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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $286M across outcomes, with $540 traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Gedion Timothewos" at 1.2% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "25 bps increase" at 78.0%, with top volume on "No change" at 22.0% and $3M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$0
Highest implied
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? - September 15
98.2%
Top priced
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? - September 15
98.2%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Next Prime Minister of Sweden - Magdalena Andersson leads the desk at 89.0% with $643K traded.
Lead stories
The party in Sweden is over : anti - Islam metal keyboardist Jimmie Åkesson closes in
The party in Sweden is over : anti - Islam metal keyboardist Jimmie Åkesson closes in. Swedish Voters Go to Polls to Choose a New Parliament as Hard Right Bids for Role in Government. Swedish voters go to polls to choose a new parliament as hard right bids for role in government.
Sources: ynetnews.com, english.aawsat.com, thegazette.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - No change leads the desk at 22.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Commentary : The Fed credibility depends on resisting politics , not playing it
Commentary : The Fed credibility depends on resisting politics , not playing it. Trump proposal to tie trade policy to Federal Reserve rate cuts could face long - term economic challenges. Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 7 PM ET : U . S . Stocks Rise as Oil Retreats | Firm ....
Sources: timesleader.com, finance.yahoo.com, morningstar.com
B4
Lead market: OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026 leads the desk at 94.8% with $153K traded.
Lead stories
Better AI Chip Stock : Broadcom vs . Nvidia
Better AI Chip Stock : Broadcom vs . Nvidia. Better AI Chip Stock : Broadcom vs . Nvidia. 3 Ways to Invest in Anthropic Pre - IPO | The Motley Fool.
Macquarie Future Secure AI nears pre - IPO raise at $1 . 8b valuation
Macquarie Future Secure AI nears pre - IPO raise at $1 . 8b valuation. AI Companies : Anthropic CEO Calls for Slowdown in AI Development Amid Safety Concerns , ETTelecom. Anthropic CEO urges AI companies to slow model development amid fears over misuse.
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 1.9% with $30K traded.
Lead stories
Randall Wallace : The Passion was Mel Gibson calling
Randall Wallace : The Passion was Mel Gibson calling. Win an exclusive night out with Grant Superstar Soiree. [ Catholic Caucus Devotional ] My Catholic Life ! Catholic Daily Reflections : The Interior Life in Action.
Sources: christianpost.com, coast.iheart.com, freerepublic.com
Christopher Nolan The Odyssey becomes Universal Picture highest - grossing film ever at $1 . 68 billion. The Odyssey Is Universal Highest - Grossing Movie at the Box Office. Christopher Nolan The Odyssey Makes Universal History with Record - Shattering Feat.
B6
Lead market: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 23.0% with $687K traded.
Lead stories
9 / 11 Demands moral clarity . Mamdani just failed the test .
9 / 11 Demands moral clarity . Mamdani just failed the test .. 1 Popular Cryptocurrency Cathie Wood of Ark Invest Sees Soaring in Value by 1 , 490 %. What Is the Best Crypto to Buy Right Now : XRP or Bitcoin ?.
Sources: christianpost.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Which Crypto Could Make You a Millionaire by 2028 : XRP or Ethereum ?
Which Crypto Could Make You a Millionaire by 2028 : XRP or Ethereum ?. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : $2 , 700 FVG Breakout Could Open the Door to $3 , 000. Traders Are Betting Ethereum Falls Back to $2 , 250 This Year . What Would Have to Go Wrong ?.
B7
Lead market: EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester United leads the desk at 1.6% with $70K traded.
Lead stories
Colorado youth earn $506 , 000 at state fair livestock auction
Colorado youth earn $506 , 000 at state fair livestock auction. Stephen A . Smith catfished by fake Cari Champion.
Sources: yahoo.com, awfulannouncing.com
Messi scores 19th goal as Inter Miami draw with Nashville
Messi scores 19th goal as Inter Miami draw with Nashville.
Sources: sun-sentinel.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.6% with $18K traded.
Lead stories
When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We )
When the Climate Shifts , So Do the Pathogens ( And So Should We ).
Sources: fas.org
In South Africa , renewable energy latest part of timber industry green efforts
In South Africa , renewable energy latest part of timber industry green efforts. Farming and food unprepared for global warming , says advisory council. Codan Reports 1 , 603 Tonnes of Scope 1 and 2 GHG Emissions as DTC united kingdom Targets Net Zero by 2040.
Sources: news.mongabay.com, irishtimes.com,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
8 killed in Russian strikes on Ukraine as Putin warns Europe against sending troops. 8 killed in Russian strikes on Ukraine. 8 killed in Russian strikes on Ukraine.
Sources: asiaone.com, wxii12.com, wmur.com
Iraq confirms attacks on Saudi pipeline originated from Iraqi territory and other Mideast news
Iraq confirms attacks on Saudi pipeline originated from Iraqi territory and other Mideast news. Iraq confirms attacks on Saudi pipeline originated from Iraqi territory and other Mideast news. Iraq confirms attacks on Saudi pipeline originated from Iraqi territory and other Mideast news.
Sources: wral.com, newsday.com, thegazette.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Next Prime Minister of Sweden - Magdalena Andersson at 89.0% with $643K traded.
Top volume remains in Next Prime Minister of Sweden - Magdalena Andersson.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Magdalena Andersson | 89.0% | $643K
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 7.0% | $500K
Top odds: June 30, 2027 | 13.0%
Israel closes its airspace by...?
Top volume & odds: September 30 | 97.0% | $267K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 17.0% | $247K
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Top volume & odds: United Russia (ER) | 80.0% | $239K
12.9%
-1.3pp
$27M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $704M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $705M0%
Iran , Oman agree on details of Hormuz Strait new entry , exit routes. Iran , Oman agree on details of Hormuz Strait new entry , exit routes. Iran , Oman agree on details of Hormuz Strait new entry , exit routes.
JPMorgan & Wall Street Giant Estimates on US CPI Inflation , Will Crypto Market Recover ?
JPMorgan & Wall Street Giant Estimates on US CPI Inflation , Will Crypto Market Recover ?. Fed rate - hike odds surge as Warsh faces inflation - weary markets. Futures Traders Just Dramatically Repriced the Chances of a Fed Hike Next Week.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - No change at 22.0% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - No change.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 18.0% | $242K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 87.0% | $147K
Top volume & odds: October Meeting | 83.0% | $88K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $105 | 83.4% | $53K
Popular events
OpenAI Sam Altman says it would be ill - advised to go public in 2026
OpenAI Sam Altman says it would be ill - advised to go public in 2026. OpenAI Sam Altman says it would be ill - advised to go public in 2026. Sam Altman : OpenAI wont go public this year as IPO now would come at an ill - advised moment.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, techcrunch.com, fortune.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026 at 94.8% with $153K traded.
Top volume remains in OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026.
Lead event
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026
Trading at 94.8% with $153K in volume.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 94.8% | $153K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 28.0% | $21K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 95.0%
Popular events
Sources: moneycontrol.com, hollywoodreporter.com, movieweb.com
Hollywood Biggest Film Festival Bets , From Flops to $500M Hits
Hollywood Biggest Film Festival Bets , From Flops to $500M Hits. Beauty Marks : The Best Beauty Looks of the Week. Karthik Subbaraj Dorothy marks first Tamil feature to premiere at TIFF in a decade : Bollywood News.
Sources: observer.com, vogue.com, bollywoodhungama.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 1.9% with $30K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.9% | $30K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 5.0% | $12K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.7% | $8K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume & odds: 1 | 79.0% | $3K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 41.0% | $2K
Top odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 54.0%
Sources: aol.com, bravenewcoin.com, 247wallst.com
Ripple David Schwartz Says XRP Can Flip Bitcoin . Here the $24 . 50 Math
Ripple David Schwartz Says XRP Can Flip Bitcoin . Here the $24 . 50 Math. Morgan Stanley makes its first call on major crypto stock. TeraWulf ( NASDAQ : WULF ) Shares Up 6 . 8 % – Should You Buy ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, themarketsdaily.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes at 23.0% with $687K traded.
Top volume remains in Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 23.0% | $687K
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
Top volume: ↑ 3,200 | 5.9% | $127K
Top odds: ↓ 2,400 | 76.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Top volume: ↓ 55,000 | 1.2% | $53K
Top odds: ↑ 77,500 | 87.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 76,000 | 14.9% | $19K
Popular events
Aroldis Chapman reaches career milestone , joins elite company in MLB history. MLB magic numbers and playoff bracket if the season ended on Labor Day. Walter Cup : The Same Company Loses It for the Second Time.
Sources: thebiglead.com, fansided.com, dose.ca
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester United at 1.6% with $70K traded.
Top volume remains in EPL: 2027 Champion - Manchester United.
Event leaders
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Top volume: Atlanta Braves | 6.8% | $51K
Top odds: Los Angeles Dodgers | 32.0%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume: Borussia Dortmund | 1.4% | $31K
Top odds: Barcelona | 19.0%
Popular events
One House , Many Climates : When Greenhouse Design Enters the Home
One House , Many Climates : When Greenhouse Design Enters the Home.
Sources: archdaily.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.6% with $18K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.6% | $18K
Popular events
+$40,064
+$4,893
+$3,826
Kalshi via Jupiter
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