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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?" Event volume totals $29M across outcomes, with $2M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?)" at 5.7% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Largest Company end of March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Largest Company end of March?" at 96.2% and $62K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? - Yes
$2M
Highest implied
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.0%
Top priced
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $100M
98.0%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? - Yes leads the desk at 5.7% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Now Is the Time for Iran People To Take Back Their Country
Now Is the Time for Iran People To Take Back Their Country. PM tells Iranians conditions for regime change soon to come. PM tells Iranians conditions for regime change soon to come.
Sources: heritage.org, jpost.com, jpost.com
Who will stand up for the Iranian people as death rains on them from the skies ? | Nasrin Parvaz
Who will stand up for the Iranian people as death rains on them from the skies ? | Nasrin Parvaz. Nancy Cordes : Is Trump Making Up Iran War Justification ?. Big mistake : Hegseth says Iran is showing true colors by attacking neighbors.
Sources:
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $796M+1%
B3
Lead market: Largest Company end of March? leads the desk at 96.2% with $62K traded.
Lead stories
Shell to Sell Jiffy Lube Network to Monomoy in $1 . 3 Billion Deal
Shell to Sell Jiffy Lube Network to Monomoy in $1 . 3 Billion Deal. Strategy Posts Record STRC Sales After ATM Rule Change. Greenland Untested Oil Basin Could Be the Next Big Discovery.
Sources: oilprice.com, cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Ledger leads the desk at 74.0% with $463K traded.
Lead stories
Oracle and OpenAI drop Texas data centre expansion plan : Bloomberg
Oracle and OpenAI drop Texas data centre expansion plan : Bloomberg. India made major progress toward its goal of training 85 , 000 semiconductor engineers. AI firm Fractal expects strong growth on increased AI adoption.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Lent is not a ritual it a reset for our Christian walk
Lent is not a ritual it a reset for our Christian walk. Beacon of light : Open house begins for new Latter - day Saint temple in Lindon. Dazik Raises the Bar with New Gospel Visual Yesu - Malawi Nyasa Times - News from Malawi about Malawi.
Sources: christianpost.com, ksl.com, nyasatimes.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 95,000 leads the desk at 1.2% with $504K traded.
Lead stories
Current price of Bitcoin for March 10 , 2026
Current price of Bitcoin for March 10 , 2026. Bitcoin May Follow Oil With A Rally To $79K. Bettors Give Bitcoin 4 % Odds of Topping $150 , 000 by June -- Why the Market Is Still Playing Offense.
Sources: fortune.com, cointelegraph.com, fool.com
Ethereum Price Climbs Past $2 , 000 , $2 , 200 Now in Bullish Crosshairs
Ethereum Price Climbs Past $2 , 000 , $2 , 200 Now in Bullish Crosshairs. Here What Would Need to Happen For Ethereum to Flip Bitcoin by 2030. Ethereum USD Outperforms Bitcoin : Smart Money Rotating ?.
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt leads the desk at 1.5% with $363K traded.
Lead stories
Newcastle 1 Barcelona 1 – Hosts miss an opportunity ? Flick too conservative ? Hall vs Yamal ?
Newcastle 1 Barcelona 1 – Hosts miss an opportunity ? Flick too conservative ? Hall vs Yamal ?. Liverpool go back to Galatasaray cauldron in Champions League last 16 - Sport. Atletico Madrid vs Tottenham : Prediction , kick - off time , team news , TV , live stream , h2h results , odds today.
Sources: nytimes.com, dawn.com, aol.co.uk
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 21.4% with $24K traded.
Lead stories
Dr . Singh reports most measles hospitalizations involve children not immunized - PembinaValleyOnline . com - Local n.... Government rolls out measures to help flood - hit Kenyans.
Sources: pembinavalleyonline.com, the-star.co.ke
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Iran says US GBU - 57 bombs and Tomahawk missiles remain at nuclear sites , alarms Washington and Israel.
Sources: zeenews.india.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? - Yes at 5.7% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 5.7% | $2M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 23.9% | $930K
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume & odds: Gavin Newsom | 25.4% | $384K
Popular events
5.2%
-0.2pp
$8M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $374M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $385M+1%
Silver , gold ETFs jump up to 7 % on weaker dollar after Trump signals possible end to Mideast war . Should you inves.... Ukraine assets - Newspaper. Treasure hunter is RELEASED from prison after refusing to share location of 500 gold coins.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, dawn.com, dailymail.co.uk
Even $10 can protect you : Rich Dad , Poor Dad author urges buying silver amid growing war , market fears. Triple Flag Precious Metals Rakes in Gold. Vodafone Idea , Happiest Minds , to Jindal Saw These are the top most traded stocks on the NSE today.
Sources: moneycontrol.com, marketscreener.com, livemint.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Largest Company end of March? at 96.2% with $62K traded.
Top volume remains in Largest Company end of March?.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 96.2% | $62K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $5,500 | 74.9% | $62K
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top volume: Saudi Aramco | 1.3% | $20K
Top odds: Largest Company end of December 2026? | 63.0%
Popular events
Microsoft taps Anthropic for Copilot Cowork in push for AI agents. Broadcom and Nvidia Just Delivered Blowout Earnings . Which Is the Better Growth Stock to Buy in March ?. Anthropic sues Trump administration seeking to undo supply chain risk designation.
Sources: thehindu.com, fool.com, abc7chicago.com
AI company Anthropic sues Trump administration seeking to undo supply chain risk designation - Boston News , Weather.... AI company Anthropic sues Trump administration seeking to undo supply chain risk designation. Anthropic sues Trump admin seeking to undo supply chain risk designation.
Sources: whdh.com, timesfreepress.com, abc15.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Ledger at 74.0% with $463K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Ledger.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: xAI | 1.9% | $33K
Top odds: Anthropic | 77.3%
Popular events
Critic Choice Awards 2026 nominations revealed ; Homebound leads feature film category with six nods 2026 : Bollywood.... Thaai Kizhavi box office collections day 12 : Radhika Sarathkumar starrer stays steady ; earns Rs 45 . 36 cr gross |.... LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN arrives on Blu - ray today – Inside Pulse.
Where and when is the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest ?
Where and when is the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest ?. UK Eurovision 2026 song Eins , Zwei , Drei from LOOK MUM NO COMPUTER released. Felicia wins Sweden Eurovision 2026 ticket - Radio Sweden.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, bbc.com, sverigesradio.se
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $1M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 15.9% | $954K
Top volume & odds: Finland | 34.0% | $179K
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Top volume: Wunmi Mosaku | 22.0% | $154K
Top odds: Amy Madigan | 49.8%
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.0% | $121K
Popular events
Sources: newsbtc.com, fool.com, finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 95,000 at 1.2% with $504K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 95,000.
Event leaders
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Top volume & odds: Yes (Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy) | 8.0% | $151K
Popular events
Gilgeous - Alexander equals scoring record as Thunder roll Nuggets. NBA roundup : James Harden scores 29 , 000th point in Cav win over 76ers. Gilgeous - Alexander Matches Chamberlain Record in Thunder Thrilling Win Over Nuggets.
Sources: guampdn.com, yardbarker.com, tribune.net.ph
Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing ? 3 reasons the Buck star is back on the court
Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing ? 3 reasons the Buck star is back on the court. Magic vs . Mavericks Injury Report – March 5. Magic vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – March 8.
Sources: nytimes.com, am1300thezone.iheart.com, fsr920.iheart.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt at 1.5% with $363K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 72.0% | $10K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 60.0% | $934
Popular events
Madhya Pradesh March 6 , 2026 , Weather Update : Rising Temperatures Signal Early Summer In State ; Mercury Climbs 2....
Sources: freepressjournal.in
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location.
Sources: yahoo.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 21.4% with $24K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Top volume: 1.10–1.14ºC | 1.3% | $7K
Top odds: 1.20–1.24ºC | 83.0%
Popular events
+$7,692
+$1,992
+$1,703
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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