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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran ceasefire by...?" Event volume totals $44M across outcomes, with $5M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 77.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 14.0% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?" Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 95.0%, with top volume on "Judy Shelton" at 1.7% and $291K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31
$4M
Highest implied
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner - Freedom Movement (GS)
98.7%
Top priced
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner - Freedom Movement (GS)
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 14.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on US x Iran ceasefire by....
US unlikely to convince China to join new nuclear arms control agreement , experts say
US unlikely to convince China to join new nuclear arms control agreement , experts say. Trump Planning to Meet with China Xi Jinping in May. Trump will travel to Beijing for rescheduled China trip May 14 - 15 , after delay due to Iran war.
Sources: scmp.com, breitbart.com, latimes.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $913M+1%
B3
Lead market: Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton leads the desk at 1.7% with $291K traded.
Lead stories
Archbishop of Canterbury : Watch live as first female head of Church of England is enthroned
Archbishop of Canterbury : Watch live as first female head of Church of England is enthroned. JSC to wait for decisions of Appeals Court in Malimali case and High Court ruling in Rokoika cases. Lawmakers rebuke state energy office over $1 billion error : Maui Now.
Sources: news.sky.com, fijivillage.com, mauinow.com
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Freddie Mac leads the desk at 12.0% with $214K traded.
Lead stories
OpenAI , SpaceX , Anthropic IPOs could hamper other | Technology
OpenAI , SpaceX , Anthropic IPOs could hamper other | Technology. 385 % return in one year ! Multibagger stock hits upper circuit after launch of AI - driven health platform. AI bubble fears cool but major IPO tests lie ahead.
Sources: sfexaminer.com, livemint.com, irishtimes.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $781K traded.
Lead stories
Pinkvilla Screen & Style Icons Awards 2026 : Kesari Chapter 2 wins Best Film Jury ; Dhurandhar and Saiyaara tie for B.... Avatar : Fire and Ash Digital Release Date and Bonus Features Confirmed. Siddhant Chaturvedi praises Ranveer Singh Dhurandhar performance , Calls his depth and nuance the mark of a true acto....
Sources: pinkvilla.com, ign.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in March? - ↓ 1,800 leads the desk at 4.9% with $207K traded.
Lead stories
Current price of Ethereum for March 24 , 2026
Current price of Ethereum for March 24 , 2026. Annoyed with the price of Ethereum ? Here what drives it , according to Bitwise. Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Holds $2 , 080 Range as Mixed Signals Shape Next Move.
Sources: fortune.com, finance.yahoo.com, bravenewcoin.com
Current price of Bitcoin for March 20 , 2026
Current price of Bitcoin for March 20 , 2026. Current price of Bitcoin for March 19 , 2026. Strategy Now Holds $54 Billion in Bitcoin These Are Its Biggest Buys.
Sources:
B7
Lead market: Celtics leads the desk at 62.0% with $551K traded.
Lead stories
Celtic young wolve continue to impress Jaylen Brown despite late loss to Thunder
Celtic young wolve continue to impress Jaylen Brown despite late loss to Thunder. Thunder vs Celtics Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Thunder vs . Celtics Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 25.
Sources: nytimes.com, covers.com, 1340thegame.iheart.com
Pistons bench hoping to turn injury into opportunity : Our depth can be a weapon
Pistons bench hoping to turn injury into opportunity : Our depth can be a weapon. Hawks vs Pistons Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. BetMGM Bonus Code COVERS Unlocks Up to $1 , 500 with First Bet on Hawks - Pistons.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k leads the desk at 51.0% with $7K traded.
Lead stories
South Africa Needs R250 Billion Just to Meet Basic Climate Adaptation Needs Over the Next Decade
South Africa Needs R250 Billion Just to Meet Basic Climate Adaptation Needs Over the Next Decade. Denial machine : climate misinformation is fuelling conflict in Australian communities , inquiry finds | Climate crisis. In new 2035 climate roadmap , India aims 60 % clean power , lower emissions.
Sources: allafrica.com, theguardian.com, hindustantimes.com
Renewable energy news : EsVolta , Sunraycer , EDP Renewables
Renewable energy news : EsVolta , Sunraycer , EDP Renewables. Victorian council demands big polluters pay for bushfire and flood recovery costs. India Boosts Climate Commitments For 2035.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Mega Millions ticket worth $3 . 6 million sold in California
Mega Millions ticket worth $3 . 6 million sold in California. Jessie Buckley Charts Her First Top 40 Hit After Winning An Oscar. People queue for hours in the cold as In - N - Out Burger comes to Dublin.
Sources: foxla.com, forbes.com, irishtimes.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 at 14.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31.
Event leaders
California Governor Election Winner
Top volume: Tom Steyer | 12.8% | $513K
Top odds: Eric Swalwell | 59.0%
Next Prime Minister of Denmark after parliamentary election?
Top volume & odds: Mette Frederiksen | 84.0% | $381K
Popular events
6.3%
-0.1pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $472M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $454M+1%
Bab el ‑ Mandeb Strait : Is Iran creating a second global chokepoint after Hormuz ?. Certain oil tankers are making it safely through Strait of Hormuz here how. Modi is a vital part : Why Trump is leaning on India as Strait of Hormuz risks jolt global oil markets.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, nypost.com, moneycontrol.com
U . S . Energy Dominance Agenda Cant Shield Driver From Higher Gasoline Prices
U . S . Energy Dominance Agenda Cant Shield Driver From Higher Gasoline Prices. Russian crude tanker begins discharge at New Mangalore Port. How Long Can India Absorb Rising Fuel Costs ?.
Sources: oilprice.com, thehindubusinessline.com, rediff.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton at 1.7% with $291K traded.
Top volume remains in Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 1.7% | $291K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 95.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30?) | 34.0% | $137K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Top volume: ↑ $5,500 | 30.8% | $54K
Top odds: ↓ $4,200 | 60.0%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 0 (0 bps) | 27.9% | $43K
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto. Elon Musk makes fun of Nvidia after GTC 2026 conference ; says : While others go to …. Artificial Intelligence : Elon Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption.
Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption
Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption. Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports. Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports.
Sources: thestar.com.my, insidermonkey.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Freddie Mac at 12.0% with $214K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Freddie Mac.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 23.4% | $95K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.5% | $38K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Human moon landing in 2026?) | 4.1% | $24K
Popular events
Where and when is the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest ?
Where and when is the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest ?. UK Eurovision 2026 song Eins , Zwei , Drei from LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER released. Delta Goodrem Eurovision 2026 : Australian singer kicks off campaign with rave reviews in Norway.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, bbc.com, brisbanetimes.com.au
Heatwave in many areas in western States , above normal temperatures in north : IMD
Heatwave in many areas in western States , above normal temperatures in north : IMD. Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location. Heatwave in many areas in western states , above normal temperatures in north : IMD.
Sources: thehindu.com, yahoo.com, dailyexcelsior.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $781K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $781K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Michael | 3.4% | $259K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 40.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 16.0% | $255K
Popular events
Horrifying moment stalker nearly chokes woman to death after tormenting her for months and trying to contact her 234....
Sources: dailymail.co.uk
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in March? - ↓ 1,800 at 4.9% with $207K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in March? - ↓ 1,800.
Event leaders
Popular events
Sources: nytimes.com, covers.com, covers.com
Pacific . scoop . co . nz » Draw Confirmed For OFC Women Champions League 2026
Pacific . scoop . co . nz » Draw Confirmed For OFC Women Champions League 2026. AS FAR Reach CAF Champions League Semi - Finals After Strong Away Win in Cairo. Draw Confirmed For OFC Women Champions League 2026.
Sources: pacific.scoop.co.nz, moroccoworldnews.com, scoop.co.nz
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Celtics | 62.0% | $551K
Top volume & odds: Pistons | 55.0% | $495K
Top volume & odds: Heat | 66.0% | $367K
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Top volume & odds: Purdue Boilermakers | 76.0% | $347K
Popular events
Sources: greentechlead.com, perthnow.com.au, channelstv.com
National Hurricane Center announces updates for 2026 hurricane season
National Hurricane Center announces updates for 2026 hurricane season. AIA Sustainability Report 2025 : $38 . 4 bn ESG Investments , 35 % Emissions Cut , 420 mn Lives Reached. Beavers Transform Riverbeds into Carbon Sinks : New Study Reveals.
Sources: mysuncoast.com, greentechlead.com, downtoearth.org.in
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k at 51.0% with $7K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$2,941
+$2,523
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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