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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?" Event volume totals $13M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "December 31" at 82.7%, with top volume on "March 31" at 78.0% and $3M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "↓ $70" at 65.0% and $161K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Nebius Group
$0
Highest implied
US/Israel strikes Iran on...? - March 7
98.9%
Top priced
US/Israel strikes Iran on...? - March 7
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 leads the desk at 78.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
BBC World Service - Focus on Africa , US ‑ Israel war with Iran hits oil in Africa
BBC World Service - Focus on Africa , US ‑ Israel war with Iran hits oil in Africa. US - Israel - Iran War : 37 Indian - Flagged Vessels Stranded In Strait Of Hormuz , Rs 100 Bn Assets At Risk. US Defends Iran Strike , Says Tehran Wont Control Oil - Critical Strait of Hormuz | World News.
Sources: bbc.co.uk, news18.com, news18.com
Who won Texas Senate Primary Election ? Check Results & Winners
Who won Texas Senate Primary Election ? Check Results & Winners. Trump demands end to Texas GOP runoff. Mark Teixeira wins GOP nomination for U . S . House seat – NBC New York.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $763M0%
B3
Lead market: Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June? - ↓ $70 leads the desk at 65.0% with $161K traded.
Lead stories
Silver , gold ETFs surge up to 5 % as Mideast conflict fuels safe - haven demand . What should investors do ?. Gold Rate Today LIVE : MCX silver rate falls by over ₹16 , 000 from day high ; gold price below ₹1 . 62 lakh per 10 gm. Advance eyes bulk mining after wide Mexican silver - gold hits.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, brisbanetimes.com.au
B4
Lead market: Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic leads the desk at 33.9% with $169K traded.
Lead stories
Prediction : Nvidia Stock Will Soar to This Price in 2026
Prediction : Nvidia Stock Will Soar to This Price in 2026. AppsFlyer acquisition stalls amid AI concerns. Elon Musk proposed Tesla tunnel loop met with opposition by Nashville metro council.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, en.globes.co.il, sun-sentinel.com
Elon Musk proposed Tesla tunnel loop met with opposition by Nashville metro council
Elon Musk proposed Tesla tunnel loop met with opposition by Nashville metro council.
Sources:
B5
Lead market: GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 2.6% with $559K traded.
Lead stories
2026 SXSW Film & TV Festival Jury Announced
2026 SXSW Film & TV Festival Jury Announced. O Romeo Box Office Collections : Shahid Kapoor and Tripti Dimrii film with Vishal Bharadwaj remains flat on Holi , ne.... More than 30 films to hit Chinese theaters in March.
Sources: sxsw.com, pinkvilla.com, globaltimes.cn
Helping the Church Think Clearly - Christianity Today
Helping the Church Think Clearly - Christianity Today. Were God Guerilla Warrior - Christianity Today. This Easter , Let Lose Our Hope - Christianity Today.
B6
Lead market: What price will Ethereum hit in March? - ↑ 2,200 leads the desk at 74.0% with $612K traded.
Lead stories
Current price of Ethereum for March 4 , 2026
Current price of Ethereum for March 4 , 2026. Ethereum ETFs Draw In $169M , Highest Level in Two Months. The Protocol : New Ethereum scaling plans.
Sources: fortune.com, finance.yahoo.com, coindesk.com
Bitcoin Price : BTC Reclaims $70K Amid $9Bn ETF Outflows
Bitcoin Price : BTC Reclaims $70K Amid $9Bn ETF Outflows. Crypto Crash : Is Bitcoin a Buy After Its 40 % Slump ?. This Will Be Big Elon Musk Reveals Once - In - A - Generation Opportunity Amid Bitcoin Price Surge.
Sources: ,
B7
Lead market: Wizards leads the desk at 61.0% with $121K traded.
Lead stories
Jazz vs . Wizards Prediction , Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday , March 5
Jazz vs . Wizards Prediction , Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Thursday , March 5. Jazz vs Wizards Injury Report Has Surprising Keyonte George Update. Wizards vs . Jazz preview : Trae Young set to debut against Utah.
Sources: si.com, si.com, bulletsforever.com
Martin Ho wins WSL February Manager of the Month
Martin Ho wins WSL February Manager of the Month. Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace : game time , live blog , how to watch. Live Premier League.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k leads the desk at 20.0% with $7K traded.
Lead stories
Renewables And Fossil Fuels In Times Of War
Renewables And Fossil Fuels In Times Of War. Organic Valley , Stonyfield Organic , UNFI , and Whole Foods Market Collaborate in Groundbreaking Value Chain Climate.... Reducing Business Environmental Impact : The Tech - Driven.
Sources: cleantechnica.com, perishablenews.com, 3blmedia.com
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location
Michigan snow so far is nearing 200 inches at one Upper Peninsula location.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Sources: jagranjosh.com, rawstory.com, nbcnewyork.com
US Iran tensions live : Geneva talks end with signs of progress , but US strikes threat looms over Iran. US allows staff to leave Israel as Iran tensions soar.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, dw.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31 at 78.0% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31.
Lead event
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...? - March 31
Trading at 78.0% with $3M in volume.
Event leaders
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
Top volume: March 31 | 78.0% | $3M
Top odds: December 31 | 82.7%
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Top volume: Ken Paxton | 15.0% | $1M
Top odds: John Cornyn | 86.0%
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Top volume & odds: Israel | 50.1% | $976K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?) | 39.0% | $831K
Popular events
5.4%
-0.2pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $352M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $362M0%
Wells Fargo shakes off last Fed consent order after decade - long regulatory cleanup
Wells Fargo shakes off last Fed consent order after decade - long regulatory cleanup. Crypto scores first historic access to Fed payment system. Kraken Gains Fed Access : Could Ripple Follow With Its Own Master Account ?.
Sources: investmentnews.com, aol.com, finance.yahoo.com
Fed Beige Book Reflects a Stable Economy Still Facing Challenges
Fed Beige Book Reflects a Stable Economy Still Facing Challenges. Trump Sends Pro - Bitcoin Fed Chair Nomination to the Senate. Fed report says U . S . economy solid but notes disruption from Minnesota immigration crackdown.
Sources: marketscreener.com, cointelegraph.com, theglobeandmail.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June? - ↓ $70 at 65.0% with $161K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June? - ↓ $70.
Event leaders
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Top volume & odds: ↓ $70 | 65.0% | $161K
Top volume & odds: No change | 89.0% | $136K
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume: 12+ (300+ bps) | 2.3% | $118K
Top odds: 2 (50 bps) | 27.0%
Top volume: Apple | 3.2% | $89K
Top odds: Largest Company end of March? | 96.0%
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of June? | 80.0% | $30K
Popular events
Adrian Weckler : If youre looking for signs of a weird and creepy AI dystopia , youve come to the right place.
Sources: independent.ie
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic at 33.9% with $169K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has best AI model end of June? - Anthropic
Trading at 33.9% with $169K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: Anthropic | 33.9% | $169K
Top odds: Google | 40.0%
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: OpenAI | 5.6% | $105K
Top odds: Anthropic | 75.3%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 1.1% | $92K
Popular events
How Timothée Chalamet could lose Oscar , even if Kylie Jenner stays away
How Timothée Chalamet could lose Oscar , even if Kylie Jenner stays away. Movie Room strengthens its position as Africa 24 - hour movie destination. Grand Lake Theater celebrates 100 years as Oakland movie palace.
Sources: mercurynews.com, bizcommunity.com, mercurynews.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes at 2.6% with $559K traded.
Top volume remains in GTA VI released before June 2026? - Yes.
Event leaders
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.6% | $559K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $315K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 18.0% | $111K
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume & odds: Timothée Chalamet | 56.0% | $56K
Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner
Top volume & odds: Jessie Buckley | 96.7% | $14K
Popular events
AI Crypto Presale 2026 Breakout : Top 5 Coins as Blazpay Phase 8
AI Crypto Presale 2026 Breakout : Top 5 Coins as Blazpay Phase 8. Best Crypto Presales 2026 Race : Blazpay FLASH50 Edge Over Solana. Crypto Presale 2026 Breakout : Presale Crypto Guide on How to Buy.
Sources: openpr.com, openpr.com, openpr.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Ethereum hit in March? - ↑ 2,200 at 74.0% with $612K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Ethereum hit in March? - ↑ 2,200.
Event leaders
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 2,200 | 74.0% | $612K
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $50M | 67.0% | $175K
Top volume & odds: June 30, 2026 | 73.5% | $126K
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $700M | 40.8% | $117K
Popular events
Magic vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5
Magic vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5. Magic vs . Mavericks Predictions , Odds & Stats – March 5. Magic vs . Mavericks Time , TV & Stream – March 5.
Sources: 969thegame.iheart.com, am1300thezone.iheart.com, 969thegame.iheart.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Wizards | 61.0% | $121K
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC
Top volume: Tottenham Hotspur FC | 4.0% | $119K
Top odds: Crystal Palace FC | 84.0%
Top volume & odds: Magic | 75.0% | $108K
Top volume & odds: Timberwolves | 65.0% | $82K
Popular events
Sources: yahoo.com
Australia Post sets new 2030 targets to reduce carbon emissions and enhance circularity | Empower Stories | Build Aut.... Ocean Energy Market Analysis - Global Industry Size , Share , Trends and Forecast 2022 - 2030. Asian Utilities Under Investor Pressure for Climate Action and Capital Realignment.
Sources: econews.com.au, altenergymag.com, downtoearth.org.in
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k at 20.0% with $7K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑10k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$7,692
+$1,992
+$918
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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