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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 2.6% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 75.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 1.3% and $176K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? - December 31, 2026
$0
Highest implied
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner - United Russia (ER)
98.4%
Top priced
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner - United Russia (ER)
98.4%
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: August 31 leads the desk at 1.3% with $266K traded.
Lead stories
Oman negotiations , reopening of Hormuz are two separate issues : Iranian FM Araghchi
Oman negotiations , reopening of Hormuz are two separate issues : Iranian FM Araghchi. Iran and Oman work on temporary Hormuz shipping route as Trump threatens to claim the strait. Donald Trump says will declare Strait of Hormuz US territory , Iran hits back.
Sources: aninews.in, middleeasteye.net, hindustantimes.com
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on US announces end of Iranian blockade by....
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 1.3% with $176K traded.
Lead stories
Fed seen sticking to policy - rate hold , for now , as inflation eases again
Fed seen sticking to policy - rate hold , for now , as inflation eases again. The Upcoming Inflation Report Is a Big Deal for the Fed . Here What Economists Expect .. US Fed expected to leave rates unchanged next month after soft inflation data.
Sources: kitco.com, ibtimes.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T leads the desk at 37.0% with $24K traded.
Lead stories
Grok 4 . 6 Released : Top Benchmarks , Steady Pricing , But Is It Really Number One ?
Grok 4 . 6 Released : Top Benchmarks , Steady Pricing , But Is It Really Number One ?. Should You Buy Meta Platforms Stock Below $600 Before Mark Zuckerberg Unveils Its AI Cloud Business ? Here My Honest.... Tech News This Week : Microsoft May Be Significantly Increasing Windows 11 Pricing , YouTube Doubles Creator Earnings....
Sources: memeburn.com, finance.yahoo.com, forbes.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.0% with $25K traded.
Lead stories
Wednesday August 12th - Open Thread - The Last Refuge
Wednesday August 12th - Open Thread - The Last Refuge. Public Invited to Tour New Phnom Penh Temple of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter - day Saints. Birthday celebration : President Dallin H . Oaks turns 94.
Sources: theconservativetreehouse.com, manilatimes.net, ksl.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 45,000 leads the desk at 25.0% with $149K traded.
Lead stories
Where Will Bitcoin Be in 5 Years ? | The Motley Fool
Where Will Bitcoin Be in 5 Years ? | The Motley Fool. Why bitcoin could lose its edge to AI stocks over the next 5 years. Strategy CEO Phong Le Thinks MSTR Stock Will Outperform Bitcoin During the Next Bull Market . Here Why He Wrong ..
Sources: fool.com, hindustantimes.com, fool.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Barcelona leads the desk at 17.0% with $54K traded.
Lead stories
Ideal club to win my first Champions League - Ferran Torres talks leaving Barcelona for PSG
Ideal club to win my first Champions League - Ferran Torres talks leaving Barcelona for PSG. Liverpool agree five - year deal with Bradley Barcola : report. PSG want to win everything , says Luis Enrique.
Sources: barcablaugranes.com, fourfourtwo.com, vanguardngr.com
2026 Best of Portland Reader Poll : Food
2026 Best of Portland Reader Poll : Food. 2026 Best of Portland Reader Poll : Health and Wellness. 2026 Best of Portland Reader Poll : Drink.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.7% with $3K traded.
Lead stories
Mannok aims to cut emissions with €16m investment in Cavan solar plant
Mannok aims to cut emissions with €16m investment in Cavan solar plant. Study : Climate Change , CO2 , and Cloud Cover - What the Scolds Arent Talking About. Super El Nino : 10 ways it could hijack the world weather.
Sources: irishtimes.com, redstate.com, bostonglobe.com
Climate Change vs Global Warming : What the Difference ? The Climate Explainer
Climate Change vs Global Warming : What the Difference ? The Climate Explainer. All articles The Climate Explainer. UPDATE : Lala becomes a Category 1 hurricane as it blasts Big Isle with strong winds , heavy rain.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
#1 Awaiting data
n/a
#2 Awaiting data
n/a
#3 Awaiting data
n/a
Kalshi via Jupiter
+$5,879
98.4%
$10K
Largest Company end of August?
97.7%
$2K
Strait of Hormuz cannot be seized by tweet or election speech : Iran hits back at Trump US territory remark. Iran Hormuz authority denies Trump claims of control over strait : What to know - AL - MONITOR : The Middle Eastʼs le.... Iran rejects Trump total control claim , says Strait of Hormuz will remain closed.
Sources: news.webindia123.com, al-monitor.com, moneycontrol.com
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume & odds: August 31 | 1.3% | $266K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: August 31 | 15.0% | $219K
Top odds: December 31 | 80.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?) | 11.0% | $185K
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Top volume: Iran | 1.2% | $137K
Top odds: No Meeting by September 30 | 68.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Top volume & odds: August 31 | 96.0% | $136K
Popular events
14.8%
—
$13M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $688M
Presidential election
Event volume $687M
Oman negotiations , reopening of Hormuz are two separate issues : Iranian FM Araghchi. Iran and Oman work on temporary Hormuz shipping route as Trump threatens to claim the strait. Donald Trump says will declare Strait of Hormuz US territory , Iran hits back.
Sources: aninews.in, middleeasteye.net, hindustantimes.com
WTI Crude Oil : Are Traders Watching Fear Instead of Supply ?
WTI Crude Oil : Are Traders Watching Fear Instead of Supply ?. Crude Oil 12 / 08 : Why Is the Rally Still Confusing Traders ?. WTI Crude Oil : Will Calm Hold After $92 Spike ?.
Sources: dailyforex.com, dailyforex.com, dailyforex.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease at 1.3% with $176K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 44.0% | $41K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $100 | 7.0% | $24K
Top odds: ↑ $85 | 62.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 47.0% | $22K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 85.2% | $21K
Alphabet SpaceX bet grows to $94b.
Sources: tribune.com.pk
Another OpenAI Executive Has Left the Company Amid IPO Countdown
Another OpenAI Executive Has Left the Company Amid IPO Countdown. Nvidia eyes investing $3 billion in SB Energy under OpenAI data center deal : Report. OpenAI announces premium business pricing as it seeks to increase revenue ahead of IPO.
Sources: theepochtimes.com, moneycontrol.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T at 37.0% with $24K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T
Trading at 37.0% with $24K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 37.0% | $24K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 97.4%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 63.0% | $9K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 21.0% | $7K
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 96.9% | $7K
Popular events
The Simpsons Movie 2 Update Reveals New Title , Logo for Disney Sequel Movie. Lilo & Stitch 2 Gets Logo & Major Character Reveal , Tangled Gets First Look. Incredibles 3 & Coco 2 Get Huge Updates , Pixar Reveals New Movie Ghost Market - Comic Book Movies and Superhero Movi....
Sources: comingsoon.net, comingsoon.net, superherohype.com
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027.
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.0% with $25K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $25K
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 36.0% | $18K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 65.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 2.1% | $14K
Top odds: December 31 | 5.0%
Top volume & odds: Bad Bunny | 86.0% | $7K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 7.0% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 93.0%
Bitcoin Price Below $10 , 000 ? ChatGPT Issues Warning as Crypto Is Dead Chatter Surges. Why Chainlink Rose as Bitcoin and Uniswap Weakened. This Is the Best Way to Invest $1 , 000 in Crypto Right Now.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, dailyforex.com, finance.yahoo.com
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Tightens Near $1 , 880 as Analysts Debate Breakout Towards $3 , 000 or Anothe.... Bitcoin Slides Below US$63 , 000 ; Crypto Friday Wrap. CoreWeave Operating Chief Sold Before Earnings . Here What to Know.
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, riotimesonline.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 45,000 at 25.0% with $149K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? - ↓ 45,000.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 19.0% | $19K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 4.7% | $14K
Popular events
Uganda : NBS Sport Unveils Dedicated Premier League Platform Ahead of New Season
Uganda : NBS Sport Unveils Dedicated Premier League Platform Ahead of New Season.
Sources: allafrica.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Barcelona at 17.0% with $54K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion - Barcelona.
Event leaders
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume & odds: Barcelona | 17.0% | $54K
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Top volume: Seattle Mariners | 1.4% | $36K
Top odds: Los Angeles Dodgers | 34.0%
Popular events
Current Swiss summer has broken many 2003 records
Current Swiss summer has broken many 2003 records. Met Office delivers verdict on next united kingdom rain forecast.
Sources: swissinfo.ch, express.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.7% with $3K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.7% | $3K
Popular events
+$5,585
+$3,902
Kalshi via Jupiter
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