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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Event volume totals $1B across outcomes, with $1M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Gavin Newsom" at 20.2%, with top volume on "Pete Buttigieg" at 5.2% and $31K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in July?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 95.7% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Jon Stewart
$0
Highest implied
Israeli parliament dissolved by...? - July 31
98.8%
Top priced
Israeli parliament dissolved by...? - July 31
98.8%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 26.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Treasury Secretary Bessent takes another drastic action hurting Iran
Treasury Secretary Bessent takes another drastic action hurting Iran.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
Iran has no plans for negotiations , remains focused on defense : Foreign Ministry spokesperson
Iran has no plans for negotiations , remains focused on defense : Foreign Ministry spokesperson. Iran withdraws from MoU and plans control of Strait of Hormuz no matter what. Iran War 3 . 0 : Where Did This All Go Wrong ?.
Sources: aninews.in,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in July? - No change leads the desk at 95.7% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Sen . Warren calls for probe into Fed outside review of Silicon Valley Bank failure – The Mercury News. Fed Chairman Warsh faces an inflation credibility test : Analysis. Dollar struggles as softer inflation dims Fed hike bets.
Sources: mercurynews.com, cnbc.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B4
Lead market: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$2.5T leads the desk at 20.0% with $15K traded.
Lead stories
Jamie Dimon Says Anthropic Mythos Access Debate Is a Warning Sign for AI Future - JPMorgan Chase ( NYS. Elon Musk Reverses Course and Calls Anthropic the AI Leader. Apple plans to buy chip startups to catch up in the AI race : Report.
Sources: benzinga.com, memeburn.com, digit.in
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 leads the desk at 3.8% with $63K traded.
Lead stories
Things To Do in Detroit This Weekend : July 17 - July 19
Things To Do in Detroit This Weekend : July 17 - July 19. Things To Do in Detroit This Weekend : July 17 - July 19. Olivier Rousteing Joins Rabanne : 5 Iconic Celebrity Looks.
Sources: wrif.com, wcsx.com, wiznation.com
Top Ten Movies of 2026 ... So Far
Top Ten Movies of 2026 ... So Far. Obsession Finally Gets Beaten as Another Horror Blockbuster Hits Digital. Obsession Finally Gets Beaten as Another Horror Blockbuster Hits Digital - Comic Book Movies and Superhero Movie News.
Sources:
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500 leads the desk at 52.0% with $115K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Wednesday , July 15 , 2026 : Prices surge after softer inflation report. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest Thinks Bitcoin Has Finally Bottomed Out . If History Is Any Guide , This Is What Happens Ne.... Cathie Wood of Ark Invest Thinks Bitcoin Has Finally Bottomed Out . If History Is Any Guide , This Is What Happens Ne....
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, fool.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina leads the desk at 42.2% with $13M traded.
Lead stories
Argentina fans gather in Salford for big semi - final party
Argentina fans gather in Salford for big semi - final party. Argentina stun England with 2 - 1 comeback win to reach World Cup final - Breaking News. Messi Argentina stun England in comeback to reach World Cup final.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, dailymirror.lk, thejournal.ie
Spain vs Argentina World Cup final predictions : Winners plus Golden Ball and Golden Boot picks
Spain vs Argentina World Cup final predictions : Winners plus Golden Ball and Golden Boot picks. England vs . Argentina mega - preview : Predictions , form guide , key players and more. Harry Kane addresses England World Cup retirement after Argentina exit.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.6% with $67K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
Saskatchewan storm season close to breaking records as tornado totals rise - Saskatoon
Saskatchewan storm season close to breaking records as tornado totals rise - Saskatoon.
Sources: globalnews.ca
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.7%
$85K
Turner urges legal pathways for Haitians to remain | Local
Turner urges legal pathways for Haitians to remain | Local. Beloved or not , Lindsey Graham was a critical dealmaker in Congress. Sick Putin puppet gloats after death of Trump ally - Too bad it was just him.
Sources: daytondailynews.com, theguardian.com, express.co.uk
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes at 26.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 26.0% | $1M
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
Top volume: July 17 | 5.4% | $300K
Top odds: August 15 | 30.0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?) | 3.8% | $131K
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?) | 6.6% | $91K
Popular events
12.1%
0.0pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $674M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $661M0%
Schrödinger Hormuz : Is there a 20 % fee on ships transiting the strait or not ?. U . S . Launches Daytime Strikes Against Iran. U . S . Launches Daytime Strikes Against Iran | NewsRadio 1170 WWVA.
Fuel price : Global oil prices decline
Fuel price : Global oil prices decline. Brent rises to $85 . 53 per barrel. Gas Prices Expected To Rise With Renewed US / Iran War.
Sources: dailypost.ng, news.am, z100portland.iheart.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in July? - No change at 95.7% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in July? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 95.7% | $1M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 1.4% | $223K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $95 | 13.4% | $110K
Top odds: ↑ $85 | 53.0%
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of July? | 84.0% | $95K
Top volume & odds: No change | 65.0% | $84K
Popular events
ASML signals strength in global AI buildout. Anthropic is said to plan IPO investor meetings as listing nears. Anthropic Is Moving Toward a Mega - IPO . Then It Could Reshape the AI Investment Race ..
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, moneycontrol.com, ibtimes.com
Feud deepens between Samsung device , chip divisions over incentives
Feud deepens between Samsung device , chip divisions over incentives. Boston - area AI startup Walden Robotics raises $300 million.
Sources: koreatimes.co.kr, bostonglobe.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$2.5T at 20.0% with $15K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$2.5T.
Lead event
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? - ↑$2.5T
Trading at 20.0% with $15K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$2.5T | 20.0% | $15K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 92.0%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 87.0% | $12K
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 97.3% | $8K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: PayPal | 70.0% | $3K
Top odds: Brown-Forman | 74.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.0% | $3K
Olivier Rousteing Joins Rabanne : 5 Iconic Celebrity Looks
Olivier Rousteing Joins Rabanne : 5 Iconic Celebrity Looks. Black Creatives Who Made TIME100 Creators List. Things To Do in Tampa This Weekend : July 17 - July 19.
Sources: mycolumbuspower.com, theroot.com, 925maxima.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30 at 3.8% with $63K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - September 30
Trading at 3.8% with $63K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 3.8% | $63K
Top odds: December 31 | 8.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Odyssey | 8.1% | $26K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 75.0%
Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?
Top volume: Max Martin | 80.9% | $10K
Top odds: Danielle Haim | 98.7%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $3K
Clarity Act negotiations : High - level White House meeting planned , sources say. Insignary Launches Clarity On - Demand : SBOMs , No Annual Commitment Required. July 15 , Birthday Horoscope : Here what the tarot cards have in store for you.
Sources: coindesk.com, nextbigfuture.com, hindustantimes.com
If you put $1 , 000 in Bitcoin today , here what it could turn Into by 2030 according to Cathie Wood
If you put $1 , 000 in Bitcoin today , here what it could turn Into by 2030 according to Cathie Wood. Chart of the Day - Bitcoin Bear Market End In Sight. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest Thinks Bitcoin Has Finally Bottomed Out . If History Is Any Guide , This Is What Happens Ne....
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, bravenewcoin.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500 at 52.0% with $115K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 37.0% | $94K
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, fourfourtwo.com
Rush on BBC One London : full details and when it on
Rush on BBC One London : full details and when it on. Damon Hill reveals the F1 career lesson he wishes he had learned earlier. Gabriel Bortoleto Says Other F1 Drivers Should Turn The Page On New Rules Complaints.
Sources: tvguide.co.uk, motorsport.com, jalopnik.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina at 42.2% with $13M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina.
Event leaders
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume & odds: Lionel Messi | 65.6% | $1M
Top volume & odds: Lionel Messi | 90.5% | $209K
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Europe (UEFA) | 59.0% | $173K
Popular events
Utah measles outbreak has slowed , but the fall season may see another surge.
Sources: fortune.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.6% with $67K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.6% | $67K
Popular events
+$47,014
+$32,003
+$30,563
Kalshi via Jupiter
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