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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Event volume totals $1B across outcomes, with $726K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Gavin Newsom" at 19.8%, with top volume on "Ro Khanna" at 2.1% and $14K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed Decision in July?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 77.0% and $215K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 - Wes Moore
$0
Highest implied
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) - Starmer - UK PM
98.7%
Top priced
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) - Starmer - UK PM
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 18.0% with $239K traded.
Lead stories
US - Iran war news LIVE : Trump threatens Iran will no longer exist ; air raid sirens in Bahrain , Kuwait.
Sources: hindustantimes.com
Turner urges legal pathways for Haitians to remain | Local
Turner urges legal pathways for Haitians to remain | Local. US Senator Lindsey Graham , close aide of Trump , dies at 71 after brief and sudden illnes | World. US Sen . Lindsey Graham dies at 71 after a brief and sudden illness , his office says.
Sources: ,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Fed Decision in July? - No change leads the desk at 77.0% with $215K traded.
Lead stories
China intensifies digital push in energy sector amid AI boom
China intensifies digital push in energy sector amid AI boom. Is Your Smartphone Ruining Your Life ? These 6 People Switched to Flip Phones and Finally Found Peace.
Sources: theborneopost.com, pcmag.com
Iran adviser says Strait of Hormuz is more important than dozens of atomic bombs
Iran adviser says Strait of Hormuz is more important than dozens of atomic bombs. Traffic is flowing ... Iran does not control the strait : US says Hormuz remains open despite Iranian threats. UKMTO says Strait of Hormuz threat remains severe ; southern route open.
Sources:
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of July? - OpenAI leads the desk at 1.4% with $40K traded.
Lead stories
FuriosaAI RNGD Lands in Europe : Korea Power - Efficient Inference Chip Reaches Equinix Lisbon
FuriosaAI RNGD Lands in Europe : Korea Power - Efficient Inference Chip Reaches Equinix Lisbon. Palo Alto Networks CEO Says AI Must Get 10 Times More Efficient Before Enterprises Adopt It. Elon Musk and Sam Altman spar on X after Apple files OpenAI lawsuit.
Sources: techtimes.com, theepochtimes.com, cnbc.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.1% with $57K traded.
Lead stories
How to get Manchester tickets for £16 for Jesus Christ Superstar starring Sam Ryder
How to get Manchester tickets for £16 for Jesus Christ Superstar starring Sam Ryder. Famous WitchToker follows Jesus and faces major backlash. Only Christ can banish the terror of death.
Sources: manchestereveningnews.co.uk, theblaze.com, theblaze.com
Minions & Monsters Worldwide Box Office : Inches Away From Becoming The 4th Highest - Grossing Animation of 2026 ?. Michael Becomes First Biopic to Surpass $1 Billion Worldwide. Obsession Is Now the Highest - Grossing Original Horror Film of the 21st Century.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500 leads the desk at 43.0% with $67K traded.
Lead stories
Top Value Investor Bill Miller IV Says Bitcoin Is Undervalued . So How Much Higher Can Bitcoin Go This Year ?. Top Value Investor Bill Miller IV Says Bitcoin Is Undervalued . So How Much Higher Can Bitcoin Go This Year ?. Dont buy Bitcoin yet , says legendary analyst forecasting $500 , 000.
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina leads the desk at 18.2% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
FIFA WC : Bellingham brace fires England into semfinal
FIFA WC : Bellingham brace fires England into semfinal. FIFA WC : Bellingham brace fires England into semfinal. Spain , France , England or Argentina : Who Will Be Crowned 2026 World Cup Champions ?.
Sources: siasat.com, prokerala.com, khaama.com
Let him say whatever he want - Konate slams Yamal ahead of Spain clash
Let him say whatever he want - Konate slams Yamal ahead of Spain clash. Yamals says Spaniards have what to takes to win | The Arkansas Democrat - Gazette. Lamine Yamal Fires Warning to France Ahead of Spain World Cup Semifinal Clash.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.4% with $13K traded.
Lead stories
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk
Hantavirus doesnt linger , requires close contact : Officials – KTBB News , Weather , Talk.
Sources: ktbb.com
Iowa Confirms First Case of Measles in Vaccinated Person – KCHA NEWS – Charles City News , Weather & Sports.
Sources: kchanews.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
United opposition and the presidential system
United opposition and the presidential system. APC Sweeps Edo LG Polls , Wins All 18 Chairmanship , 192 Councillorship Seats. Congratulations Kashim Shettima.
Sources: standardmedia.co.ke, channelstv.com, leadership.ng
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes at 18.0% with $239K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 18.0% | $239K
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
Top volume: July 31 | 31.0% | $168K
Top odds: December 31 | 62.0%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Top volume: Pete Buttigieg | 2.6% | $157K
Top odds: JD Vance | 19.9%
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Top volume: July 15 | 3.6% | $139K
Top odds: December 31 | 35.0%
Popular events
12.2%
+1.7pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $672M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $657M0%
WTI Crude Oil : Why the Market Calm May Be More Fragile
WTI Crude Oil : Why the Market Calm May Be More Fragile. Crude oil futures jump nearly 6 % to Rs 7 , 198 / barrel as US - Iran conflict fuel supply fears. Crude oil futures surge up to 6 %, jump ₹384 amid US - Iran tensions.
Sources: dailyforex.com, moneycontrol.com, auto.economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed Decision in July? - No change at 77.0% with $215K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed Decision in July? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 77.0% | $215K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 3.6% | $197K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $80 | 49.0% | $71K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Fed rate hike in 2026?) | 61.0% | $49K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will GameStop acquire eBay?) | 13.0% | $48K
Popular events
Sam Altman Is Waiting for a $1 Trillion OpenAI Valuation . SoftBank Has a $40 Billion Loan Due March 2027 .. A $28 Billion AI IPO Trading at Just 7x Earnings : Too Cheap or Too Cyclical to Trust ?. Elon Musk roasts OpenAI Apple lawsuit but Altman hits back : Youre the one selling investors on space datacenters.
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
The US Stock Market Hottest New Offerings Are Having a Rough Go
The US Stock Market Hottest New Offerings Are Having a Rough Go. Y Combinator Tom Blomfield joins Anthropic compute team. Anthropic rolls out rupee pricing for Claude AI in India.
Sources: businessinsider.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of July? - OpenAI at 1.4% with $40K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of July? - OpenAI.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Top volume: OpenAI | 1.4% | $40K
Top odds: Anthropic | 95.0%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 87.0% | $4K
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 75.0% | $4K
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Top volume: ↑$3.0T | 10.0% | $3K
Top odds: ↑$1.25T | 93.0%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 22.0% | $871
Popular events
Sources: koimoi.com, aceshowbiz.com, movieweb.com
Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass Wins Major Award Highlighting Its Unique Comedy
Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass Wins Major Award Highlighting Its Unique Comedy. Indie Film Box Office : A24 The Invite At No . 6 In Solid Expansion. Deadline.
Sources: aceshowbiz.com, deadline.com, deadline.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.1% with $57K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $57K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 1.1% | $21K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 74.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume: September 30 | 3.6% | $21K
Top odds: December 31 | 8.0%
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Top volume: 4 | 1.2% | $13K
Top odds: 2 | 63.0%
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Top volume: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 22.0% | $505
Top odds: Avengers: Doomsday | 73.0%
Saylor Strategy Messaging Not Helping Push Bitcoin Story Says StanChart. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Has a New Solution to America $39 Trillion Debt Problem . ( Hint : It Involves Bitcoin .). Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong Has a New Solution to America $39 Trillion Debt Problem . ( Hint : It Involves Bitcoin .).
Sources: cointelegraph.com, fool.com, finance.yahoo.com
Eric Trump says ETH is pumping hard : Why Ethereum price is rising today
Eric Trump says ETH is pumping hard : Why Ethereum price is rising today. Here What to Expect in the Next Crypto Bull Market. Here What to Expect in the Next Crypto Bull Market.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, fool.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500 at 43.0% with $67K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in July? - ↑ 67,500.
Event leaders
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?) | 46.0% | $12K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 5.6% | $10K
Popular events
Sources: vanguardngr.com, arkansasonline.com, dailypioneer.com
Ten of the biggest FIFA World Cup 2026 controversies analyzed and graded
Ten of the biggest FIFA World Cup 2026 controversies analyzed and graded. England 60 years of hurt – by the players who lived it. 2026 World Cup Golden Boot Odds : Kylian Mbappe Set as Odds - On Favorite Ahead of Semifinals.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, si.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina at 18.2% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Argentina.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: France | 41.25% | $1M
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Jude Bellingham | 3.2% | $235K
Top odds: Kylian Mbappe | 57.0%
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Top volume & odds: France | 60.0% | $134K
Top volume: Ousmane Dembélé | 1.9% | $124K
Top odds: Kylian Mbappé | 42.0%
Popular events
76mm of rain leaves parts of Dhaka waterlogged , disrupts daily life.
Sources: thedailystar.net
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 2.4% with $13K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 2.4% | $13K
Popular events
+$47,014
+$32,003
+$25,810
Kalshi via Jupiter
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