $166K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 2.8% with $166K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 2.8% | $166K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.4% | $29K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 96.0% | $3K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume & odds: 1 | 74.0% | $2K
Popular events
New men centre in Kalumburu aimed at reducing domestic violence
New men centre in Kalumburu aimed at reducing domestic violence.
Sources: abc.net.au
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↑ 87,500 at 72.0% with $132K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in October? - ↑ 87,500.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Top volume: ↑ 87,500 | 72.0% | $132K
Top odds: ↓ 82,500 | 78.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 90,000 | 69.0% | $63K
What price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4?
Top volume: ↓ 78,000 | 1.3% | $39K
Top odds: ↑ 86,000 | 28.0%
Popular events
TNA Impact results ( 10 / 1 ): Powell review of Mustafa Ali and Special Agent Zero vs . The Great Hands , Moose vs .....
Sources: prowrestling.net
OCA says E - sports will continue to be a medal sport at Asian Games
OCA says E - sports will continue to be a medal sport at Asian Games. Man Utd , Arsenal and Liverpool learn fate as Premier League announce Christmas schedule.
Sources: prokerala.com, aol.co.uk
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal at 49.5% with $121K traded.
Top volume remains in Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Lamine Yamal.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Lamine Yamal | 49.5% | $121K
Popular events
US states and cities sue over Trump EPA repeal of emissions rules | US Environmental Protection Agency. Greenhouse gases hit record levels in New Zealand atmosphere , new data shows. $25M for the Ocean : How Jeff Bezo Climate Giving Compares With Amazon Emissions.
Sources: theguardian.com, nzherald.co.nz, newsweek.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.7% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.7% | $4K
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 14–16 | 62.0% | $0
Popular events
+$10,744
+$8,646
+$1,755
Kalshi via Jupiter
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