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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?" Event volume totals $4M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "CDU" at 96.3%, with top volume on "The Greens" at 4.9% and $1M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 98.4% and $1M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Fed decision in March? - No change
$1M
Highest implied
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - December 31
98.9%
Top priced
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - December 31
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? - The Greens leads the desk at 4.9% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Chancellor Merz downplays a state election defeat
Chancellor Merz downplays a state election defeat. Germany news : Greens narrowly win Baden - Württemberg election.
Macron calls on Iran : Immediately stop attacks and open the Strait of Hormuz
Macron calls on Iran : Immediately stop attacks and open the Strait of Hormuz. For ships near Iran , US navy isnt the best protection – posing as Chinese or Muslim is. DMW : Filipino seafarers allowed to refuse deployment in war - risk areas.
Sources: ,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $785M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 98.4% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Trump Fed pick stokes uncertainty as investors weigh hawkish past with pro - growth pivot
Trump Fed pick stokes uncertainty as investors weigh hawkish past with pro - growth pivot. Bonds Pare Worst Weekly Loss Since April on Labor , Oil Angst. US military forces using AI tools to quickly manage enormous amounts of data for war on Iran.
Sources: scmp.com, finance.yahoo.com, nzherald.co.nz
B4
Lead market: SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 - Successful splash down? leads the desk at 55.0% with $135K traded.
Lead stories
AI Data Centers in Space : Why a SpaceX IPO Could Change Everything
AI Data Centers in Space : Why a SpaceX IPO Could Change Everything. Nvidia in Orbit ? Job Listing Suggests GPU Maker Eyeing Space - Based Data Centers. GitHub - fastino - ai / GLiNER2 : Unified Schema - Based Information Extraction.
Sources: fool.com, pcmag.com, github.com
Elon Musk calls Anthropic Claude woke , says the logo looks like anal …
Elon Musk calls Anthropic Claude woke , says the logo looks like anal …. Musk touts new Grok 4 . 20 as only non - woke AI chatbot currently available. Elon Musk : SpaceX IPO Buzz , Debt Repayments and AI Vision Dominate as Billionaire Navigates Busy March 2026.
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $308K traded.
Lead stories
[ Catholic Caucus Devotional ] My Catholic Life ! Catholic Daily Reflections : Facing the Horror of My Sins. Discover the gate to salvation : Get your free copy of Putting On Christ. The U . S . Military Is Being Ill - Taught Iran War Is Armageddon.
Sources: freerepublic.com, ksl.com, patheos.com
Cape Town named Best LGBTQ City in the world
Cape Town named Best LGBTQ City in the world. Timothée Chalamet Is Facing Criticism for His Controversial Statement About the Arts. Why did The Bride ! bomb at the box office ?.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 65,000 leads the desk at 85.6% with $516K traded.
Lead stories
This Could Be the Missing X Factor for Bitcoin , According to Cathie Wood of Ark Invest
This Could Be the Missing X Factor for Bitcoin , According to Cathie Wood of Ark Invest. Bitcoin LTH Supply Activity Continues To Rise Further Downside For Price ?. Better Crypto Buy : Bitcoin vs . XRP | The Motley Fool.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com, fool.com
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt leads the desk at 1.8% with $152K traded.
Lead stories
PSG lose at home to open Ligue 1 title race - Sport
PSG lose at home to open Ligue 1 title race - Sport. Lamine Yamal magic revives a tired Barcelona against Athletic Club. Pedri makes everything better - Hansi Flick hails Barcelona star after Athletic Club win.
Sources: dawn.com, barcablaugranes.com, barcablaugranes.com
Magic vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – March 8
Magic vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – March 8. Magic vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – March 8. Magic vs . Bucks Time , TV & Stream – March 8.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 21.5% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
Lack of cash jeopardising Bristol net zero climate goals as private investment needed
Lack of cash jeopardising Bristol net zero climate goals as private investment needed. All Nippon Airways to become first sustainable fuel airline in Asia. New York Realizes It Cant Get 70 % of Power from Renewable in 4 Years.
Sources: bristolpost.co.uk, eturbonews.com, frontpagemag.com
Valley sees above normal day temperatures ; light rain , snow predicted from Monday
Valley sees above normal day temperatures ; light rain , snow predicted from Monday.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$138K
U . S . Military Warns Iranian People of Regime Military Ops in Civilian Areas – PJ Media
U . S . Military Warns Iranian People of Regime Military Ops in Civilian Areas – PJ Media. Iran War Live : Kuwait downs three ballistic missiles as firefighters combat blazes. Demonstration shows support for U . S .- Israel war with Iran.
Sources: pjmedia.com, moneycontrol.com, koat.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? - The Greens at 4.9% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? - The Greens.
Lead event
Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? - The Greens
Trading at 4.9% with $1M in volume.
Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
4.9%
—
$1M
—
Event leaders
Who will win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Top volume: The Greens | 4.9% | $1M
Top odds: CDU | 96.3%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Top volume: March 31 | 98.1% | $1M
Top odds: December 31 | 98.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 8.9% | $817K
Which countries will strike Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: UAE | 36.0% | $656K
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: March 31 | 56.0% | $557K
5.4%
+0.1pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $366M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $376M+1%
Tim Boyd : Pulletop feedlot success generates big returns | The Land. How BC Indigenous land claim problems are 150 years in the making. Star Trek : Voyager - Across the Unknown reader review - Reader Feature.
Sources: theland.com.au, nationalpost.com, metro.co.uk
People Who Become Happier And More Peaceful With Age Usually Do These 5 Things Outside Every Day
People Who Become Happier And More Peaceful With Age Usually Do These 5 Things Outside Every Day.
Sources: yourtango.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 98.4% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 98.4% | $1M
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Top volume: Microsoft | 2.8% | $35K
Top odds: Largest Company end of December 2026? | 66.0%
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
Top volume: 50+ bps increase | 1.3% | $26K
Top odds: No change | 94.7%
Popular events
Sources: moneycontrol.com, foxnews.com, ibtimes.com
China becomes world largest holder of AI patents - People Daily Online
China becomes world largest holder of AI patents - People Daily Online. China becomes world largest holder of AI patents - People Daily Online.
Sources: en.people.cn, en.people.cn
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 - Successful splash down? at 55.0% with $135K traded.
Top volume remains in SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 - Successful splash down?.
Lead event
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 - Successful splash down?
Trading at 55.0% with $135K in volume.
Event leaders
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Top volume: Successful splash down? | 55.0% | $135K
Top odds: April 30 | 98.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: DeepSeek | 1.8% | $37K
Top odds: Anthropic | 76.8%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 1.3% | $18K
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Viking Therapeutics | 33.0% | $5K
Top odds: Pizza Hut | 43.0%
Popular events
Sources: thesouthafrican.com, marieclaire.co.uk, alltoc.com
7 Record - Breaking Anime Movies That No One Remembers
7 Record - Breaking Anime Movies That No One Remembers. Chinese Racing Sequel Pegasus 3 Surges to 2026 Top Global Box Office. Hopper Release Date Marks Six Year Anniversary of Major Turning Point for Pixar.
Sources: gamerant.com, aceshowbiz.com, movieweb.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $308K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $308K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 17.9% | $178K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Michael | 3.1% | $122K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 37.0%
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume: Michael B. Jordan | 46.3% | $70K
Top odds: Timothée Chalamet | 46.9%
Popular events
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : Liquidity Sweep Setup and MVRV Bands Hint at Possible Market Bottom. 2 Cryptocurrencies to Buy With $1 , 000 While Theyre Cheap , and 1 to Avoid for Now. The Insider Report : Geopolitical Tensions Boil Over as Stocks Near Inflection Point - Ecopetrol ( NYSE : EC ), NextN....
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, fool.com, benzinga.com
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 65,000 at 85.6% with $516K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↓ 65,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 65,000 | 85.6% | $516K
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Top volume & odds: Yes (Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy) | 49.0% | $114K
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $700M | 34.6% | $80K
Popular events
Cavaliers vs . 76ers Time , TV & Stream – March 9 | Fox Sports 980 WONE
Cavaliers vs . 76ers Time , TV & Stream – March 9 | Fox Sports 980 WONE. Dillon Brooks pokes an Anthony Edwards - sized bear with foolish comments. NBA Playoff Picture : Updated Probabilities and Biggest Storylines Impacting the Standings.
Sources: wone.iheart.com, dunkingwithwolves.com, si.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt at 1.8% with $152K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Bodo Glimt.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 66.0% | $639
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 70.0% | $438
Popular events
Sources: tribuneindia.com
Heat waves that spark damaging droughts are happening more frequently , study finds
Heat waves that spark damaging droughts are happening more frequently , study finds. European Union backs binding 90 % carbon reduction target by 2040. I asked one expert if I will really save energy installing solar panels at home He only said to take care of the soil....
Sources: thehimalayantimes.com, azernews.az, ecoportal.net
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 21.5% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$1,992
+$1,694
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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