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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US x Iran ceasefire by...?" Event volume totals $20M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 76.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 21.0% and $1M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in April?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 91.9%, with top volume on "25+ bps increase" at 1.8% and $100K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$3M
Highest implied
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.7%
Top priced
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k
98.7%
Volume leaders
$3M
90.0%
$3M
11.0%
US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31
$1M
21.0%
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 21.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully.
Sources: clickondetroit.com
Vice president to speak Friday in Rocky Mount
Vice president to speak Friday in Rocky Mount. President Trump Endorses Brandon Herrera in Texa 23rd District , following Tony Gonzale withdrawal. Phil Knight gives $1 million to Republican running for Oregon governor.
Sources: dailyadvance.com,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $813M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase leads the desk at 1.8% with $100K traded.
Lead stories
FinancialContent - Silence in D . C ., Noise on Wall Street : Data Takes Center Stage as Fed Enters Pre - Meeting Bla.... Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair : What His Nomination Means for the XRP Price in 2026. FinancialContent - The Fed High - Stakes Tightrope : Cooling Labor Meets Sticky Inflation Ahead of March Decision.
Sources: markets.financialcontent.com, finance.yahoo.com, markets.financialcontent.com
B4
Lead market: DeepSeek V4 released by...? - March 15 leads the desk at 1.1% with $145K traded.
Lead stories
Cambricon , China little Nvidia , to pay maiden dividend after profitable 2025
Cambricon , China little Nvidia , to pay maiden dividend after profitable 2025.
Sources: scmp.com
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto
Musk Launches Revolutionary AI Software Project Macrohard with Tesla and xAI , ETAuto. Artificial Intelligence : Elon Musk unveils joint Tesla - xAI project Macrohard , eyes software disruption. Anthropic vs . OpenAI , the Pre IPO Days.
Sources: auto.economictimes.indiatimes.com,
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $887K traded.
Lead stories
MAGA attacks show how thoroughly Christian extremism has hijacked the GOP : report
MAGA attacks show how thoroughly Christian extremism has hijacked the GOP : report. He Calls Me Daughter. Spoiler Alert.
Sources: alternet.org, pluggedin.com, cbn.com
Sinners Is the Fan - Favorite To Win This Major Oscars Honor
Sinners Is the Fan - Favorite To Win This Major Oscars Honor. Oscars epic mishaps that left Hollywood stunned. Green carpet rolls out for Oscar Wilde Awards ahead of the Oscars.
Sources: comingsoon.net,
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 75,000 leads the desk at 78.0% with $596K traded.
Lead stories
Current price of Bitcoin for March 12 , 2026
Current price of Bitcoin for March 12 , 2026. Why Bitcoin Is Dropping Right Now ( and What Im Watching Next ). will Bitcoin BTC USD price crash to $10000 : Bitcoin price crash prediction debate : Why crypto experts clash over wh....
Sources: fortune.com, fool.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It. The 10 AM Bitcoin Dump Theory : Fact , Fiction , and the Alleged Role of Jane Street.
B7
Lead market: Spurs leads the desk at 90.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Spurs vs . Nuggets Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 12. Spurs vs . Nuggets Time , TV & Stream – March 12.
Sources: covers.com, ticket760.iheart.com, khey1380.iheart.com
Osimhen moved by emotional Galatasaray tribute to late mothe
Osimhen moved by emotional Galatasaray tribute to late mothe. Atletico Madrid line up €50 million move for Cristian Romero. Uganda : Kvaratskhelia Double Helps PSG Thump Chelsea in First Leg.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k leads the desk at 78.0% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
Hawaii Volcanoes National Park Measles Exposure Warning
Hawaii Volcanoes National Park Measles Exposure Warning. Infants exposed to measles may qualify for preventative treatment - SteinbachOnline . com - Local news , Weather , Sp....
Sources: outsideonline.com, steinbachonline.com
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location.
Sources: yahoo.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.6%
$4K
What the Role of Iranian People to Topple Regime ?
What the Role of Iranian People to Topple Regime ?. Iranian Regime Strikes Jerusalem Right Next to Holy Sites. Blow to Iran nuke plans : IDF hits strategic nuclear facility.
Sources: dailysignal.com, pjmedia.com, israelnationalnews.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31 at 21.0% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in US x Iran ceasefire by...? - March 31.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 4.8% | $1M
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Wes Moore | 1.6% | $1M
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 23.1%
Popular events
4.9%
0.0pp
$8M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $403M+3%
Presidential election
Event volume $397M+2%
Jon Erlichman : 10 dividend stocks investors say can withstand the AI disruption
Jon Erlichman : 10 dividend stocks investors say can withstand the AI disruption. This Dividend Stock Yielding Almost 3 % Is Outperforming In 2026 : Should You Buy ?. Gibraltar Industries , Inc . ( ROCK ) Stock Forecasts.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Gilt Yields Climb as BOE Faces Dilemma of Above - Target Inflation , Weak Growth
Gilt Yields Climb as BOE Faces Dilemma of Above - Target Inflation , Weak Growth. US economic growth sharply lower than estimated in Q4. President Trump economy is a failure of his own making.
Sources: marketscreener.com, rte.ie, chicago.suntimes.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase at 1.8% with $100K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in April? - 25+ bps increase.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 98.2% | $46K
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
Top volume: 25 bps increase | 3.3% | $35K
Top odds: No change | 96.7%
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Top volume: ↑ $6,500 | 10.0% | $28K
Top odds: ↑ $5,500 | 66.7%
Popular events
Elon Musk announces Macrohard joint project between Tesla and his AI startup xAI
Elon Musk announces Macrohard joint project between Tesla and his AI startup xAI. What Is Elon Musk Macrohard AI Project ? How Could It Pose A Threat To Software Companies And White Collar Jobs ? Exp.... Funny reference to Microsoft : Elon Musk debuts Macrohard to emulate entire companies.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, newsx.com, livemint.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by DeepSeek V4 released by...? - March 15 at 1.1% with $145K traded.
Top volume remains in DeepSeek V4 released by...? - March 15.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: xAI | 5.3% | $75K
Top odds: Anthropic | 49.5%
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Top volume & odds: xAI | 29.0% | $67K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 88.0% | $22K
Popular events
History of the first Oscars held at The Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel in 1929
History of the first Oscars held at The Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel in 1929. History of the first Oscars held at The Hollywood Roosevelt Hotel in 1929. 12 times the Oscars got it wrong including the worst decision in ceremony history.
Sources: 6abc.com, abc7news.com, metro.co.uk
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $887K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $887K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume & odds: One Battle After Another | 76.0% | $199K
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume & odds: Michael B. Jordan | 53.3% | $120K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Toy Story 5 | 2.5% | $99K
Top odds: The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 43.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 15.9% | $96K
Popular events
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
The $2 , 050 Pivot : Ethereum Scarcity Index Turns Positive As Binance Supply Tightens
The $2 , 050 Pivot : Ethereum Scarcity Index Turns Positive As Binance Supply Tightens. Dont Buy Ethereum Until This Happens | The Motley Fool. New Crypto : Pepeto Announces Current Stage Nears Sell Out With Binance Expert on Board , While Dogecoin Price Predic....
Sources: newsbtc.com, fool.com, portal.sina.com.hk
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 75,000 at 78.0% with $596K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 75,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 75,000 | 78.0% | $596K
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Top volume & odds: Yes (Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy) | 2.6% | $190K
Popular events
Celtic young wolve continue to impress Jaylen Brown despite late loss to Thunder
Celtic young wolve continue to impress Jaylen Brown despite late loss to Thunder. Shai Gilgeous - Alexander chase for Wilt record : How absurdity can become reality. How to watch Thunder vs . Celtics : Shai Gilgeous - Alexander goes for NBA record 127th straight 20 - point game.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, newson6.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Spurs | 90.0% | $3M
Top volume & odds: Thunder | 58.0% | $217K
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 67.0% | $202K
Top volume & odds: Rockets | 81.0% | $168K
Popular events
How renewable energy shields countries from oil price shocks
How renewable energy shields countries from oil price shocks. Israel - Gaza Conflict : Study Reveals 33 Million Tonnes of CO₂ Emissions. Weakening climate leadership : Is the EU 2040 emissions target ambitious enough ?.
Sources: dw.com, downtoearth.org.in, euronews.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k at 78.0% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑4k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$2,145
+$1,992
Kalshi via Jupiter
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