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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?" Event volume totals $3M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "December 31, 2026" at 3.1% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?)" at 1.7% and $712K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...? - December 31, 2026
$0
Highest implied
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
98.2%
Top priced
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
98.2%
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 10.0% with $368K traded.
Lead stories
Democratic Taiwan must not become China Taiwan : President Lai Ching - te
Democratic Taiwan must not become China Taiwan : President Lai Ching - te. Democratic Taiwan Must Not Become China Taiwan , President Says. Democratic Taiwan must not become China Taiwan , president says.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, english.aawsat.com, asiaone.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes leads the desk at 1.7% with $712K traded.
Lead stories
Why the Strait of Hormuz has become Iran biggest bargaining chip
Why the Strait of Hormuz has become Iran biggest bargaining chip. Nobody is willing to move : Iran ship attacks push Strait of Hormuz into worst - case scenario , says maritime risk CEO. Why Iran wont give up control over Hormuz : West Asia expert explains Tehran strategy.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, moneycontrol.com, businesstoday.in
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic leads the desk at 98.2% with $10K traded.
Lead stories
Your company has changed . Has artificial intelligence noticed ?
Your company has changed . Has artificial intelligence noticed ?.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com
China Kimi K3 Hits US Stock Markets . Is the American AI Boom Over ?
China Kimi K3 Hits US Stock Markets . Is the American AI Boom Over ?. Chinese AI model takes US tech industry by surprise with abilities rivaling Claude and ChatGPT. Anthropic Potential $1 . 2 Trillion IPO Could Make This Stock a Major Beneficiary.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, ,
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 2.5% with $36K traded.
Lead stories
AP CM Naidu Congratulates Winners of the 72nd National Film Awards
AP CM Naidu Congratulates Winners of the 72nd National Film Awards. ( 41 ) Im Kwon - taek brought Korean tradition to screen. Prabhas reacts as Kalki 2898 AD wins Best Popular Film at National Awards : A proud honour for the entire family.
Sources: deccanchronicle.com, hancinema.net, moneycontrol.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,250 leads the desk at 24.0% with $102K traded.
Lead stories
4 Cryptocurrencies Poised to Deliver Huge Gains , According to Standard Chartered
4 Cryptocurrencies Poised to Deliver Huge Gains , According to Standard Chartered. Down 62 % From Its High , Is Ethereum a Value Play or a Classic Value Trap ?. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : Whale Longs Back ETH Breakout as $2 , 000 Liquidity and $2 , 500 Target Come Into....
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, bravenewcoin.com
B7
Lead market: F1 Drivers' Champion - Lando Norris leads the desk at 2.0% with $395K traded.
Lead stories
F1 rejects claims Spa coverage hiding energy problem
F1 rejects claims Spa coverage hiding energy problem. Max Verstappen Belgian GP telemetry reveals huge Isack Hadjar tow advantage. Blaney hot headed to Wilkesboro | The Arkansas Democrat - Gazette - Arkansa Best News Source.
Sources: grandprix.com, planetf1.com, arkansasonline.com
F1 : Russell gains valuable championship points with Austria win - Inside Track Motorsport News
F1 : Russell gains valuable championship points with Austria win - Inside Track Motorsport News. How the crossword conquered America and reigns even to this day.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.3% with $28K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
UK weather : Parts of country to get break in heatwave but dry spell to continue
UK weather : Parts of country to get break in heatwave but dry spell to continue.
Sources: bbc.co.uk
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.2%
$10K
Why did US - Iran ceasefire collapse ? Timeline of peace deal that unravelled.
Sources: indianexpress.com
Iran : Not in Iran : Israeli source says supreme leader absent as internal power struggle deepens
Iran : Not in Iran : Israeli source says supreme leader absent as internal power struggle deepens. Iran faces internal power struggle as hardliners attack government. Not inside Iran : Where is Mojtaba Khamenei ?.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, moneycontrol.com, albawaba.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? - Yes at 10.0% with $368K traded.
Top volume remains in Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? - Yes.
Lead event
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? - Yes
Trading at 10.0% with $368K in volume.
Event leaders
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?) | 10.0% | $368K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 31.0% | $269K
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 73.7% | $256K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?) | 11.0% | $123K
Popular events
14.1%
+0.1pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $677M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $665M0%
Why a modest US interest rate rise wont change much for most businesses | Gene Marks. Farmer Wants A Wife Yvonne leaves before Jarrad reveals final choice Brodie. The 2 pizza days are over . Here what everyone in business and tech is saying about team size ..
Sources: theguardian.com, perthnow.com.au, finance.yahoo.com
WTI Crude Oil Holds Above $80 Amid Middle East Strain
WTI Crude Oil Holds Above $80 Amid Middle East Strain. Oil rises on intensifying US - Iran hostilities , threat of Red Sea closure - Business. Will Sensex , Nifty extend gains on Monday ? Q1 earnings , global tech selloff among 6 factors to steer D - St this week.
Sources: dailyforex.com, dawn.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes at 1.7% with $712K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? - Yes
Trading at 1.7% with $712K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 1.7% | $712K
Top volume & odds: No change | 93.0% | $527K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $85 | 89.0% | $86K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?) | 53.0% | $66K
Popular events
Moonshot plans to list in Hong Kong within six months at a $30 billion valuation
Moonshot plans to list in Hong Kong within six months at a $30 billion valuation. Elon Musk Admits He Underestimated Anthropic AI , and Amazon and Alphabet Investors Should Take Notice. SpaceX Extends Its AI Leasing Playbook to Pentagon.
Sources: thenextweb.com, finance.yahoo.com, newsghana.com.gh
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic at 98.2% with $10K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of July? - Anthropic
Trading at 98.2% with $10K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.2% | $10K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$1.5T | 66.0% | $6K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 93.0%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 86.0% | $3K
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Top volume & odds: Paramount | 73.0% | $2K
When Born - Again No Longer Means Transformed. [ Catholic Caucus Devotional ] My Catholic Life ! Catholic Daily Reflections : Transformed by God Word Sunday , July.... Chapel in the Pines Sunday Service for July 12th , 2026 , Fruitful Living – Week 2.
Sources: townhall.com, freerepublic.com, new.thepinetree.net
WEATHER : Rain and light winds expected in parts of SA
WEATHER : Rain and light winds expected in parts of SA. NEET UG 2026 AIR 1 Aryan Gupta Congratulated by Arvind Kejriwal , Eyes AIIMS Delhi. The biggest dog breed in the world isnt a Great Dane or St . Bernard , according to data . See the top 50 ..
Sources: thesouthafrican.com, oneindia.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 2.5% with $36K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 2.5% with $36K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 2.5% | $36K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $14K
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 1 | 42.0% | $10K
Top odds: 2 | 58.0%
Top volume: Patrick Bailey | 2.8% | $7K
Top odds: Pete Crow-Armstrong | 90.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Toy Story 5 | 5.5% | $5K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 72.0%
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Says $60 , 000 Is the Bottom for Bitcoin . Where Does BTC Go From Here ?. The CLARITY Act Could Be in Trouble . This is the Only Crypto Im Buying Right Now .. The White House Is Renewing Its Push for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve . Here What That Could Mean for Bitcoin ..
MicroStrategy CEO : Wall Street Biggest Banks are Locked in a Tight Bitcoin Race
MicroStrategy CEO : Wall Street Biggest Banks are Locked in a Tight Bitcoin Race. Kraken launches crypto options , betting simpler products can expand the market. Bitcoin Standard Hashrate Token Market Cap Hits $101 . 96 Thousand ( BTCST ).
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, coindesk.com, tickerreport.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,250 at 24.0% with $102K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? - ↓ 1,250.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 38.0% | $18K
Popular events
Sources: insidetracknews.com, sott.net
Spain vs Argentina LIVE : World Cup final 2026 match stream , latest team news , lineups , TV , prediction. Spain beats Argentina 1 - 0 in World Cup final | The Jerusalem Post. Spain beats Argentina 1 - 0 in World Cup final | The Jerusalem Post.
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by F1 Drivers' Champion - Lando Norris at 2.0% with $395K traded.
Top volume remains in F1 Drivers' Champion - Lando Norris.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Mercedes | 85.0% | $6K
Top volume & odds: Harry Kane | 40.8% | $5K
Who will Merab Dvalishivili fight next?
Top volume: Ricky Simón | 1.8% | $2K
Top odds: Petr Yan | 75.0%
Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Top volume: Tim Elliott | 1.2% | $2K
Top odds: Joshua Van | 61.0%
Popular events
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.3% with $28K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.3% | $28K
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 | 72.0% | $3K
Popular events
+$47,014
+$30,563
+$26,865
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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