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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran ceasefire by...?" Event volume totals $35M across outcomes, with $8M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 74.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 16.0% and $5M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in April?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 94.8%, with top volume on "25+ bps increase" at 3.5% and $959K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31
$5M
Highest implied
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner - Freedom Movement (GS)
98.7%
Top priced
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner - Freedom Movement (GS)
98.7%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 16.0% with $5M traded.
Lead stories
Bulgaria caretaker government refers Parliament vote on Board of Peace to Constitutional Court – The Sofia Globe. Operation Desert Storm and Its Effects on the 1992 Election. Scott Wiener passed laws that made it easier to build in California . Can he do the same in Congress ?.
Sources: sofiaglobe.com, foreignpolicy.com, almanacnews.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $902M+2%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase leads the desk at 3.5% with $959K traded.
Lead stories
Fed meeting live updates : Federal Reserve expected to hold rates steady , offer updated outlook amid Iran war. Fed holds rates steady , warns of higher inflation amid US – Iran war uncertainty. The Fed holds rates steady and punts on the Middle East : uncertain.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, thehindubusinessline.com, fortune.com
B4
Lead market: What will SpaceX's public ticker be? - $STAR leads the desk at 14.4% with $519K traded.
Lead stories
Elon Musk announces ambitious $20B Terafab project to manufacture chips for space - based AI
Elon Musk announces ambitious $20B Terafab project to manufacture chips for space - based AI. Elon Musk Announces Massive Terafab Chip Factory in Austin to Power Tesla AI , SpaceX Satellites and Robotics. FinancialContent - The $100 Billion Bet : How OpenAI Historic Capital Raise and Nvidia Blackwell Supercycle are Re -....
Sources: siliconangle.com, ibtimes.com.au, markets.financialcontent.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $460K traded.
Lead stories
GMG Productions , David Ian For Crossroads Live and Work Light Productions Presents The Regent Park Open Air Theatre.... Previews : JESUS CHRIST SUPERSTAR TO LAND IN HK THIS SUMMER. Netanyahu Says He Meant No Offense After Backlash for Quote Suggesting Evil Will Overcome Good.
Sources: portal.sina.com.hk, broadwayworld.com,
B6
Lead market: Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $400M leads the desk at 2.1% with $887K traded.
Lead stories
Family and domestic violence offenders rise by 8 per cent
Family and domestic violence offenders rise by 8 per cent. Australia Sees 8 % Rise in Domestic Violence Offenders. Horrifying moment stalker nearly chokes woman to death after tormenting her for months and trying to contact her 234....
Sources: abs.gov.au, miragenews.com, dailymail.co.uk
Stock Market Crash : The Best Cryptocurrencies to Buy Right Now
Stock Market Crash : The Best Cryptocurrencies to Buy Right Now. 3 Cryptocurrencies With Real - World Utility to Buy Now. Best Cryptocurrencies to Buy Right Now for Long - Term Investors.
B7
Lead market: Pistons leads the desk at 60.0% with $948K traded.
Lead stories
Lakers Injury Report : Rui Hachimura , Marcus Smart & Maxi Kleber Questionable Vs . Pistons
Lakers Injury Report : Rui Hachimura , Marcus Smart & Maxi Kleber Questionable Vs . Pistons. Lakers News : Luka Doncic 16th Technical Rescinded. NBA Playoff Picture 2026 , Standings , Bracket Predictions After Timberwolves vs . Celtics.
Sources: lakersnation.com, lakersnation.com, bleacherreport.com
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k leads the desk at 67.0% with $7K traded.
Lead stories
Measles outbreak in Michigan County as cases spread like wildfire
Measles outbreak in Michigan County as cases spread like wildfire.
Sources: fox2detroit.com
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports for this desk.
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports for this desk.
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k at 67.0% with $7K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k.
Lead event
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
97.6%
$397
Netanyahu : Israel Will Keep Attacking Iran Despite Deal Talk. Netanyahu says spoke with Trump , vows to protect Israel interests. Trump sees chance for deal with Iran after military gain : Netanyahu.
Sources: mediaite.com, freemalaysiatoday.com, dailysabah.com
Crown Prince Pahlavi : Iran Is Not the Islamic Republic – PJ Media
Crown Prince Pahlavi : Iran Is Not the Islamic Republic – PJ Media. Keir Starmer speaks out on Iran missiles hitting London after chilling 4 , 000km warning. Trump Tells CNBC Joe Kernen Iran War Is Regime Change.
Sources: pjmedia.com, manchestereveningnews.co.uk, mediaite.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 at 16.0% with $5M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 1.7% | $2M
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?) | 9.0% | $889K
Popular events
6.2%
-0.7pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $467M+2%
Presidential election
Event volume $444M+1%
Sinn Féin TD Joanna Byrne removed as director of Drogheda United , club owners confirm. Andrew Garfield reacts to Spider - Man : Brand New Day trailer , calls it really cool. OnlyFans owner Leonid Radvinsky dies of cancer at 43.
Oil drops stocks rebound as gold seen overextended
Oil drops stocks rebound as gold seen overextended. Larry Berman : Opportunity : Where supply meets demand in the bond market. The Most Perilous Macro Economy in Years.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, bnnbloomberg.ca, americanthinker.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase at 3.5% with $959K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase.
Event leaders
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 1.7% | $451K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.8%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top volume: Alphabet | 16.0% | $141K
Top odds: Largest Company end of December 2026? | 66.0%
Popular events
AI bubble fears cool but major IPO tests lie ahead.
Sources: irishtimes.com
Tesla and SpaceXAI Unveil $25 Billion Chip Factory to Transform AI Industry
Tesla and SpaceXAI Unveil $25 Billion Chip Factory to Transform AI Industry. Anthropic takes on OpenClaw with new Claude Code text feature. OpenAI Offers Private Equity Firms A 17 . 5 % Guaranteed Return To Win The Enterprise AI Race Against Anthropic.
Sources: el-balad.com, siliconrepublic.com, forbes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by What will SpaceX's public ticker be? - $STAR at 14.4% with $519K traded.
Top volume remains in What will SpaceX's public ticker be? - $STAR.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 96.2% | $33K
Popular events
Art of Glam Awards : Red Carpet & Honorees
Art of Glam Awards : Red Carpet & Honorees. Congratulations to Kirk Franklin , Tasha Cobbs Leonard and all Winners | 99 . 7 | 1230 WSOK. Congratulations to Kirk Franklin , Tasha Cobbs Leonard and all Winners | Hallelujah 95 . 5.
Sources: eurweb.com, 1230wsok.iheart.com, hallelujah955.iheart.com
Eurovision check - in |All the countries have announced their songs
Eurovision check - in |All the countries have announced their songs. Rumoured Strictly Come Dancing host is no - brainer and will be a ratings winner. Rylan Clark tipped for Strictly Come Dancing host role he a ratings winner.
Sources: outinperth.com, dailystar.co.uk, walesonline.co.uk
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $460K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $460K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 17.0% | $98K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.4% | $30K
Popular events
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin ?
Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin ?. Bitcoin Is Headed to $500 , 000 According to This Wall Street Analyst and the Reasoning Is Hard to Dismiss. Bitcoin Traders Warn BTC Price Bear Market Is Set to Resume Toward $46K.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, cointelegraph.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $400M at 2.1% with $887K traded.
Top volume remains in Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $400M.
Event leaders
Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $200M | 75.1% | $804K
What price will XRP hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 1.20 | 17.0% | $95K
Popular events
Manchester City vs Real Madrid live updates : Hosts running out of time in Champions League after Silva red card. AS FAR Reach CAF Champions League Semi - Finals After Strong Away Win in Cairo. Pacific . scoop . co . nz » Draw Confirmed For OFC Women Champions League 2026.
Sources: nytimes.com, moroccoworldnews.com, pacific.scoop.co.nz
Pacers vs Magic Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Pacers vs Magic Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Magic vs . Pacers Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 23. Magic vs . Pacers Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 23.
Sources: covers.com, 957wdae.iheart.com, 790louisville.iheart.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Pistons | 60.0% | $948K
Top volume & odds: Pacers | 86.0% | $169K
Top volume & odds: Raptors | 78.0% | $128K
Top volume & odds: Bulls | 71.0% | $76K
Popular events
Trading at 67.0% with $7K in volume.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$3,009
+$2,941
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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