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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?" Event volume totals $23M across outcomes, with $2M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "June 30" at 98.0%, with top volume on "March 31" at 97.3% and $2M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 98.5% and $2M 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI
$2M
Highest implied
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar) - Cut–Pause–Pause
98.6%
Top priced
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar) - Cut–Pause–Pause
98.6%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 97.3% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
IRGC claims to have struck oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz , UKMTO issues warning in area
IRGC claims to have struck oil tanker in Strait of Hormuz , UKMTO issues warning in area. Iran says waiting for US to escort ships through Strait of Hormuz. Iran IRGC claims strike on tanker in Strait of Hormuz.
Sources: yahoo.com, firstpost.com, jpost.com
IDF targets IRGC military training facility , missile storage , launch sites
IDF targets IRGC military training facility , missile storage , launch sites. IDF strikes IRGC infrastructure | The Jerusalem Post. Over 80 IAF jets strike IRGC sites , missile infrastructure in Tehran.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $781M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 98.5% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Fed faced with hard choice on weak jobs , high inflation
Fed faced with hard choice on weak jobs , high inflation. Half fear they will have to give up pets in 122pc surge at shelters. Half fear they will have to give up pets in 122pc surge at shelters.
Sources: businesstimes.com.sg, bristolpost.co.uk, plymouthherald.co.uk
Half fear they will have to give up pets in 122pc surge at shelters
Half fear they will have to give up pets in 122pc surge at shelters. US stocks close down as oil spikes 12 %, job market weakens. Stocks close down as oil spikes 12 %, job market weakens.
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI leads the desk at 31.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
SoftBank Is Putting All Its Eggs in the OpenAI Basket
SoftBank Is Putting All Its Eggs in the OpenAI Basket. OpenAI Loses Robotics Chief After Controversial Pentagon Agreement. Elon Musk accuses Anthropic Claude AI of woke bias.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, forbes.com, thenews.com.pk
Oracle and OpenAI drop Texas data centre expansion plan : Bloomberg
Oracle and OpenAI drop Texas data centre expansion plan : Bloomberg. India made major progress toward its goal of training 85 , 000 semiconductor engineers. AI firm Fractal expects strong growth on increased AI adoption.
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.9% with $591K traded.
Lead stories
Jessie Buckley says her acting career was almost killed at birth after she was traumatised by the crucifixion scene i.... Think of the people first , not politics first , Kumuyi tells leaders. Why is the Bible so confusing ? | Baxter Bulletin.
Sources: dailymail.co.uk, pmnewsnigeria.com, baxterbulletin.com
B6
Lead market: Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M leads the desk at 5.3% with $752K traded.
Lead stories
New Crypto Presale 2026 : Blazpay FLASH50 Momentum vs Chainlink
New Crypto Presale 2026 : Blazpay FLASH50 Momentum vs Chainlink. 2 Cryptocurrencies to Buy With $1 , 000 While Theyre Cheap , and 1 to Avoid for Now. Got $1 , 000 ? Should You Buy Bitcoin or Cardano ?.
Sources: openpr.com, fool.com, fool.com
Here Why Bitcoin Price Must Not Fall To $54K : Analyst
Here Why Bitcoin Price Must Not Fall To $54K : Analyst. How Buying Bitcoin Today Could 10x Your Net Worth. Bitcoin Losing Strength $66 , 000 Now The Line Between Recovery And Crash.
B7
Lead market: Clippers leads the desk at 67.0% with $290K traded.
Lead stories
Saturday NBA Best Bets March 7 NBA Predictions & Picks
Saturday NBA Best Bets March 7 NBA Predictions & Picks. Clippers Vs Grizzlies clippers vs grizzlies Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight. Happy Olivier - Maxence Prosper ready to help Grizzlies vs . Clippers.
Sources: thespread.com, el-balad.com, kmjnow.com
Wrexham 2 - 4 Chelsea ( AET ): Joao Pedro fires Blues into FA Cup quarter - final after major scare
Wrexham 2 - 4 Chelsea ( AET ): Joao Pedro fires Blues into FA Cup quarter - final after major scare. Historic Premier League shake - up : Arsenal to win , Spurs set for relegation. Arsenal edge Mansfield 2 - 1 to reach FA Cup quarter - finals.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 21.8% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
Roundup of climate and environmental news to March 8 , 2026 .
Roundup of climate and environmental news to March 8 , 2026 .. Oman expands renewable energy projects to boost sustainability and energy security. Utilities install new revolutionary tools to keep lights on during extreme weather.
Sources: theprovince.com, timesofoman.com, katu.com
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location.
Sources:
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Sources: yahoo.com, jpost.com, israelnationalnews.com
Israel attacks Iran oil containers
Israel attacks Iran oil containers. Controlling Iran skies does not mean the regime will fall to the ground – Middle East Monitor. 3 , 400 strikes in Iran , 7 , 500 munitions used , 150 defense systems out of use.
Sources: israelnationalnews.com, middleeastmonitor.com, israelnationalnews.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 at 97.3% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31.
Lead event
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
Trading at 97.3% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Top volume: March 31 | 97.3% | $2M
Top odds: June 30 | 98.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 31.9% | $1M
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 10.8% | $1M
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 62.7% | $1M
5.3%
0.0pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $364M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $373M+1%
Sources: hulldailymail.co.uk, moneycontrol.com, ksl.com
Jobs report expected to show hiring slowdown
Jobs report expected to show hiring slowdown. Jobs report shows US unexpectedly lost jobs in February. Jobs report shows US unexpectedly lost jobs in February.
Sources: abcnews.com, 6abc.com, abc7ny.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 98.5% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 98.5% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 94.0% | $46K
Popular events
Amazon joins Google and Microsoft in sending Anthropic message to customers
Amazon joins Google and Microsoft in sending Anthropic message to customers. Anthropic vows court fight in Pentagon row. Hallucinating AI is now fighting real wars.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, thehindu.com, timesofindia.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI at 31.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Perplexity AI
Trading at 31.0% with $2M in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Perplexity AI | 31.0% | $2M
Top odds: Pizza Hut | 46.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: OpenAI | 3.8% | $48K
Top odds: Anthropic | 75.7%
Popular events
Telugu film Nenu Ready team enthrals students at KL University. Virosh wedding , T20 frenzy , Holi narratives , Mid - East turmoil dominate Trendspotting this week. Janhvi Kapoor celebrates her 29th birthday in pretty pink saree during temple visit ; celebs shower her with warm wishes.
Sources: thehindu.com, adgully.com, hindustantimes.com
Quote of the day by Serena Williams : The success of every woman should be the inspiration to another …. Beauty Marks : The Best Beauty Looks of the Week. Indie film is dying - unless it isnt.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, vogue.com, salon.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.9% with $591K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.9% | $591K
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Top volume: Michael | 2.3% | $145K
Top odds: Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 38.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 17.9% | $88K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.0% | $80K
Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Top volume: Ryan Coogler | 8.0% | $70K
Top odds: Paul Thomas Anderson | 92.0%
Popular events
Sources: newsbtc.com, finance.yahoo.com, newsbtc.com
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It
Bitcoin Fell 36 % Fast and The BITQ ETF Felt Every Bit of It.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M at 5.3% with $752K traded.
Top volume remains in Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $300M.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 65,000 | 80.7% | $147K
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Top volume & odds: Yes (Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy) | 55.0% | $92K
Backpack FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $500M | 38.0% | $87K
Popular events
Mavericks F Khris Middleton fined $25K for mouthpiece incident
Mavericks F Khris Middleton fined $25K for mouthpiece incident. Mavericks F Khris Middleton fined $25K for mouthpiece incident. Mavericks F Khris Middleton fined $25K for mouthpiece incident.
Sources: theticket.com, ktik.com, thescore1260.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Clippers | 67.0% | $290K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 65.0% | $2K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 72.0% | $2K
Popular events
Federal budget 2026 : No new spending to reach renewable energy target
Federal budget 2026 : No new spending to reach renewable energy target. Droughts sparked by heat waves rising , study finds. New York Climate Act Is Driving Up Energy Bills and Risking Blackouts.
Sources: watoday.com.au, taipeitimes.com, climatechangedispatch.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 21.8% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$2,182
+$1,992
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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