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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?" Event volume totals $17M across outcomes, with $4M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 84.3%, with top volume on "March 31" at 81.0% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Largest Company end of March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Largest Company end of March?" at 95.0% and $21K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
$4M
Highest implied
US/Israel strikes Iran on...? - March 8
98.9%
Top priced
US/Israel strikes Iran on...? - March 8
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 81.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
BBC World Service - Focus on Africa , US ‑ Israel war with Iran hits oil in Africa
BBC World Service - Focus on Africa , US ‑ Israel war with Iran hits oil in Africa. Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz comes to a standstill. US - Israel - Iran War : 37 Indian - Flagged Vessels Stranded In Strait Of Hormuz , Rs 100 Bn Assets At Risk.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, reuters.com, news18.com
Azerbaijan says Iran struck its territory , as war spills over border
Azerbaijan says Iran struck its territory , as war spills over border. The numbers behind the IDF 12th wave of strikes in Tehran. IDF hits Iranian ballistic missile storage site.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $769M+1%
B3
Lead market: Largest Company end of March? leads the desk at 95.0% with $21K traded.
Lead stories
Arcos Dorados to Host Its 2026 Annual General Shareholder Meeting
Arcos Dorados to Host Its 2026 Annual General Shareholder Meeting. Director / PDMR Shareholding | Company Announcement. Who owns Chevron ? Institutional holdings & executive shares.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, investegate.co.uk, finance.yahoo.com
Wells Fargo shakes off last Fed consent order after decade - long regulatory cleanup
Wells Fargo shakes off last Fed consent order after decade - long regulatory cleanup. US Stock Market | Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh faces political hurdles , economic tests. Forget Tariffs , If Stock Market Crash Occurs Under Trump , These 3 Catalysts Will Be To Blame - State Street SPDR S....
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI leads the desk at 2.3% with $84K traded.
Lead stories
Prediction : Nvidia Stock Will Soar to This Price in 2026
Prediction : Nvidia Stock Will Soar to This Price in 2026. AppsFlyer acquisition stalls amid AI concerns.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, en.globes.co.il
Africa emerges as new arena in US - China competition over artificial intelligence
Africa emerges as new arena in US - China competition over artificial intelligence.
Sources: thestar.com.my
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 18.0% with $558K traded.
Lead stories
O Romeo Box Office Collections : Shahid Kapoor and Tripti Dimrii film with Vishal Bharadwaj remains flat on Holi , ne.... Demon Slayer Infinity Castle Returns To Indian Theatres On March 6 In Immersive ScreenX. Movie Room strengthens its position as Africa 24 - hour movie destination.
Sources: pinkvilla.com, news18.com, bizcommunity.com
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 100,000 leads the desk at 1.8% with $375K traded.
Lead stories
3 Things Every Strategy Investor Needs to Know
3 Things Every Strategy Investor Needs to Know. Crypto Crash : Is Bitcoin a Buy After Its 40 % Slump ?. Bitcoin Bulls Strike Back But $78K May Remain Resistance.
Sources: fool.com, fool.com, cointelegraph.com
Bitcoin Faces On - Chain Air Gap To $81 , 000 : Will Momentum Build ?
Bitcoin Faces On - Chain Air Gap To $81 , 000 : Will Momentum Build ?. Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For. Bitcoin Price Rally Slows , Consolidation Signals Possible Next Move.
B7
Lead market: Timberwolves leads the desk at 95.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves LIVE Score Updates in NBA Game | 03 / 05 / 2026
Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves LIVE Score Updates in NBA Game | 03 / 05 / 2026. Timberwolves vs . Raptors Injury Report – March 5. Timberwolves vs . Raptors Injury Report – March 5.
Sources: vavel.com, kxno.iheart.com, kfan.iheart.com
Rockets vs . Warriors Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5
Rockets vs . Warriors Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5. Rockets vs . Warriors Time , TV & Stream – March 5. Thursday NBA Best Bets March 5 NBA Predictions & Picks.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 19.9% with $2K traded.
Lead stories
Renewables And Fossil Fuels In Times Of War
Renewables And Fossil Fuels In Times Of War. China decarbonisation plan takes cautious steps as world backtracks on climate. Organic Valley , Stonyfield Organic , UNFI , and Whole Foods Market Collaborate in Groundbreaking Value Chain Climate....
Sources: cleantechnica.com, dealstreetasia.com, perishablenews.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
98.9%
$9K
Pakistani Shiites rally to denounce US - Israeli strikes on Iran
Pakistani Shiites rally to denounce US - Israeli strikes on Iran. Moment IDF obliterate Khamenei underground bunker. Delhi Shia Muslim community holds protest in Jor Bagh after Khamenei death.
Sources: sun-sentinel.com, dailymail.co.uk, aninews.in
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 at 81.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31.
Lead event
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
Trading at 81.0% with $4M in volume.
Event leaders
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Top volume: March 31 | 81.0% | $4M
Top odds: December 31 | 84.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?) | 12.8% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Mojtaba Khamenei | 52.9% | $1M
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 38.0% | $828K
5.3%
-0.1pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $355M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $365M+1%
Crypto scores first historic access to Fed payment system
Crypto scores first historic access to Fed payment system. Kraken Gains Fed Access : Could Ripple Follow With Its Own Master Account ?. Service sector grows at fastest pace since mid - 2022 : ISM.
Sources: aol.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Largest Company end of March? at 95.0% with $21K traded.
Top volume remains in Largest Company end of March?.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 95.0% | $21K
Popular events
Nvidia Is Probably Done Investing in OpenAI and Anthropic , Says CEO Why ?
Nvidia Is Probably Done Investing in OpenAI and Anthropic , Says CEO Why ?. Big tech group supports Anthropic in Pentagon fight | Honolulu Star - Advertiser. Apple , Google , Microsoft and other tech giants push back on Pentagon Anthropic blacklisting.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, staradvertiser.com, moneycontrol.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI at 2.3% with $84K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of March? - OpenAI
Trading at 2.3% with $84K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: OpenAI | 2.3% | $84K
Top odds: Anthropic | 75.1%
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume: Lovable | 31.0% | $8K
Top odds: Viking Therapeutics | 64.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 1.1% | $6K
Helping the Church Think Clearly - Christianity Today
Helping the Church Think Clearly - Christianity Today. Were God Guerilla Warrior - Christianity Today. This Easter , Let Lose Our Hope - Christianity Today.
Sources: christianitytoday.com, christianitytoday.com, christianitytoday.com
Lewis Hamilton confirms an F1 movie sequel is coming
Lewis Hamilton confirms an F1 movie sequel is coming. Emma Stone BAFTA Slim Look Sparks Ozempic Speculation , Comparisons to Ariana Grande , Demi Moore. Kelly Osbourne Net Worth 2026 : How Ozzy Osbourne Daughter Built Her Fortune.
Sources: drive.com.au, ibtimes.co.uk, koimoi.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes at 18.0% with $558K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes
Trading at 18.0% with $558K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 18.0% | $558K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $460K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.4% | $295K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Hamnet | 2.4% | $52K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 77.0%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 11.0% | $24K
Popular events
Sources: newsbtc.com, newsbtc.com, newsbtc.com
ETH Rally Toward $2 . 5K Held Back By Macro , War , DApp Use
ETH Rally Toward $2 . 5K Held Back By Macro , War , DApp Use. Harvard Picks ETH USD After Trimming Bitcoin ETF Exposure. Ethereum ETFs Draw In $169M , Highest Level in Two Months.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 100,000 at 1.8% with $375K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in March? - ↑ 100,000.
Event leaders
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Top volume & odds: Yes (Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy) | 72.0% | $25K
Popular events
CAF Officially Sets Quarter - Final Dates for Champions League Knockout Stage
CAF Officially Sets Quarter - Final Dates for Champions League Knockout Stage. Amstel Malta Signs Asisat Oshoala as Brand Ambassador – THISDAYLIVE. Man United told Ancelotti would be the ideal manager for them.
Sources: moroccoworldnews.com, thisdaylive.com, caughtoffside.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Timberwolves at 95.0% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Timberwolves.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 95.0% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Warriors | 57.0% | $334K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 67.0% | $996
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 72.0% | $571
Popular events
Washington takes another step to link its carbon market with California and Quebec. Persistence Market Research Pvt . Ltd .: Net - Zero Energy Buildings Market to Reach US$ 198 . 1 Billion by 2033 as S.... Net - Zero Energy Buildings Market to Reach US$ 198 . 1 Billion by 2033 as Sustainable Construction and Renewable Int....
Sources: thereflector.com, finanznachrichten.de, prnewswire.com
Australia Post sets new 2030 targets to reduce carbon emissions and enhance circularity | Empower Stories | Build Aut.... Ocean Energy Market Analysis - Global Industry Size , Share , Trends and Forecast 2022 - 2030. Asian Utilities Under Investor Pressure for Climate Action and Capital Realignment.
Sources: econews.com.au, altenergymag.com, downtoearth.org.in
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 19.9% with $2K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$1,992
+$918
Kalshi via Jupiter
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