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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $286M across outcomes, with $505 traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.7%, with top volume on "Gedion Timothewos" at 1.3% and $358 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in October?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "25 bps increase" at 53.0% and $438K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Shimelis Abdisa
$0
Highest implied
Largest Company end of September?
98.8%
Top priced
Largest Company end of September?
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
Largest Company end of September?
98.8%
$10K
B1
Lead market: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? - December 31, 2026 leads the desk at 19.0% with $380K traded.
Lead stories
AfD tops another German state poll , Merz CDU crashes to historic low
AfD tops another German state poll , Merz CDU crashes to historic low. German Chancellor facing challenges as AfD wins state elections. Germany Merz vows to press ahead with reforms after historic state election defeat.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, abc.net.au, houstonpublicmedia.org
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase leads the desk at 53.0% with $438K traded.
Lead stories
Banks unmoved by Fed interest rate hike
Banks unmoved by Fed interest rate hike. What Up w / Stocks , Cryptos , Gold & Silver ? September 21st , 2026 | Vero Patriot. What Up w / Stocks , Cryptos , Gold & Silver ? September 21st , 2026 | 1290 WJNO.
Sources: royalgazette.com, veropatriot.iheart.com, wjno.iheart.com
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T leads the desk at 25.0% with $26K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic considers releasing new AI model ahead of IPO , sources say
Anthropic considers releasing new AI model ahead of IPO , sources say. Tech Talk : Tech leaders , governments split over AI doom fears. Nvidia CEO says there a 0 % chance AI ends the world in 2030 as OpenAI , Anthropic , Google and SpaceXAI are sued ove....
Sources: thehindu.com, gdnonline.com, aol.com
PYMNTS | OpenAI Targets Legal Tech Market With Astra for Law
PYMNTS | OpenAI Targets Legal Tech Market With Astra for Law. 3 Indians Use Claude To Hack ChatGPT In 72 Hours , Earn Rs 6 Lakh Bounty - Trak . in - Indian Business of Tech , Mobi.... Here What to Expect From AI Two Biggest 2026 Spenders in 2027.
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 4.3% with $284K traded.
Lead stories
Mirzapur The Movie Box Office : Excel Entertainment film crosses the Rs . 200 cr mark at the Indian box office : Boll.... Donatella Versace Is Launching New Brand With Revolve. Union Minister Dr . L . Murugan Inaugurates the 19th Global Film Festival Noida 2026 at Marwah Studios.
Sources: bollywoodhungama.com, marieclaire.com, indiagazette.com
B6
Lead market: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 6.4% with $229K traded.
Lead stories
Clarity Act rejection protects bank deposits while driving crypto business overseas
Clarity Act rejection protects bank deposits while driving crypto business overseas. Bitcoin survived brutal week of market shocks . Still , analysts are deeply split on what happens next .. Who Needs CLARITY Anyway ? ARB Could See 70X Increase : Hodler Digest.
Sources: coindesk.com, coindesk.com, cointelegraph.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Paris Saint-Germain leads the desk at 14.0% with $82K traded.
Lead stories
Champions Inter deny would - be title rivals Roma as Martínez haunts Gasperini
Champions Inter deny would - be title rivals Roma as Martínez haunts Gasperini. 11 celebrites who have ties to County Durham.
Sources: aol.co.uk, thenorthernecho.co.uk
Tom Brady Faces Harsh Criticisms From Trolls Over His Zookeeper Outfit While Calling NFL Game
Tom Brady Faces Harsh Criticisms From Trolls Over His Zookeeper Outfit While Calling NFL Game. Taylor Swift proud reaction to Travis Kelce touchdown goes viral. Pregnant Ciara showcases blossoming baby bump as she steps up for important reason.
Sources: ,
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.7% with $73K traded.
Lead stories
Data Gaps Hinder Response to Climate - Driven Infections
Data Gaps Hinder Response to Climate - Driven Infections.
Sources: medscape.com
2nd possible measles exposure reported in Philadelphia at airport – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
2nd possible measles exposure reported in Philadelphia at airport – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
Kenvue Climate Transition Plan : Goals , Progress , and Strategy – CSRwire
Kenvue Climate Transition Plan : Goals , Progress , and Strategy – CSRwire. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup # 707 - Watts Up With That ?. Next steps for Grazeley Solar Farm to be considered.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.6%
$22
Trump says Putin wants to end Ukraine war , says Zelensky overplayed his hand. It Official : The Tables Have Turned in the US - versus - Russia , China , North Korea , and Iran diplomatic rivalry. 43 Percent Say Midterm Vote Is Meant to Oppose Trump , Poll Finds.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, dailykos.com, newsweek.com
Trump says Putin will not attack NATO territory
Trump says Putin will not attack NATO territory. NATO and Moscow must increase dialogue to avoid accidental war , Russian envoy says.
Sources: aa.com.tr, politico.eu
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? - December 31, 2026 at 19.0% with $380K traded.
Top volume remains in Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? - December 31, 2026.
Lead event
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? - December 31, 2026
Trading at 19.0% with $380K in volume.
Event leaders
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.0% | $380K
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Top volume & odds: September 23 | 98.5% | $245K
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Top volume: October 31 | 23.0% | $208K
Top odds: December 31 | 32.0%
Top volume & odds: Flávio Bolsonaro | 60.9% | $194K
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Top volume: Republicans Sweep | 8.0% | $192K
Top odds: Democrats Sweep | 64.0%
13.5%
-2.1pp
$28M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $707M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $707M0%
Vessels trickle through Strait of Hormuz as Middle East conflict persists. Qalibaf Says Strait of Hormuz Will Remain Closed Until U . S . Meets Its Commitments. Qatar energy chief says Bessent wrong about Hormuz becoming worthless.
Sources: nypost.com, khaama.com, businesstimes.com.sg
Petrol price : Crude oil falls further as Nigerians await pump price reduction
Petrol price : Crude oil falls further as Nigerians await pump price reduction. Bitcoin Hitting new 33 - Week High Brings Back Crypto Bull Market Claims. Brent slips to USD 101 per barrel ; GIFT Nifty signals flat start for Indian equities.
Sources: dailypost.ng, cointelegraph.com, news.webindia123.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase at 53.0% with $438K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in October? - 25 bps increase.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: 25 bps increase | 53.0% | $438K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 20.0% | $140K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↓ $90 | 82.0% | $81K
Crude Oil all time high by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 13.0% | $25K
Sources: pymnts.com, trak.in, finance.yahoo.com
Google : AI Model Hacked Companies In Cybersecurity Tests
Google : AI Model Hacked Companies In Cybersecurity Tests. When we ask AI , not people : How chatbots and GEO shape truth. Chatbot subscribers accuse AI giants of antitrust law breach.
Sources: mediapost.com, dailymaverick.co.za, canadianlawyermag.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T at 25.0% with $26K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T
Trading at 25.0% with $26K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 25.0% | $26K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 90.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 1.6% | $8K
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 2.7% | $6K
Popular events
WEATHER : Severe storms with heavy rain to batter South Africa
WEATHER : Severe storms with heavy rain to batter South Africa. The 20 richest women in the world , ranked. Digital sovereignty climbs APAC boardroom agenda as AI adoption accelerates.
Sources: thesouthafrican.com, aol.com, humanresourcesonline.net
Jesus saw St . Matthew with the eyes of mercy
Jesus saw St . Matthew with the eyes of mercy. Joining Voices For Jesus returns to Columbiana County Fairgrounds Sept . 26. LDS Church Urges Idaho Voters to Oppose Reproductive Act - LocalNews8 . com.
Sources: aleteia.org, reviewonline.com, localnews8.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 4.3% with $284K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 4.3% with $284K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 4.3% | $284K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume & odds: 1 | 76.0% | $17K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $7K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 52.0% | $7K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 3.8% | $3K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0%
Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Hit $250 , 000 Within 2 Years . Here What Needs to Happen .. Bitcoin price has cleared a key hurdle that has historically preceded major bull runs. Billionaire Tim Draper Predicts Bitcoin Will Hit $250 , 000 Within 2 Years . Here What Needs to Happen ..
Sources: fool.com, coindesk.com, aol.com
Brian Armstrong Predicts $400 , 000 Bitcoin Price by 2030 . The Forecast Requires 51 % Growth Annually : Can It Hold ?. Bitcoin Holds Firm Near $82K After Absorbing Macro Shocks. What Is Driving Bitcoin Higher Right Now.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, partners.coinspeaker.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes at 6.4% with $229K traded.
Top volume remains in Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 6.4% | $229K
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 87,500 | 90.0% | $128K
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
Top volume: ↑ 3,000 | 34.0% | $43K
Top odds: ↑ 2,900 | 55.0%
Popular events
Messi surpasses Ronaldo record after scoring for Inter Miami
Messi surpasses Ronaldo record after scoring for Inter Miami. Man City return for revamped Women Champions League.
Sources: dailypost.ng, morningstaronline.co.uk
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Paris Saint-Germain at 14.0% with $82K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Paris Saint-Germain.
Lead event
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Paris Saint-Germain
Trading at 14.0% with $82K in volume.
Event leaders
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume: Paris Saint-Germain | 14.0% | $82K
Top odds: Barcelona | 23.0%
Top volume & odds: Arsenal | 48.0% | $10K
Popular events
Sources: csrwire.com, wattsupwiththat.com, newburytoday.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.7% with $73K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.7% | $73K
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 14–16 | 70.0% | $176
Popular events
+$30,553
+$14,492
+$12,363
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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