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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?" Event volume totals $80M across outcomes, with $7M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 79.0%, with top volume on "June 15" at 16.5% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?)" at 18.0% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$18M
Highest implied
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages - Spain
98.7%
Top priced
FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages - Spain
98.7%
Volume leaders
$18M
74.0%
United States vs. Paraguay - Draw
$4M
19.0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15
$4M
16.5%
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15 leads the desk at 16.5% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
Raghava Lawrence asks his fans : Can I come to politics ?
Raghava Lawrence asks his fans : Can I come to politics ?. Ex - NYSC DG to youths : Dont depend on politics.
Sources: prokerala.com, punchng.com
Trump And I Fully Agree That Iran Will Never Have Nuclear Weapons PM Netanyahu
Trump And I Fully Agree That Iran Will Never Have Nuclear Weapons PM Netanyahu. Netanyahu Says Trump Urged Restraint After Iranian Missile Attack , Insists Israel Will Respond To Any Strike. Israel says it will not withdraw from Lebanon , Syria or Gaza.
Sources: saharareporters.com,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $1B0%
B3
Lead market: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes leads the desk at 18.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Canada interest rate to be announced by central bank
Canada interest rate to be announced by central bank. Bank of Canada holds rate steady at 2 . 25 % as it grapples with mixed economic signals. Strong US job growth beats expectations in May , firming recent gains.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, theglobeandmail.com, thedailystar.net
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of June? - OpenAI leads the desk at 4.4% with $52K traded.
Lead stories
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on Which company has best AI model end of June.
OpenAI makes IPO decision amid Anthropic , SpaceX fervor
OpenAI makes IPO decision amid Anthropic , SpaceX fervor. Buy the SpaceX IPO -- or Wait for Anthropic and OpenAI ? The Answer May Surprise You .. Buy the SpaceX IPO -- or Wait for Anthropic and OpenAI ? The Answer May Surprise You ..
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, fool.com
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 leads the desk at 10.0% with $120K traded.
Lead stories
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027.
DOW omits Church of Jesus Christ from list of Christian churches sparking online debate
DOW omits Church of Jesus Christ from list of Christian churches sparking online debate. Beyond Sunday Morning : A Veteran Scholar Calls the Church. Catholic Caucus : Daily Mass Readings 7 - June - 2026.
Sources: wpde.com, openpr.com, freerepublic.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↑ 65,000 leads the desk at 80.0% with $94K traded.
Lead stories
Billionaire Mark Cuban Suddenly Flips On Bitcoin As Massive Crash Fear Hits Price
Billionaire Mark Cuban Suddenly Flips On Bitcoin As Massive Crash Fear Hits Price. Bloodbath Bitcoin Price Crash Warning Issued As BlackRock Sell - Off Revealed. Bitcoin and ethereum prices today , Monday , May 25 , 2026 : Down from last week , but rising this morning.
Sources: forbes.com, forbes.com, finance.yahoo.com
B7
Lead market: United States leads the desk at 74.0% with $18M traded.
Lead stories
How to watch united states vs Paraguay : Live stream details from anywhere
How to watch united states vs Paraguay : Live stream details from anywhere. FIFA World Cup Group D preview : US faces familiar foes. How to watch Christian Pulisic at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Sources: fourfourtwo.com, china.org.cn, fourfourtwo.com
B8
Lead market: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 3.7% with $82K traded.
Lead stories
Is super El Niño coming ? UN warns of potentially historic climate event as fossil fuel emissions push planet into da.... NextEra Energy Sustainability Report 2025 : 98 % Zero - Emissions Power , $325 bn Clean Energy Investment Plan , and.... HURRICANE - Hurricanes and climate change : what we know so far.
Sources: gulfnews.com, greentechlead.com, thenassauguardian.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
98.6%
$28K
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30.
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15 at 16.5% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? - June 15.
Event leaders
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Top volume & odds: June 30 | 10.4% | $860K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?) | 45.0% | $845K
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Top volume: Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 1.9% | $644K
Top odds: Keiko Fujimori | 98.2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Top volume: June 15 | 31.0% | $406K
Top odds: July 31 | 81.0%
Popular events
8.9%
0.0pp
$13M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $656M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $626M0%
Strait of Hormuz shutdown only benefits US energy firms , says Russia Rosneft chief Sechin. Iran conflict : Why more tankers are going dark in the Strait of Hormuz.
Sources: thenews.com.pk, indianexpress.com
Goldman Sachs Sees Fed Holding Interest Rates Steady Until 2027
Goldman Sachs Sees Fed Holding Interest Rates Steady Until 2027. The S & P 500 Wiped Out $1 . 4 Trillion in Market Cap After Red - Hot Jobs Report . Here Why. Moody drops stunning take on the economy.
Sources: econotimes.com, 247wallst.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes at 18.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes.
Lead event
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? - Yes
Trading at 18.0% with $1M in volume.
Event leaders
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?) | 18.0% | $1M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?) | 48.0% | $474K
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Top volume: ↓ $65 | 7.5% | $80K
Top odds: ↓ $80 | 77.0%
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of June? | 95.0% | $63K
OpenAI IPO Filing Sparks Reactions From Daniel Newman , Mark Gurman And The Kobeissi Letter Perplexity CEO Aravind Sr.... China investors being shut out as some American AI firms , including SpaceX , go public : sources. Anthropic Gross Margin Is the Most Important Number in Tech.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, businesstimes.com.sg, morningstar.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of June? - OpenAI at 4.4% with $52K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of June? - OpenAI.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: OpenAI | 4.4% | $52K
Top odds: Anthropic | 84.9%
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 49.0% | $7K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 3.1% | $3K
Top volume & odds: No IPO by December 31, 2026 | 53.0% | $3K
Popular events
Official : Neymar to Miss Brazil World Cup Opener Against Morocco. FIFA World Cup 2026 : Messi , Neymar and Ronaldo are now on Kerala mundus. Brazil Complete Final Training Before Morocco Clash , Neymar Still Absent.
Sources: moroccoworldnews.com, thehindu.com, moroccoworldnews.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31 at 10.0% with $120K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - December 31
Trading at 10.0% with $120K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 10.0% | $120K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 2.1% | $52K
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?) | 91.0% | $42K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume: July 31 | 1.8% | $12K
Top odds: December 31 | 6.0%
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 7.1% | $9K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 45.0%
Bitcoin prices today , Thursday , May 28 , 2026 : Down this morning and falling further. Strategy Quietly Confirms Shock Plan To Sell Bitcoin , Sparking Sudden Price Crash Panic. Current price of Bitcoin for May 14 , 2026.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, forbes.com, fortune.com
Ethereum Staking Demand Soars As Investors Chase Rewards
Ethereum Staking Demand Soars As Investors Chase Rewards. Here What History Says to Expect for Ethereum This Summer. Best Crypto to Buy Now : BlockDAG , Ethereum , Chainlink & BNB.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, punchng.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↑ 65,000 at 80.0% with $94K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in June? - ↑ 65,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in June?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 65,000 | 80.0% | $94K
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?) | 7.6% | $9K
Popular events
FIFA WORLD CUP 2026 : Did you know Michael Jackson Earth Song was featured on the 2006 album Voices From The FIFA Wor.... TransLink new frequent , non - stop bus connects SkyTrain to FIFA Fan Festival | Daily Hive. With chants of Viva Mexico ! LA Coliseum comes to life for World Cup Fan Festival – Daily News.
PSG vs Arsenal live updates : Champions League final team news , predictions and buildup
PSG vs Arsenal live updates : Champions League final team news , predictions and buildup. With Arsenal Premier League title , have the Kroenkes completed sport ? Well , almost …. World Cup 2026 : Meet USMNT Head Coach Mauricio Pochettino.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, fox2detroit.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by United States at 74.0% with $18M traded.
Top volume remains in United States.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: United States | 74.0% | $18M
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Top volume & odds: Philadelphia Phillies | 1.1% | $90K
Popular events
Vol $18M
Sustainable partnership. Sustainable partnership. Sustainable partnership.
Sources: global.chinadaily.com.cn, usa.chinadaily.com.cn, europe.chinadaily.com.cn
Hurricanes take control in Game 5 , push Golden Knights to brink in Stanley Cup Final : Takeaways
Hurricanes take control in Game 5 , push Golden Knights to brink in Stanley Cup Final : Takeaways. How to Watch Stanley Cup Finals : Live Stream Hurricanes Vs . Golden Knights From Anywhere. Golden Knights vs . Hurricanes Prediction , Odds , Best Prop Bet for Stanley Cup Final Game 5.
Sources: nytimes.com, businessinsider.com, si.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes at 3.7% with $82K traded.
Top volume remains in Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Yes (Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?) | 3.7% | $82K
Popular events
+$201,666
+$41,396
+$8,287
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard
#1
Awaiting data
n/a
#2
Awaiting data
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#3
Awaiting data
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#4
Awaiting data
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#5
Awaiting data
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