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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?" Event volume totals $89M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 83.0%, with top volume on "June 15" at 25.8% and $1M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 24.0% and $332K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15
$1M
Highest implied
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages - Spain
98.8%
Top priced
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages - Spain
98.8%
Volume leaders
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15
$1M
25.8%
$1M
23.0%
$1M
78.0%
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15 leads the desk at 25.8% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
UAE and Iran hold historic face - to - face meeting amid gulf tensions : A calculated shift in the shadow of war – Na.... President Trump Announces Completion of Terms for Iran Agreement - Signing Expected Tomorrow. Trump and Pakistan say Iran deal could be signed Sunday but Tehran signals more time is needed.
Sources: naturalnews.com, theconservativetreehouse.com, adn.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 24.0% with $332K traded.
Lead stories
Hormuz Update : Iran Claims to Halt Shipping Again , U . S . Says Strait Open for Transit
Hormuz Update : Iran Claims to Halt Shipping Again , U . S . Says Strait Open for Transit. Iran says will target any vessel traffic in Strait of Hormuz. Iran threatens Gulf if US destabilized Strait of Hormuz further.
Sources: breitbart.com, arabnews.com, jpost.com
Iran threatens Gulf if US destabilized Strait of Hormuz further
Iran threatens Gulf if US destabilized Strait of Hormuz further. Live updates : Iran war , US bases in Middle East facing attacks , Trump warns of more strikes. Most Indian ships leave Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions.
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group leads the desk at 19.0% with $39K traded.
Lead stories
GitHub - tensorzero / tensorzero : TensorZero is an open - source LLMOps platform that unifies an LLM gateway , obser.... Anthropic Restricts Global Access to AI Models After U . S . Security Review. OpenAI being investigated by coalition of 42 US state attorneys general : Wall Street Journal.
Sources: github.com, econotimes.com, aa.com.tr
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 2.1% with $318K traded.
Lead stories
Oldest Christian artefact north of the Alps unearthed in Germany
Oldest Christian artefact north of the Alps unearthed in Germany. Julia Greeley : Former Slave Who May Become an American Saint. How New York City Native Jose Alvarado Became An Unlikely Knick Hero.
Sources: freerepublic.com, ncregister.com, forbes.com
Governor Box Office Collection Day 1 : Manoj Bajpayee Starrer Gets Off To A Slow Start With Rs 1 . 08 Crore. Not Dhurandhar 2 or Peddi : A small Rs 7 crore indie Hollywood horror film by 26 - year - old YouTuber is trending in.... Main Vaapas Aaunga Box Office Collection Day 1 : Imtiaz Ali Lowest Opener Yet , Diljit Movie Earns Rs 1 . 15 Crore.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 55,000 leads the desk at 10.2% with $108K traded.
Lead stories
It Over Crypto Is Quietly Braced For A Huge BlackRock Bitcoin Price Game - Changer
It Over Crypto Is Quietly Braced For A Huge BlackRock Bitcoin Price Game - Changer. Bitcoin Price Forms Risky Pattern as It Suffers $4 . 4 Billion Headwind Bitcoin Price Forms Risky Pattern a. Bitcoin Higher Floor Thesis Puts $40K Bottom in Play : Galaxy Research.
Sources: forbes.com, benzinga.com, cointelegraph.com
B7
Lead market: Knicks leads the desk at 23.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
2026 NBA Finals odds : Spurs open as clear favorites despite Knick win streak
2026 NBA Finals odds : Spurs open as clear favorites despite Knick win streak. Will the Knicks match up better against the Thunder or Spurs in NBA Finals ?. Ranking every possible NBA Finals series.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, tsn.ca
World Cup 2026 : Can Vinicius Junior find same adulation Brazil as Neymar ?
World Cup 2026 : Can Vinicius Junior find same adulation Brazil as Neymar ?. Is USMNT a legit World Cup contender ? Have fans cracked the cheap - ticket code ? Day 2 Recap. Living Nostradamus confirms World Cup 2026 winner prediction.
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 4.0% with $378K traded.
Lead stories
Worry About Climate Fearmongering – Not Climate Change
Worry About Climate Fearmongering – Not Climate Change.
Sources: townhall.com
Oman accelerates energy transition with major renewable and emissions - cut projects
Oman accelerates energy transition with major renewable and emissions - cut projects. El Nino officially arrives with warning - Hawaii Tribune - Herald. El Nino officially arrives with warning.
Sources: timesofoman.com, ,
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
98.7%
$2K
US - Iran Peace Deal : What known about the possible agreement. Iran war : Trump says hell sign deal to reopen Hormuz on Sunday.
Sources: fox5ny.com, watoday.com.au
Mining next boom is off the map : Arctic ice , abyssal plains and asteroids
Mining next boom is off the map : Arctic ice , abyssal plains and asteroids. Soboroff Kicks Off New Show By Hyping Joy Of Anti - Trump Protests. Europe distrust of Washington deepens.
Sources: mining.com, newsbusters.org, global.chinadaily.com.cn
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15 at 25.8% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15.
Event leaders
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Top volume: June 14 | 25.0% | $356K
Top odds: July 31 | 88.0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?) | 6.2% | $195K
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Top volume: Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 1.1% | $185K
Top odds: Keiko Fujimori | 98.4%
7.9%
-1.3pp
$12M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $657M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $627M0%
Sources: jpost.com, us.cnn.com, idrw.org
Bitcoin News Today : BTC Jumps +3 % as Trump Cancels Iran Strikes But the Fed Could Undo It All
Bitcoin News Today : BTC Jumps +3 % as Trump Cancels Iran Strikes But the Fed Could Undo It All. Wall Street Week Ahead : Newly led Fed poses wildcard for rockier US indexes. President Donald Trump Now Claims to Love the Inflation -- but Wall Street Doesnt , and That a Big Problem.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 24.0% with $332K traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 24.0% with $332K in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 24.0% | $332K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 55.0% | $146K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Top volume: ↓ $75 | 50.0% | $33K
Top odds: ↓ $80 | 84.0%
How Big Is SpaceX Now ? Elon Musk Firm Overtakes Broadcom , Saudi Aramco , Tesla , Meta After Record IPO. Anthropic Is Worth $965 Billion and Still Needs Google to Pay Its Rent. Anthropic safety warnings may have just backfired the government has pulled the plug on its most powerful AI.
Sources: newsx.com, finance.yahoo.com, techcrunch.com
Magnificent Seven : SpaceX IPO : Biggest Initial Public Offering in U . S history draws new grouping name at Wall Str.... US Order Forces Anthropic to Shut Two AI Models. US bars foreigners from using Anthropic AI models.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, newsghana.com.gh, bostonglobe.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group at 19.0% with $39K traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group
Trading at 19.0% with $39K in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Nebius Group | 19.0% | $39K
Top odds: MGM Resorts | 91.0%
When will Satoshi's identity be proven?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 3.7% | $14K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 3.1% | $12K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 21.4% | $11K
Popular events
Sources: newsx.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, newsx.com
World Cup Betting Promos ( June 2026 ): Best Promos for the World Cup
World Cup Betting Promos ( June 2026 ): Best Promos for the World Cup. Photos : US World Cup opener in Los Angeles. Best apps to watch FIFA World Cup 2026 live on your mobile phone free in India.
Sources: rotowire.com, bostonherald.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 2.1% with $318K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $318K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 10.0% | $168K
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 91.0% | $33K
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Top volume & odds: 80-99 | 2.2% | $20K
Top volume: Richard Van De Water | 1.7% | $18K
Top odds: Other (Season Cancelled) | 80.0%
Popular events
Bitcoin ETF Outflows Are Now at Record Levels . Time to Panic , or Time to Buy the Dip ?. Standard Chartered Says Bitcoin Bottomed Near $59 , 000 , Targets $100 , 000. Bitcoin Orderbook Structure Hints At Recovery To $70K.
Sources: fool.com, newsbtc.com, cointelegraph.com
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 10 , 2026 : BTC , ETH open lower and falling further
Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , June 10 , 2026 : BTC , ETH open lower and falling further. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , June 8 , 2026 : Moving up after bitcoin prices fell below $60 , 000. Ethereum Exchange Inflows Climb To Four Month High - What This Means For Price.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 55,000 at 10.2% with $108K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↓ 55,000.
Event leaders
What price will Ethereum hit in June?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 1,500 | 32.0% | $23K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.4% | $22K
Popular events
Sources: bbc.com, nytimes.com, express.co.uk
Scotland Vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Screenings | Inspire Me
Scotland Vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Screenings | Inspire Me. How to watch Haiti vs Scotland for FREE : Live stream details & TV channels. Brazil chase sixth crown in competitive Group C.
Sources: skiddle.com, fourfourtwo.com, theshillongtimes.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Scotland | 54.0% | $181K
Popular events
WATCH : Hurricanes , Golden Knights to face off in Game 5 of Stanley Cup Finals
WATCH : Hurricanes , Golden Knights to face off in Game 5 of Stanley Cup Finals.
Sources: kxly920.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 4.0% with $378K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 4.0% | $378K
Popular events
+$201,666
+$41,392
+$7,323
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
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#2
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#3
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#4
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#5
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