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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?" Event volume totals $37M across outcomes, with $8M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 44.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 3.2% and $8M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in April?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 94.0%, with top volume on "50+ bps decrease" at 1.1% and $244K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31
$8M
Highest implied
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.9%
Top priced
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.9%
$654
B1
Lead market: Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31 leads the desk at 3.2% with $8M traded.
Lead stories
There are credible reports Netanyahu is dead : Canadian journalist
There are credible reports Netanyahu is dead : Canadian journalist. Netanyahu tells Iranian to go out , celebrate Nowruz : IDF is watching you from the skies of Iran. Benjamin Netanyahu out by 31 March : Bet on Israeli prime minister , with $4 , 000 , 000 potential payout , goes viral.
Sources: albawaba.com, yahoo.com, livemint.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $851M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in April? - 50+ bps decrease leads the desk at 1.1% with $244K traded.
Lead stories
The Federal Reserve Two - Day Policy Meeting Starts Today . Here What You Need to Know
The Federal Reserve Two - Day Policy Meeting Starts Today . Here What You Need to Know. Former Fed insiders issue stark warning on U . S . economy. The Fed Meets This Week And It Could Signal How Long Today High Savings Rates Will Last.
Sources: investopedia.com, finance.yahoo.com, investopedia.com
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Ledger leads the desk at 77.0% with $463K traded.
Lead stories
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto. Artificial Intelligence : Elon Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption. Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption.
Sources: auto.economictimes.indiatimes.com, thehindu.com, thestar.com.my
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $503K traded.
Lead stories
GMG Productions , David Ian For Crossroads Live and Work Light Productions Presents The Regent Park Open Air Theatre.... What Is The Meaning Of Easter And Why Does It Matter ?. Gen Z Christian influencer says young Americans are tired of fake stuff , turning to Jesus.
Sources: portal.sina.com.hk, patheos.com,
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 90,000 leads the desk at 3.2% with $611K traded.
Lead stories
Bold Prediction : Bitcoin Hits $100 , 000 Once Again by the End of 2026
Bold Prediction : Bitcoin Hits $100 , 000 Once Again by the End of 2026. Current price of Bitcoin for March 10 , 2026. Current price of Bitcoin for March 12 , 2026.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fortune.com, fortune.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting leads the desk at 1.9% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Chelsea comeback chance vs PSG looks bleak ( but not dead )
Chelsea comeback chance vs PSG looks bleak ( but not dead ). Real Madrid vs Manchester City UEFA Champions League : When and Where to Watch in the U . S .?. Magents : Pirates are a well - oiled machine.
Sources: theprideoflondon.com, jagranjosh.com, kickoff.com
Timberwolves vs . Suns Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 17
Timberwolves vs . Suns Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 17. Timberwolves vs . Suns Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 17. Timberwolves vs . Suns Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 17.
B8
Lead market: How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? - 11–13 leads the desk at 33.0% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
UNEP spotlights Azerbaijan green growth and climate resilience potential ( Exclusive )
UNEP spotlights Azerbaijan green growth and climate resilience potential ( Exclusive ). China Reveals Next Phase of Sustainable Energy Goals. Sunkonnect aims to eliminate up to 200 million tonnes of COâ ‚‚ emissions in India by 2030.
Sources: trend.az, chinatechnews.com, dailyexcelsior.com
Canton council approves climate action plan . Here what to know
Canton council approves climate action plan . Here what to know. Could a global economy dependent on renewable energy see less war ? Experts explain. Survey : Finns expect ambitious energy and climate policies.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.9%
$50K
98.9%
$297K
Here are the contested primary races in Custer , Jefferson and Teton Counties. Stauch fails to qualify for ballot in Iowa governor race | Iowa Campaigns and Elections. Illinois Primary Map : Live Election Results.
Sources: eastidahonews.com, thegazette.com, newyorker.com
Another One Bites the Dust : Israel Eliminates Iranian Regime Security Chief and De Facto Leader Ali Larijani. Tehran , Shiraz , and Tabriz : Combined wave of strikes on missile sites and command centers. Kurdish Groups Have Limited Capacity to Weaken Iranian Regime.
Sources: freebeacon.com, israelnationalnews.com, foreignpolicy.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31 at 3.2% with $8M traded.
Top volume remains in Netanyahu out by end of 2026? - March 31.
Event leaders
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: LeBron James | 1.1% | $3M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 24.5%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 4.2% | $2M
Popular events
5.6%
+0.1pp
$5M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $427M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $419M+1%
Saylor Strategy Ramps Up Sales of Preferred in Latest Bitcoin Purchase. Volvo secures order for 400 VNL trucks in the US. Capital Tanker Debut on the Oslo Stock Exchange.
Sources: bloomberg.com, marketscreener.com, in.gr
How many rate cuts ? Iran war upends Federal Reserve next steps
How many rate cuts ? Iran war upends Federal Reserve next steps. How many rate cuts ? Iran war upends Federal Reserve next steps – Winnipeg Free Press. How many rate cuts ? Iran war upends Federal Reserve next steps.
Sources: dailynews.com, winnipegfreepress.com, dailypress.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in April? - 50+ bps decrease at 1.1% with $244K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in April? - 50+ bps decrease.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 98.8% | $64K
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
Top volume & odds: No change | 98.7% | $28K
Popular events
Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports. Elon Musk Unmasks Joint Project Between Tesla ( TSLA ) and xAI , Reuters Reports. Anthropic vs . OpenAI , the Pre IPO Days.
Sources: insidermonkey.com, finance.yahoo.com, ieyenews.com
Elon Musk Says Potential Proceeds Of OpenAI Lawsuit Will Go To Charity I Will In No Way Enrich Myself - Microsoft ( N.... Amazon , Google - Backed Anthropic Rise A Wake - Up Call For OpenAI , Says Executive : What The ChatGPT - Parent Is R.... Amazon , Google - Backed Anthropic Rise A Wake - Up Call For OpenAI , Says Executive : What The ChatGPT - Parent Is R....
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Ledger at 77.0% with $463K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Ledger.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Zoom Video Communications | 11.2% | $369K
Top odds: Caesars Entertainment | 70.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: xAI | 1.3% | $80K
Top odds: Anthropic | 92.7%
Top volume & odds: April 30, 2026 | 17.0% | $47K
Popular events
News brief in progress
Editors are compiling the latest reports on GTA VI released before June 2026.
Dakota Johnson R - Rated Movie With Sean Penn To Leave Netflix
Dakota Johnson R - Rated Movie With Sean Penn To Leave Netflix. Rebel Wilson wins worst actress of 2025 at the notorious Golden Raspberry Awards. What KPop Demon Hunter Oscar wins mean for Asian cinema.
Sources: comingsoon.net, dailymail.co.uk, latimes.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $503K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $503K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.5% | $222K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 16.0% | $141K
Popular events
Tom Lee BitMine Buys Another 60 , 000 Ethereum Despite Volatility. Is It Too Late to Buy Ethereum in 2026 ?. Ethereum Whales Step In : $33M ETH Withdrawn From Exchanges In Hours.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, newsbtc.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 90,000 at 3.2% with $611K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 90,000.
Event leaders
Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $200M | 95.0% | $243K
Top odds: $100M | 98.9%
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 2,400 | 81.0% | $124K
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Top volume: September 30 | 22.0% | $82K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 47.0%
Popular events
Sources: mykfan.iheart.com, kxno.iheart.com, kfan.iheart.com
Pistons vs Wizards Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Pistons vs Wizards Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Preview : Wizards host Pistons on Tuesday night. Washington takes on Detroit , looks to end 12 - game slide.
Sources: covers.com, bulletsforever.com, morningsun.net
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting at 1.9% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Sporting.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 60.0% | $346K
Top volume & odds: Pistons | 98.9% | $297K
Top volume & odds: Knicks | 98.1% | $251K
Top volume & odds: Thunder | 97.0% | $207K
Popular events
Sources: yahoo.com, abcnews.com, kauppalehti.fi
What is Green Ammonia ? Production , Uses , and Environmental Impact
What is Green Ammonia ? Production , Uses , and Environmental Impact. Uh - Oh Global Warming Is Actually Speeding Up , Scientists Say. Public invited to share input , ideas for getting Oregon back on track to meet climate targets.
Sources: jagranjosh.com, popularmechanics.com, portlandtribune.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? - 11–13 at 33.0% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? - 11–13.
Event leaders
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 11–13 | 33.0% | $4K
Popular events
+$7,692
+$2,941
+$2,145
Kalshi via Jupiter
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