Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner". Event volume totals $2M across outcomes, with $210 traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Bert Mizusawa" at 81.0%, with top volume on "Kim Farington" at 19.0% and $165 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 7.0% and $992K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Markets at a glance
Most traded
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Belgium
$7M
Highest implied
98.7%
Top priced
98.7%
Volume leaders
B1
Lead market: Colombia Presidential Election - Iván Cepeda Castro leads the desk at 1.4% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
# EkitiDecides2026 : CDD flags vote - buying , ballot discrepancies , BVAS glitches
# EkitiDecides2026 : CDD flags vote - buying , ballot discrepancies , BVAS glitches. Ekiti 2026 : Clear vote of confidence - Tinubu congratulates Oyebanji. LP senatorial candidate rejects Nasarawa by - election results.
Sources: premiumtimesng.com, dailypost.ng, punchng.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 7.0% with $992K traded.
Lead stories
Iran Parliament to vote on Hormuz Strait management plan soon
Iran Parliament to vote on Hormuz Strait management plan soon.
Sources: globalsecurity.org
Trump Dismisses Warsh Decision , Cuban Credits Stock Market For Billionaire Wealth , Schiff Criticism A. US Fed meeting outcome today : 5 things investors should watch as policymakers weigh inflation risks. A quieter Federal Reserve could mean volatile markets , higher rates.
Sources: benzinga.com,
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of June? - OpenAI leads the desk at 2.1% with $48K traded.
Lead stories
Microsoft vs . Nvidia : Which AI Giant Is the Better Dividend Stock for the Long Haul ?
Microsoft vs . Nvidia : Which AI Giant Is the Better Dividend Stock for the Long Haul ?.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
3 Lessons From the SpaceX IPO Every Investor Should Know Before Anthropic and OpenAI Hit the Market
3 Lessons From the SpaceX IPO Every Investor Should Know Before Anthropic and OpenAI Hit the Market.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.0% with $36K traded.
Lead stories
Why is Jesus depicted with his heart outside his body ?
Why is Jesus depicted with his heart outside his body ?. Why evangelism needs deliverance ministry. Catholic Caucus : Daily Mass Readings 7 - June - 2026.
Sources: aleteia.org, christianpost.com, freerepublic.com
French Feel - Good Musical Comedy The Marching Band US Trailer
French Feel - Good Musical Comedy The Marching Band US Trailer. Governor Box Office Collection Day 4 : Manoj Bajpayee Movie Crosses Rs 3 Crore , Continues Steady Run. Russell Crowe says Gladiator sequel failed without original moral core.
Sources:
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 leads the desk at 14.8% with $127K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , June 15 , 2026 : Prices rising after U . S ., Iran agree to ceasefire deal. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Thursday , June 18 , 2026 : Prices sliding despite Iran peace deal. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Friday , June 19 , 2026 : Prices keep falling post - Fed decision.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Belgium leads the desk at 1.1% with $7M traded.
Lead stories
The 50 greatest players in World Cup history
The 50 greatest players in World Cup history. Kalshi World Cup Giveaway : Win a Share of $1M and Two World Cup Tickets. Where Person Fit Bet Online for World Cup 26 ? - Latest News In Nigeria , Nigeria News Today , Your Online Nigerian N....
Sources: aol.co.uk, rotowire.com, nigerianeye.com
New Zealand vs . Egypt Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for World Cup Group Stage
New Zealand vs . Egypt Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for World Cup Group Stage. New Zealand vs . Egypt prediction : Odds , picks , best bet for Group H match Sunday. Indian woman facing deportation granted residency in New Zealand after husband previous sponsorship of two former par....
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.2% with $16K traded.
Lead stories
Colorado public health officials investigating hantavirus death not linked to cruise ship cluster – KTBB News , Weath.... Hantavirus Is Spreading - Windermere Sun - For Healthier / Happier / More Sustainable Living. 2026 June 17 - Windermere Sun - For Healthier / Happier / More Sustainable Living.
Sources: ktbb.com, windermeresun.com, windermeresun.com
Climate justice calls for a fairer , healthier , more stable future
Climate justice calls for a fairer , healthier , more stable future. Can the climate budget be just if resilience is subsidised by women unpaid care work ?. Call for State - Level Project Preparation for Climate Resilient Development ( India ).
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
#1 Awaiting data
n/a
#2 Awaiting data
n/a
#3 Awaiting data
n/a
Kalshi via Jupiter
+$201,666
Fed Decision in July?
98.6%
$11K
Starmer out by...? - October 31
98.5%
$52K
Will Keir Starmer Resign ? Trump Says He Will in Truth Post. Keir Starmer reportedly considering stepping down as united kingdom prime minister. Final humiliation Piers Morgan reacts as Trump claims united kingdom PM Starmer will resign.
Sources: mediaite.com, foxnews.com, dailypost.ng
US denies Iran claim to have closed Strait of Hormuz over Israeli attacks in Lebanon
US denies Iran claim to have closed Strait of Hormuz over Israeli attacks in Lebanon. US Centcom says Iran does not control Hormuz after Tehran closes strait over Israeli strikes in Lebanon. IRAN WAR WEEK 17 , Ceasefire Day # 4 : Use of Force may be inevitable.
Sources: the-star.co.ke, economictimes.indiatimes.com, dailykos.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Colombia Presidential Election - Iván Cepeda Castro at 1.4% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Colombia Presidential Election - Iván Cepeda Castro.
Event leaders
Colombia Presidential Election
Top volume & odds: Iván Cepeda Castro | 1.4% | $2M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?) | 27.0% | $299K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?) | 15.0% | $277K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?) | 3.5% | $270K
Popular events
9.4%
-0.1pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $663M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $636M0%
US denies Iran claim to have closed Strait of Hormuz over Israeli attacks in Lebanon
US denies Iran claim to have closed Strait of Hormuz over Israeli attacks in Lebanon. US Centcom says Iran does not control Hormuz after Tehran closes strait over Israeli strikes in Lebanon. IRAN WAR WEEK 17 , Ceasefire Day # 4 : Use of Force may be inevitable.
Sources: the-star.co.ke, economictimes.indiatimes.com, dailykos.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 7.0% with $992K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 7.0% with $992K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 7.0% | $992K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 40.0% | $254K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Top volume: ↑ $100 | 2.7% | $87K
Top odds: ↑ $80 | 54.0%
Popular events
OpenAI Massive Losses Strengthen the Bull Case for These 2 Artificial Intelligence ( AI ) Stocks. OpenAI Massive Losses Strengthen the Bull Case for These 2 Artificial Intelligence ( AI ) Stocks. SpaceX Just Had the Biggest IPO in History . Here What It Tells Investors About Buying Anthropic and OpenAI When They....
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of June? - OpenAI at 2.1% with $48K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of June? - OpenAI.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: OpenAI | 2.1% | $48K
Top odds: Anthropic | 94.6%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Top volume & odds: SpaceX | 86.0% | $5K
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 48.0% | $4K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 51.0% | $4K
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Top volume: OpenAI | 2.1% | $2K
Top odds: Anthropic | 93.9%
Buy Monopoly FIFA World Cup Edition Panini Prizm Cards , Deal Game
Buy Monopoly FIFA World Cup Edition Panini Prizm Cards , Deal Game. World Cup 26 freebies and deals roll out ahead of tournament. Pick your perfect World Cup 2026 look with FourFourTwo kit picker.
Sources: variety.com, fox4news.com, fourfourtwo.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.0% with $36K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.0% | $36K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 10.0% | $20K
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 91.0% | $10K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Toy Story 5 | 11.3% | $7K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 67.0%
Top volume & odds: No Bond chosen | 92.2% | $2K
Michael Saylor Remains Unconcerned : I Expect The Bitcoin Price Will Go Up Forever - Strategy ( NASDAQ : MS. Man Tries to Claim $286 Billion in Bitcoin Under Ancient US Finders Law. Bitcoin Price Back At $63 , 000 Despite 1 . 2 Million BTC Absorption.
Sources: benzinga.com, propakistani.pk, newsbtc.com
SpaceX Is Now Worth $2 . 4 Trillion , Making It Twice as Valuable as Bitcoin . But Here Why Im Still Buying Bitcoin .. Bitcoin ( BTC ) Price Prediction : Michael Saylor $54B Bitcoin Empire Faces Market Test as BTC Nears a Crucial $64K D.... Bitcoin Price Eyes $24K if US Stock Market Crashes 50 % or More.
Sources: fool.com, bravenewcoin.com, cointelegraph.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500 at 14.8% with $127K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 57,500.
Event leaders
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.2% | $100K
Popular events
Sources: si.com, nypost.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Live MLB on TNT Sports 1 HD : full details and when it on
Live MLB on TNT Sports 1 HD : full details and when it on. Angels Release Taijuan Walker. Bryce Harper hits for cycle and Kyle Schwarber hits 3 home runs as Phillies defeat Mets.
Sources: tvguide.co.uk, mlbtraderumors.com, wgal.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Belgium at 1.1% with $7M traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner - Belgium.
Event leaders
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Top volume: New York Mets | 5.9% | $128K
Top odds: Philadelphia Phillies | 95.0%
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Europe (UEFA) | 70.0% | $82K
2026 FIFA World Cup: Top Goalscorer
Top volume: Mikel Oyarzabal | 6.0% | $78K
Top odds: Kylian Mbappe | 26.0%
Popular events
Sources: irishtimes.com, thedailystar.net, fundsforngos.org
ActionAid calls on Malawi media to expose climate injustice and pressure big polluters - Malawi News | Breaking News.... Capital , Policy , Corporates , Connectivity : New Guide Maps the Four Strengths Powering Singapore Climate - Tech Ec.... Pro - Climate Action ? Italy , France least divided ; Germany , united kingdom more split -- but messaging matters ev....
Sources: nyasatimes.com, prnewswire.com, prnewswire.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.2% with $16K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.2% | $16K
Popular events
+$169,251
+$41,497
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
n/a
#2
Awaiting data
n/a
#3
Awaiting data
n/a
#4
Awaiting data
n/a
#5
Awaiting data
n/a