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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Event volume totals $1B across outcomes, with $26K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Gavin Newsom" at 19.4%, with top volume on "J.B. Pritzker" at 1.1% and $12K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in July?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 71.2% and $355K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: Israel closes its airspace by...? - July 31 leads the desk at 3.0% with $141K traded.
Lead stories
Morning note : economia e finanza dai giornali esteri
Morning note : economia e finanza dai giornali esteri. Manor Solomon agent says player wants to leave Spurs permanently this summer. SNP blame election for emergency heating oil fund failings.
Sources: borsaitaliana.it, cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com, heraldscotland.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in July? - No change leads the desk at 71.2% with $355K traded.
Lead stories
How the Fed Really Works and What It Means for Clients
How the Fed Really Works and What It Means for Clients. Trump Urges Fed To Cut Interest Rates Amid Inflation Concerns. Trump Urges Fed To Cut Interest Rates Amid Inflation Concerns.
Sources: wealthmanagement.com, newsradio710.iheart.com, ktok.iheart.com
Crude oil plunges after U . S . pauses Iran strikes , Trump says having good talk ( USO : NYSEARCA )
Crude oil plunges after U . S . pauses Iran strikes , Trump says having good talk ( USO : NYSEARCA ). Cushing Crude Inventories Hit Lowest Levels Since 2014. Oil Prices Just Posted Their Biggest One - Day Drop in Two Months . Here What it Means for Energy Investors ..
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T leads the desk at 19.0% with $54K traded.
Lead stories
AI Company Employees Give Millions to Democrats
AI Company Employees Give Millions to Democrats. OpenAI Just Revealed Its AI Went Rogue . The Rest of the Story Is Even Stranger .. Nvidia Launches Open - Source AI Security Alliance.
Sources: lifenews.com, sify.com, bankinfosecurity.com
Microsoft touts cost - saving AI model for cybersecurity
Microsoft touts cost - saving AI model for cybersecurity. Nvidia $750 billion deals revive fear of AI circular financing – Orange County Register. Nvidia $750 billion deals revive fear of AI circular financing – Boston Herald.
B5
Lead market: Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday leads the desk at 12.0% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
Toy Story 5 Worldwide Box Office : Crosses $1 Billion Worldwide & Unseats Michael As 2026 Biggest Film. Hollywood billion dollar visionaries : These directors have minted billions at the global box office. Obsession Worldwide Box Office : Surpasses Beetlejuice Beetlejuice To Become The 6th Highest - Grossing Horror Film O....
Sources: koimoi.com, businesstoday.in, koimoi.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500 leads the desk at 10.0% with $301K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , July 27 , 2026 : Can positive price trends hold this week ?. If you had invested $1 , 000 in gold instead of Bitcoin five years ago , here is what each is worth today. Michael Saylor Strategy Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings Will Bitcoin Persistent Declines Weigh on Results ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: NBA: 2027 Champion - Detroit Pistons leads the desk at 2.9% with $174K traded.
Lead stories
Former LeBron James frontrunner handed boost as Klay Thompson looks set to leave the Mavericks
Former LeBron James frontrunner handed boost as Klay Thompson looks set to leave the Mavericks. LeBron James to continue wearing No . 23 as Philadelphia 76er , team announces. He needs space – Former NBA champion urges Bronny James to stay with Lakers after LeBron 76ers move.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.4% with $135K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
UHERO study reveals progress , persistent challenges for Maui wildfire survivors
UHERO study reveals progress , persistent challenges for Maui wildfire survivors. In 1876 , a thorny tree was introduced to India to fight drought , more than a century later , Prosopis Juliflora sti.... Floods Disrupt MSMEs , Warehouses , Manufacturing As Businesses Count Mounting Losses.
Sources: hawaiinewsnow.com, ,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
97.7%
$61
Could Impact Election : Republican Mutiny Threatens Thune Leadership Over Trump Election Bill. Putin refuses to host Pashinyan at Kremlin , Armenian analyst says. Mitch McConnell Absence : List of Legislation Cosponsored by Senator Since Hospitalization.
Sources: ibtimes.co.uk, panorama.am, newsweek.com
Putin Gets Spectacularly Ambushed After Leaving His Bunker
Putin Gets Spectacularly Ambushed After Leaving His Bunker. Putin Thanks North Korea for Ukraine War Support as Kim - Putin Summit Speculation Grows. Russian Economy Stable , Despite External Attempts to Destabilize Energy Situation.
Sources: thedailybeast.com, jp.ibtimes.com, globalsecurity.org
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Israel closes its airspace by...? - July 31 at 3.0% with $141K traded.
Top volume remains in Israel closes its airspace by...? - July 31.
Event leaders
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Top volume: July 31 | 13.0% | $127K
Top odds: December 31 | 85.0%
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 9.0% | $103K
Top odds: June 30, 2027 | 16.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Top volume: September 30 | 18.0% | $93K
Top odds: December 31 | 24.0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Top volume: August 31 | 3.0% | $54K
Top odds: December 31 | 13.0%
Popular events
13.9%
—
$14M
—
Republican nominee
Event volume $682M
Presidential election
Event volume $672M
Sources: seekingalpha.com, natlawreview.com, fool.com
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Faces a Committee Where 9 of 19 Members Are Signaling Higher Interest Rates This Year. Will mortgage rates improve after this week Fed meeting ?. Bond investors , unsure about Fed policy outlook , hedge against U . S . rate shock.
Sources: fool.com, cbsnews.com, theglobeandmail.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in July? - No change at 71.2% with $355K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in July? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 71.2% | $355K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $95 | 2.4% | $277K
Top odds: ↑ $80 | 82.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 78.0% | $59K
Popular events
Sources: cnbc.com, ocregister.com, bostonherald.com
Nvidia $750 billion deals revive fear of AI circular financing – The Virginian - Pilot
Nvidia $750 billion deals revive fear of AI circular financing – The Virginian - Pilot. Nvidia $750 billion deals revive fear of AI circular financing – The Press Democrat. Nvidia $750 billion deals revive fear of AI circular financing – The Morning Call.
Sources: pilotonline.com, pressdemocrat.com, mcall.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T at 19.0% with $54K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$3.0T
Trading at 19.0% with $54K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 19.0% | $54K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 86.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.9% | $2K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Perplexity AI | 32.0% | $1K
Top odds: MGM Resorts | 72.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.0% | $972
The Conjuring Meets Stranger Things In Netflix 8 - Part Fantasy Series
The Conjuring Meets Stranger Things In Netflix 8 - Part Fantasy Series. All Things Go 2026 : How To Buy Affordable Festival Tickets Online. David Harbour teases really quite brilliant new Netflix spy thriller with Millie Bobby Brown.
Sources: screenrant.com, billboard.com, digitalspy.com
With Fanomenon , K - Pop Biggest Companies See Their Answer To Coachella
With Fanomenon , K - Pop Biggest Companies See Their Answer To Coachella. National Portrait Gallery acquires portrait of visionary artist Charli XCX. National Portrait Gallery acquires portrait of visionary artist Charli XCX.
Sources: forbes.com, echo-news.co.uk, thenorthernecho.co.uk
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday at 12.0% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Highest grossing movie in 2026? - Avengers: Doomsday.
Event leaders
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Avengers: Doomsday | 12.0% | $9K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 82.0%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: December 31, 2026 | 6.0% | $5K
Top odds: March 31, 2027 | 17.0%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 1 | 46.0% | $2K
Top odds: 2 | 54.0%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 40.0% | $1K
Top odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 61.0%
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
Top volume & odds: Max Martin | 76.0% | $1K
Bitmine Nears Goal of Controlling 5 % of Ethereum Supply With $11 . 8 Billion Treasury. Bitcoin trades near $65 , 000 ahead of FOMC amid ETF outflows and geopolitical concerns. Crypto Market Today , July 27 : Bitcoin Steadies as Ahead of Fed Meeting.
U . S . Senate puts off crypto Clarity Act for now as it focuses limited bandwidth elsewhere
U . S . Senate puts off crypto Clarity Act for now as it focuses limited bandwidth elsewhere. CLARITY Act : Goldman CEO Backs Bill JPMorgan Rejects. Anthony Scaramucci Keeps Fingers Crossed on Crypto Bill , But Reiterates Democrats Are Acting Out of Tru.
Sources: coindesk.com, coinspeaker.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500 at 10.0% with $301K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 37.0% | $34K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 5.3% | $12K
Ethereum all time high by ___?
Top volume: September 30, 2026 | 2.8% | $8K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 6.0%
Popular events
Ballon dOr 2026 power rankings : Kane leads race as key dates , shortlist timeline emerge. Zinedine Zidane named France new head coach after Deschamp 14 - year tenure. Rodri Has Successful Back Surgery , Man City Confirms.
Sources: vanguardngr.com, timesofoman.com, newkerala.com
Women World title match official for AEW All In
Women World title match official for AEW All In. Marvel Tokon : Fighting Souls leaked footage seemingly reveals a hidden playable character. Willow Nightingale opens up about her battle with depression.
Sources: f4wonline.com, eventhubs.com, f4wonline.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by NBA: 2027 Champion - Detroit Pistons at 2.9% with $174K traded.
Top volume remains in NBA: 2027 Champion - Detroit Pistons.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Harry Kane | 46.0% | $143K
Top volume & odds: Mercedes | 84.0% | $8K
Popular events
NBA: 2027 Champion - Detroit Pistons
Vol $174K
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 - Harry Kane
Vol $143K
EPL: 2027 Champion - Tottenham
Vol $37K
Africa Solar Energy Market Gains Momentum as Egypt Adds 951 MW Project , South Africa Expands Microgrids , Mining PPA.... Lagos becomes first Nigerian State to launch Greenhouse Gas Registry. Lagos Charts New Course in Climate Governance With – THISDAYLIVE.
Sources: greentechlead.com, pmnewsnigeria.com, thisdaylive.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.4% with $135K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.4% | $135K
Popular events
+$61,062
+$47,014
+$44,498
Kalshi via Jupiter
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