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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?" Event volume totals $4M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?)" at 31.0% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in September?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 59.0%, with top volume on "25 bps increase" at 41.0% and $570K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k
$0
Highest implied
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner - United Russia (ER)
98.9%
Top priced
Russia Parliamentary Election Winner - United Russia (ER)
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: August 31 leads the desk at 4.7% with $582K traded.
Lead stories
Iran holds firm on Strait of Hormuz as US strikes pause : No change in position
Iran holds firm on Strait of Hormuz as US strikes pause : No change in position. US accuses Iran IRGC of threatening ships in Strait of Hormuz , says waterway remains open. Oman pushes plan to let Iran collect voluntary fees to pass through Strait of Hormuz.
Sources: thenews.com.pk, moneycontrol.com, nypost.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps increase leads the desk at 41.0% with $570K traded.
Lead stories
A Fed Member Voted To Hike Rates In July . She Said More Than One Increase Could Be Needed To Tame Inflation .. Beth Hammack says multiple rate hikes needed to fight US inflation. Trump is messing around with the Fed again.
Sources: ibtimes.com, foxbusiness.com, smh.com.au
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Anthropic leads the desk at 81.0% with $21K traded.
Lead stories
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg Just Published a 6 , 500 Word Essay Taking Direct Aim at OpenAI and Anthropic. Anthropic Will Launch an In - house Custom Silicon Chip. Rogue AI models of Anthropic , OpenAI and Meta that went on hacking other companies had a common Israel link.
Sources: fool.com, memeburn.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
B5
Lead market: Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? - IShowSpeed leads the desk at 5.6% with $69K traded.
Lead stories
Cristiano Ronaldo responds as another bride mobbed on his wedding day
Cristiano Ronaldo responds as another bride mobbed on his wedding day. Cristiano Ronaldo responds as another bride mobbed on his wedding day. Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodríguez wedding rumors debunked as couple delays big day.
Sources: aol.co.uk, mirror.co.uk, hola.com
Toronto kids go viral after playing a Rush song perfectly
Toronto kids go viral after playing a Rush song perfectly. Safety Jeremiah Bernard soars for highlight play , Cougar defenders dominate on Day 4 of WSU fall camp. Scales of Justice results from Oxford Magistrate Court.
B6
Lead market: Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 22.0% with $530K traded.
Lead stories
Disappointing Crypto Advocates React to Delay in CLARITY Vote
Disappointing Crypto Advocates React to Delay in CLARITY Vote. Prediction : This Cryptocurrency Could Go Parabolic After the 2026 Midterm Elections. Stock Market : Senate moves to advance Crypto Clarity Act in major win for Trump , industry.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, fool.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Current price of Bitcoin for Aug . 11 , 2026
Current price of Bitcoin for Aug . 11 , 2026. It Going Significantly Higher BlackRock Just Quietly Called The Bitcoin Price Bottom. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Tuesday , August 11 , 2026 : Opening prices fall back ahead of inflation reports....
B7
Lead market: NFL Champion 2027 - Seattle Seahawks leads the desk at 9.0% with $57K traded.
Lead stories
NBA schedule release : LeBron vs . Knicks on opening night , Lakers on Christmas
NBA schedule release : LeBron vs . Knicks on opening night , Lakers on Christmas. Where to watch NFL preseason games : Week 1 schedule. Seahawks buyer Vinod Khosla punts back to team management when it comes to Lumen Field turf talk.
Sources: nytimes.com, abc7news.com, geekwire.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.7% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
Heavy rainfall and flooding raise infectious disease risks across Europe
Heavy rainfall and flooding raise infectious disease risks across Europe.
Sources: news-medical.net
Concentrix Cuts GHG Emissions 25 . 7 %, Reaches 42 . 75 % Renewable Power and Targets Net Zero by 2050. Southwire Sustainability Report 2025 : Carbon Zero Achieved , Scope 1 & 2 Emissions Down 25 %, Targets 54 . 8 % GHG C.... Trip . com Group Sustainability 2025 : GHG Emissions Fall to 229 , 199 Tonnes as 2050 Net - Zero Strategy Expands.
Sources: ,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$6
Iranian Journalism : An Introduction to a National Paradigm / A Note by Dr Abolfazl Fateh – Shafaqna English. Trump says US will seek war compensation from Iran in future talks. Iran Says the US Has an Addiction to Economic Sanctions.
Sources: en.shafaqna.com, samaa.tv, news.antiwar.com
Election Day : SC republicans head to the polls in special U . S Senate Primary
Election Day : SC republicans head to the polls in special U . S Senate Primary. Election Day : SC republicans head to the polls in special U . S Senate Primary. Election Day : SC republicans head to the polls in special U . S Senate Primary.
Sources: local12.com, wcyb.com, turnto10.com
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Top volume & odds: August 31 | 4.7% | $582K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: August 15 | 14.0% | $281K
Top odds: December 31 | 80.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 18.0% | $191K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Top volume: August 31 | 4.3% | $87K
Top odds: December 31 | 18.0%
Top volume: Renan Santos | 8.3% | $86K
Top odds: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 64.0%
Popular events
Vol $582K
15.1%
+0.3pp
$14M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $687M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $680M0%
Analysis - Jobs report will offer fresh test of Fed Chairman Warsh less - guidance stance. What Happens to a Bond ETF Price When the Fed Cuts Rates -- Using the Actual Historical Data. Astrology for Middle - Aged Men : Ben Carlson Blunt Take on Why the Fed Doesnt Matter as Much as You Think.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, finance.yahoo.com
What Means That Americans May Have to Wait Longer for Rate Relief
What Means That Americans May Have to Wait Longer for Rate Relief. Atlanta Fed Venable : Inflation too high , with prospect of easing dependent on events in Middle East. Fed Austan Goolsbee says inflation is the biggest problem on Fed rate signal.
Sources: ibtimes.com, kitco.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps increase at 41.0% with $570K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in September? - 25 bps increase.
Event leaders
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 85.8% | $21K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 59.0% | $17K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $130 | 1.4% | $13K
Top odds: ↑ $85 | 70.0%
Popular events
OpenAI launches GPT 5 . 6 Cyber AI model , expands cybersecurity service Daybreak. OpenAI launches GPT - 5 . 6 - Cyber as AI narrows vulnerability response window. AI agents are already breaking the rules in cyber tests . OpenAI answer is a more capable one.
Sources: digit.in, csoonline.com, digitaltrends.com
Who is the Israeli startup behind the AI security testing breach ?
Who is the Israeli startup behind the AI security testing breach ?. Anthropic strikes $9 billion cloud deal with Riot Platforms. Chinese AI drives price competition among US labs.
Sources: americanbazaaronline.com, moneycontrol.com, thestar.com.my
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Anthropic at 81.0% with $21K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Anthropic.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume & odds: MGM Resorts | 39.0% | $1K
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Top volume: Google | 2.5% | $1K
Top odds: Anthropic | 94.0%
Popular events
Sources: wellandtribune.ca, spokesman.com, heraldseries.co.uk
Top 10 highest earning film directors and the movies that made them billion dollar legends , Check full list here. Cocktail 2 Worldwide Box Office ( Closing Collection ): With 166 Crore+ Total , Wraps Up As Bollywood 6th Highest - G.... The Odyssey North America Box Office : Beats Oppenheimer Lifetime , Becomes Christopher Nolan 3rd Highest - Grosser.
Sources: businesstoday.in, koimoi.com, koimoi.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? - IShowSpeed at 5.6% with $69K traded.
Top volume remains in Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? - IShowSpeed.
Lead event
Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? - IShowSpeed
Trading at 5.6% with $69K in volume.
Event leaders
Who will attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Top volume: IShowSpeed | 5.6% | $69K
Top odds: Marcelo | 31.0%
Kai and Speed beat Minecraft challenge by...?
Top volume & odds: August 17 | 19.0% | $61K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 8.0% | $12K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 92.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 2.1% | $6K
Top odds: December 31 | 5.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $2K
Sources: fortune.com, forbes.com, finance.yahoo.com
Ethereum price today : August 7 , 2026
Ethereum price today : August 7 , 2026. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Wednesday , August 5 , 2026 : Crypto prices rise as investors watch Hormuz negoti.... Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Thursday , August 6 , 2026 : Prices firm as Hormuz negotiations continue and ADP....
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes at 22.0% with $530K traded.
Top volume remains in Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 22.0% | $530K
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $150M | 72.0% | $7K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 4.5% | $5K
Popular events
Sixers to take on the Knicks to start the NBA season on Oct . 20 – NBC10 Philadelphia. 20 In Their Twenties - Indianapolis Business Journal. NBA opening night schedule for 2026 - 27 season : Games , teams , date – NBC New York.
Sources: nbcphiladelphia.com, ibj.com, nbcnewyork.com
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners
Football Daily - Karel Prince : Lie Detector - Fenners. Jorge Messi : Lionel Messi father dies aged 68 after long illness. 2026 Ballon dOr : 4 former winners that will lose out on award this year.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, bbc.co.uk, dailypost.ng
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by NFL Champion 2027 - Seattle Seahawks at 9.0% with $57K traded.
Top volume remains in NFL Champion 2027 - Seattle Seahawks.
Event leaders
Top volume: Minnesota Timberwolves | 3.3% | $48K
Top odds: Oklahoma City Thunder | 22.0%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Top volume & odds: Barcelona | 15.0% | $5K
Popular events
Met Office delivers verdict on next united kingdom rain forecast
Met Office delivers verdict on next united kingdom rain forecast.
Sources: express.co.uk
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.7% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.7% | $4K
Popular events
+$3,336
+$2,864
+$2,573
Kalshi via Jupiter
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