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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $286M across outcomes, with $4K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Abiy Ahmed" at 96.4% and $3K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in October?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "25 bps increase" at 63.0% and $168K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$0
Highest implied
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $200M
98.6%
Top priced
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $200M
98.6%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - September 30 leads the desk at 13.0% with $155K traded.
Lead stories
Miliband tells Iran minister united kingdom will not tolerate hostile activity on British soil
Miliband tells Iran minister united kingdom will not tolerate hostile activity on British soil. UAE bars Iranian airlines as US sanctions squeeze Iran aviation sector | Aviation News. IRANIAN INFIGHTING ERUPTS : IRGC - Linked Outlet Accuses Foreign Minister Of Unauthorized Witkoff Meeting.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, aljazeera.com, theyeshivaworld.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase leads the desk at 63.0% with $168K traded.
Lead stories
There a reason Trump is the only one talking about 1 % interest rates
There a reason Trump is the only one talking about 1 % interest rates. U . S . Treasury Yields Stay Near Multiyear Highs in Asian Trade. As Bessent Muscles Bank of Japan , the Fed and European Central Bank Set Their Own Courses.
Sources: bworldonline.com, morningstar.com, theamericanconservative.com
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI leads the desk at 7.0% with $6K traded.
Lead stories
SpaceXAI to Double Nvidia Chips at Colossus 2 by Year - End
SpaceXAI to Double Nvidia Chips at Colossus 2 by Year - End. ChatGPT or Claude ? For just $40 , you can ask them both ( and many others ).. OpenAI to preview GPT - 6 amid growing AI security fears and rogue agent breaches.
Sources: econotimes.com, mashable.com, thenews.com.pk
OpenAI to preview GPT - 6 Cyber within days : Report
OpenAI to preview GPT - 6 Cyber within days : Report. OpenAI set to preview cybersecurity - focused GPT - 6 AI model within days. OpenAI To Preview GPT - 6 Cyber Within Days : Report.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 3.6% with $37K traded.
Lead stories
No vegetables at home ? Chef Ranveer Brar sev tamatar sabzi recipe is perfect for when your pantry is low on supplies. Bollywood alone is not cinema : Devkanya Thakur. Mirzapur The Movie Box Office : Film collects Rs . 1 . 44 cr on Day 21 , total reaches Rs . 207 . 69 cr.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, tribuneindia.com, bollywoodhungama.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in September? - ↑ 90,000 leads the desk at 9.0% with $58K traded.
Lead stories
Coinbase CEO : Did Bitcoin Bottom Out on July 1 ? Here Why He Optimistic About the Next Two Years
Coinbase CEO : Did Bitcoin Bottom Out on July 1 ? Here Why He Optimistic About the Next Two Years. Macro headwinds push Bitcoin to $82 . 9K despite historical 365 - day breakout pattern. US Treasury Yields Hit Multi - Decade High as BTC Steadies and ONDO Rallies.
Sources: 247wallst.com, coindesk.com, cointelegraph.com
B7
Lead market: EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City leads the desk at 25.0% with $450K traded.
Lead stories
Edmonton Public Library touts partnership with Dolly Parton initiative
Edmonton Public Library touts partnership with Dolly Parton initiative. Angels fans rejoice online and in person after learning of team sale – Redlands Daily Facts. Angels fans rejoice online and in person after learning of team sale – Whittier Daily News.
Sources: edmontonjournal.com, redlandsdailyfacts.com, whittierdailynews.com
B8
Lead market: How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? - 11–13 leads the desk at 22.0% with $364 traded.
Lead stories
A month after Nepal - China floods , families await answers about more than 50 missing Ukrainians
A month after Nepal - China floods , families await answers about more than 50 missing Ukrainians. A month after Nepal - China floods , families await answers about more than 50 missing Ukrainians. A month after Nepal - China floods , families await answers about more than 50 missing Ukrainians.
Sources: ksat.com, clickondetroit.com, news4jax.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Lula says Trump wants to colonise and capture Brazil resources by meddling in election | Brazil.
Sources: theguardian.com
Mary Peltola Campaign in Alaska Senate Race Is Rocked by Tumult , With Angry Outbursts and Slurs
Mary Peltola Campaign in Alaska Senate Race Is Rocked by Tumult , With Angry Outbursts and Slurs. Senate rejects resolution to halt the Iran war as gas prices upend midterms. Senate to Vote on Resolution to Halt the Iran War as Gas Prices Upend Midterms.
Sources: nytimes.com, latimes.com, military.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - September 30 at 13.0% with $155K traded.
Top volume remains in US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - September 30.
Lead event
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? - September 30
Trading at 13.0% with $155K in volume.
Event leaders
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: September 30 | 13.0% | $155K
Top odds: December 31 | 64.1%
Top volume & odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 55.8% | $71K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 14.0% | $69K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?) | 7.0% | $64K
Popular events
14.9%
—
$13M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $708M
Presidential election
Event volume $709M
EU foreign policy chief to Araghchi : Navigation must be free , unimpeded. BREAKING : U . S . AND IRAN EXPLORE PHASED HORMUZ DEAL - Investment Watch Blog. Saudi Arabia Sells 100 Million Barrels of Crude to Asia via Hormuz.
Sources: middleeasteye.net, investmentwatchblog.com, oilprice.com
EDITORIAL : Central bank bucks the trend
EDITORIAL : Central bank bucks the trend. Fed Paulson says modest further rate increases may be needed. Fed Officials Dont Sound Done Hiking Interest Rates.
Sources: taipeitimes.com, spokesman.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase at 63.0% with $168K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: 25 bps increase | 63.0% | $168K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 28.0% | $161K
Top volume & odds: Yes (US recession by end of 2026?) | 10.0% | $101K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $110 | 2.5% | $31K
Top odds: ↑ $95 | 75.0%
Popular events
Sources: thehindu.com, business-standard.com, deccanchronicle.com
Google : AI Model Hacked Companies In Cybersecurity Tests
Google : AI Model Hacked Companies In Cybersecurity Tests. Google Gemini hacked three companies in first known AI breakout. Google Gemini breached three real companies during May cybersecurity test , first known AI model breakout · Digg.
Sources: mediapost.com, rediff.com, digg.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI at 7.0% with $6K traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI
Trading at 7.0% with $6K in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Perplexity AI | 7.0% | $6K
Top odds: PayPal | 30.0%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 74.0% | $4K
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
Top volume: September 30 | 3.2% | $4K
Top odds: October 31 | 77.0%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume & odds: ↑$1.5T | 92.0% | $3K
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 96.6% | $793
Who Is That Water For ? The Soldiers …
Who Is That Water For ? The Soldiers …. Viral Video Comparing Bible Quotes And Socialism Belief. Mission News | Biltmore Church Baptizes Record 458 People at Annual Outdoor Serv.
Sources: newswithviews.com, buzzfeed.com, christianitydaily.com
Aamir Khan to receive Screen Icon Award at Singapore International Film Festival
Aamir Khan to receive Screen Icon Award at Singapore International Film Festival. Aamir Khan to receive Screen Icon Award at Singapore International Film Festival. Vibe Full Movie Collection : VIBE box office collection day 7 : Kunal Kemmu and Preity G Zinta film earns Rs 90 lakhs....
Sources: hindustantimes.com, tribuneindia.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 3.6% with $37K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 3.6% with $37K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.6% | $37K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.8% | $8K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 2 | 26.0% | $3K
Top odds: 1 | 73.0%
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Top volume: September 30, 2026 | 1.6% | $2K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 14.0%
Popular events
SonicStrategy Inc .: SonicStrategy Acquires 500 , 000 SYN Tokens , Expanding Treasury Exposure to On - Chain Derivatives. New men centre in Kalumburu aimed at reducing domestic violence. AP News Summary at 11 : 59 a . m . EDT.
Sources: finanznachrichten.de, abc.net.au, richmondregister.com
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Tuesday , September 1 , 2026 : Crypto prices falling as inflation concerns persist. Current price of Ethereum for Sept . 4 , 2026. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Breaks Higher as $2 , 631 Support Puts $3 , 520 Target in Focus.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fortune.com, bravenewcoin.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in September? - ↑ 90,000 at 9.0% with $58K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in September? - ↑ 90,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Top volume: ↑ 90,000 | 9.0% | $58K
Top odds: ↑ 85,000 | 71.0%
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 66.0% | $54K
Top odds: $200M | 98.6%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 3.1% | $23K
Popular events
Veltkamp throws 5 TD passes , Rogers kicks 60 - yard FG to help FAU top Navy. For the Record : The American has an octopus , a 58 - yard debut , and 3 - year quest for one tackle. Austin Peay State University Volleyball Heads to Tennessee Tech for Golden Eagle Invitational - Clarksville Online -....
Fox Live TV Schedule & Listings Guide
Fox Live TV Schedule & Listings Guide. Why Is The NFL Season Starting On A Wednesday This Year ?. Why Is The NFL Season Starting On A Wednesday This Year ?.
Sources: screenrant.com, 970kfbx.iheart.com, 95wxtk.iheart.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City at 25.0% with $450K traded.
Top volume remains in EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Navy | 68.0% | $155K
Top volume & odds: Kimi Antonelli | 90.5% | $29K
Popular events
EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester City
Vol $450K
Vol $155K
SCVNews . com | California Cuts Climate Emissions As Economy Keeps Growing. Updated Oʻahu climate plan says resident choices key to curbing emissions. 150 Renewable Projects Approved , Real Change Delivered.
Sources: scvnews.com, hawaiipublicradio.org, miragenews.com
County to wage weekly battle on ground squirrel population at Flood Park
County to wage weekly battle on ground squirrel population at Flood Park. When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We ).
Sources: almanacnews.com, fas.org
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? - 11–13 at 22.0% with $364 traded.
Top volume remains in How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? - 11–13.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.6% | $45
Popular events
+$43,756
+$30,067
+$29,447
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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