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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" Event volume totals $286M across outcomes, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Abiy Ahmed" at 98.4% and $2 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "25 bps increase" at 79.0%, with top volume on "No change" at 21.0% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? - Gedion Timothewos
$0
Highest implied
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.9%
Top priced
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? - September 14 leads the desk at 28.0% with $177K traded.
Lead stories
U . S . Energy Secretary Wright says Iran nuclear deal may never happen ( He Not Wrong )
U . S . Energy Secretary Wright says Iran nuclear deal may never happen ( He Not Wrong ). Energy Secretary : Deal With Iran May Have To Wait Until Next Administration. Houthi Forces from Yemen Strike Saudi Cities and Energy Sites , Injuring Over 70 People.
Sources: freerepublic.com, crooksandliars.com, democracynow.org
Iran , Oman agree on details of Hormuz Strait new entry , exit routes
Iran , Oman agree on details of Hormuz Strait new entry , exit routes. Iran , Oman agree on details of Hormuz Strait new entry , exit routes. How America misunderstood Iran monarchy - and the Reza Pahlavi legacy.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - No change leads the desk at 21.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Commentary : The Fed credibility depends on resisting politics , not playing it
Commentary : The Fed credibility depends on resisting politics , not playing it. Fed Meets Next Week To Confront Rising Inflation Pressures. Experts Predict No Fed Rate Cut Next Week : What It Means.
Sources: timesleader.com, aol.com, newsweek.com
The Fed can hike , but it wont derail gold long - term bull market – analysts
The Fed can hike , but it wont derail gold long - term bull market – analysts. With Just 5 Days to Next FOMC Meeting , Odds of Fed Rate Hike Surge to Over 85 %. Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 7 PM ET : U . S . Stocks Rise as Oil Retreats | Firm ....
B4
Lead market: OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026 leads the desk at 97.8% with $21K traded.
Lead stories
US Agencies Accuse China - Based AI Firms Of Maliciou Copying Of American Models
US Agencies Accuse China - Based AI Firms Of Maliciou Copying Of American Models. Nvidia eyes major investment in Anthropic mega IPO - The HinduBusinessLine. Nvidia said to be in talks to invest in Anthropic mega IPO.
Sources: zerohedge.com, thehindubusinessline.com, freemalaysiatoday.com
B5
Lead market: Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday leads the desk at 55.0% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
Resident Evil director says the giant baby monster from Resident Evil : Village gave him a full - blown panic attack.... After 19 Years , Netflix Officially Revives An Iconic $117 Million Franchise. Mirzapur The Movie worldwide box office collection : Pankaj Tripathi , Ali Fazal film crosses ₹200 crore , beats Awar....
Sources: gamesradar.com, screenrant.com, hindustantimes.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in September? - ↑ 2,700 leads the desk at 53.0% with $27K traded.
Lead stories
Which Crypto Could Make You a Millionaire by 2028 : XRP or Ethereum ?
Which Crypto Could Make You a Millionaire by 2028 : XRP or Ethereum ?. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : $2 , 700 FVG Breakout Could Open the Door to $3 , 000. Traders Are Betting Ethereum Falls Back to $2 , 250 This Year . What Would Have to Go Wrong ?.
Sources: aol.com, bravenewcoin.com, 247wallst.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) - Alexander Zverev leads the desk at 61.1% with $68K traded.
Lead stories
Kaleesuwari Celebrates Retailer Partnerships at Gold Winner Onam Damaka Sale Lucky Draw Event
Kaleesuwari Celebrates Retailer Partnerships at Gold Winner Onam Damaka Sale Lucky Draw Event. Kaleesuwari Celebrates Retailer Partnerships at Gold Winner Onam Damaka Sale Lucky Draw Event. Master Builders Association reveals Canberra innovative builds | The Canberra Times.
Sources: business-standard.com, aninews.in, canberratimes.com.au
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.6% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
Data Gaps Hinder Response to Climate - Driven Infections
Data Gaps Hinder Response to Climate - Driven Infections.
Sources: medscape.com
Climate Overshoot Report : What It Means for Africa and How Faster Action Can Limit the Damage
Climate Overshoot Report : What It Means for Africa and How Faster Action Can Limit the Damage. Africa : New Report On Climate Overshoot - What It Means for Africa and How Faster Action Can Limit the Damage. No way Canada can meet 2030 climate target : researchers.
Sources: downtoearth.org.in,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
BRICS 2026 : President Pezeshkian Explores Iranian Heritage And Painting Of Fath - Ali Shah Qajar Reign At Rashtrapat.... Pezeshkian says Iran wont surrender to US pressure. Iran will not surrender to US , Israel bullying : Prez Pezeshkian in India.
Sources: freepressjournal.in, samaa.tv, business-standard.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? - September 14 at 28.0% with $177K traded.
Top volume remains in Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? - September 14.
Lead event
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? - September 14
Trading at 28.0% with $177K in volume.
Event leaders
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
Top volume: September 14 | 28.0% | $177K
Top odds: October 31 | 58.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: September 14 | 2.7% | $74K
Top odds: December 31 | 65.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?) | 1.1% | $54K
Israel closes its airspace by...?
Top volume & odds: September 30 | 98.2% | $49K
Next French Presidential Election
Top volume: Bruno Retailleau | 2.9% | $46K
Top odds: Marine Le Pen | 34.3%
14.2%
-0.4pp
$27M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $704M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $704M0%
Sources: kitco.com, 247wallst.com, morningstar.com
Nvidia weighs $10 billion investment in Anthropic mega IPO : Report
Nvidia weighs $10 billion investment in Anthropic mega IPO : Report. 3 Ways to Invest in Anthropic Pre - IPO. 3 Ways to Invest in Anthropic Pre - IPO | The Motley Fool.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, aol.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - No change at 21.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 88.0% | $17K
Popular events
Netskope ( NTSK ) Rides AI Security Wave to 29 % Topline Growth.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
Podcaster Katie Miller Vilified ChatGPT For Nine Months Without Disclosing Her $1 Million Stake Elon Musk xAI. AI self - improvement fears prompt existential concerns at Anthropic , OpenAI. Chinese AI chip developer Enflame raises $912M in IPO.
Sources: freepressjournal.in, cnbc.com, siliconangle.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026 at 97.8% with $21K traded.
Top volume remains in OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026.
Lead event
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap - No IPO by December 31, 2026
Trading at 97.8% with $21K in volume.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 97.8% | $21K
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 96.0% | $9K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$2.5T | 50.0% | $5K
Top odds: ↑$1.5T | 96.0%
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 94.0% | $2K
Entertainment Live Updates Today ( September 11 , 2026 ): Haiwaan Hits Theatres ; Mirzapur The Movie Crosses ₹200 Cro.... 13 Racy Celebrity Looks From The 2026 Venice Film Festival Red Carpet , Featuring Sydney Sweeney Once More. Mirzapur The Movie Box Office Collection Day 7 : Pankaj Tripathi , Ali Fazal Film Nears Rs 150 Crore In India , Cross....
Sources: filmibeat.com, aol.com, newsx.com
The Odyssey Is Universal Highest - Grossing Movie at the Box Office
The Odyssey Is Universal Highest - Grossing Movie at the Box Office. Christopher Nolan The Odyssey Makes Universal History with Record - Shattering Feat. The Odyssey Is Officially Universal Biggest Film of All Time.
Sources: hollywoodreporter.com, movieweb.com, thewrap.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday at 55.0% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday.
Lead event
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday
Trading at 55.0% with $4K in volume.
Event leaders
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 55.0% | $4K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.8% | $4K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 94.0% | $2K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 1.7% | $2K
Top volume & odds: Bad Bunny | 86.0% | $395
Windows could lock you out of your PC . Save your recovery key now !.
Sources: pcworld.com
Traders Are Betting Ethereum Falls Back to $2 , 250 This Year . What Would Have to Go Wrong ?
Traders Are Betting Ethereum Falls Back to $2 , 250 This Year . What Would Have to Go Wrong ?. Ethereum Price Prediction : ETH Holds $2 , 465 as $2 , 600 Breakout Test Puts MemeToro AI Launchpad in Focus. Here Why Im Buying Ethereum Right Now.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, bravenewcoin.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in September? - ↑ 2,700 at 53.0% with $27K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in September? - ↑ 2,700.
Event leaders
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
Top volume: ↑ 2,700 | 53.0% | $27K
Top odds: ↓ 2,500 | 94.0%
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $1B | 57.0% | $18K
Top odds: $100M | 98.9%
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 17.0% | $10K
Popular events
Texas Lotto winner first big spend after $26M win ? Steak and boots. Meet the Winner of Project Runway Season 22 : Jude Mikulenak. TIFF 2026 Movie Reviews Compilation : Toronto Film Festival.
Sources: yahoo.com, usmagazine.com, deadline.com
Ballon dOr : He outstanding - Spain coach De la Fuente picks player who should win 2026 award
Ballon dOr : He outstanding - Spain coach De la Fuente picks player who should win 2026 award. Africa Ballon DOr Wait Continues As Hakimi , Mané Make 2026 Shortlist. Ballon dOr 2026 ranking after shortlist revealed.
Sources: dailypost.ng, naija247news.com, vanguardngr.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) - Alexander Zverev at 61.1% with $68K traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) - Alexander Zverev.
Lead event
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) - Alexander Zverev
Trading at 61.1% with $68K in volume.
Event leaders
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Top volume & odds: Alexander Zverev | 61.1% | $68K
2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Top volume & odds: Aryna Sabalenka | 57.0% | $23K
Popular events
One House , Many Climates : When Greenhouse Design Enters the Home
One House , Many Climates : When Greenhouse Design Enters the Home.
Sources: archdaily.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.6% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.6% | $2K
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 14–16 | 54.0% | $0
Popular events
+$44,608
+$3,826
+$2,988
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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