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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Presidential Election Winner 2028". Event volume totals $336M across outcomes, with $127K traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "JD Vance" at 22.3%, with top volume on "Glenn Youngkin" at 1.3% and $19K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 97.4% and $59K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Presidential Election Winner 2028 - Nikki Haley
$0
Highest implied
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic
98.2%
Top priced
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic
98.2%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 leads the desk at 9.0% with $984K traded.
Lead stories
Trump issues more sanctions on Iran ahead of nuclear talks
Trump issues more sanctions on Iran ahead of nuclear talks. Trump issues more sanctions on Iran ahead of nuclear talks. Trump issues more sanctions on Iran ahead of nuclear talks.
Sources: koat.com, wbaltv.com, wesh.com
Trump is demanding a clean extension of Section 702 , but privacy hawks in his own party arent convinced. Fed declares war on Jeanine Pirro over criminal probe into Jerome Powell. Dems Score Another Epstein Scalp : Davos Summit CEO ; Update.
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, House control 2026, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $723M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 97.4% with $59K traded.
Lead stories
Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip following a strong US jobs report
Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip following a strong US jobs report. Fed Waller says rate cut in March is a coin flip after jobs report. Fed considers skipping rate cut | The Arkansas Democrat - Gazette - Arkansa Best News Source.
Sources: ksat.com, sandiegouniontribune.com, arkansasonline.com
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic leads the desk at 98.2% with $41K traded.
Lead stories
Nvidia Reports a Whopping 73 % Surge in Profits Thanks to AI Compute
Nvidia Reports a Whopping 73 % Surge in Profits Thanks to AI Compute. Why is Anthropic at war with the Pentagon ? Will Pete Hegseth blacklist the AI firm ? – Firstpost. AI infra race reshapes nations : NVIDIA CEO.
Sources: propakistani.pk, firstpost.com, prokerala.com
FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as LSEG , Pearson and Experian hit by AI worries
FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as LSEG , Pearson and Experian hit by AI worries. FTSE 100 Live : London stocks retreat as RELX , LSEG , Experian hit by AI worries.
B5
Lead market: Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner - Wunmi Mosaku leads the desk at 21.6% with $113K traded.
Lead stories
Oscars 2026 : Where to Watch and What to Expect
Oscars 2026 : Where to Watch and What to Expect. Oscars 2026 : Last year acting winners return as presenters. Enter for a chance to win a trip to Hollywood for Live with Kelly and Mark After The Oscars Show 2026.
Sources: vanityfair.com, aninews.in, abc11.com
NAACP Image Awards Winners List : Sinners , Kendrick Lamar , Michelle Obama
NAACP Image Awards Winners List : Sinners , Kendrick Lamar , Michelle Obama. Sinners , Gracie Corner Win on Night 3 of NAACP Image Awards. Shahid Kapoor Starrer O Romeo Flops At The Box Office And Trade Analysts Reveal The Reasons.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 75,000 leads the desk at 3.3% with $80K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin Price Eyes $80 , 000 Liquidity Grab as ETFs Resume Buying BTC
Bitcoin Price Eyes $80 , 000 Liquidity Grab as ETFs Resume Buying BTC. XRP Sentiment Just Hit a 5 - Week High While Bitcoin Turns Bearish. Bitcoin ( BTC ) Price Prediction : Death Cross Puts $66K Support at Risk Will BTC Reclaim $74K as IBIT Signals Fresh....
Sources: cointelegraph.com, 247wallst.com, bravenewcoin.com
B7
Lead market: Pelicans leads the desk at 79.0% with $391K traded.
Lead stories
Pelicans vs . Jazz Injury Report : Are Trey Murphy & Lauri Markkanen Playing ?
Pelicans vs . Jazz Injury Report : Are Trey Murphy & Lauri Markkanen Playing ?. Jazz Injury Report Gives Clarity on Keyonte George , Markkanen vs Pelicans. Pelicans vs Jazz : Prediction , Top Picks & Odds for NBA Duel Tonight.
Sources: si.com, si.com, el-balad.com
Lakers vs . Suns Predictions , Odds & Stats – Feb . 26
Lakers vs . Suns Predictions , Odds & Stats – Feb . 26. Lakers vs . Suns Time , TV & Stream – Feb . 26 | Fox Sports 1350 AM. 3 Bold Predictions for Suns vs Lakers.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k leads the desk at 18.0% with $699 traded.
Lead stories
Spore stays firm on climate goals ; will work on cross - border solutions like carbon credits : DPM Gan. Israeli companies fall behind on global climate standards. EHCON launches GHG Emissions Reduction Initiative for quality air - Blueprint Newspapers Limited.
Sources: straitstimes.com, jpost.com, blueprint.ng
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$41K
Fed decision in March? - No change
97.4%
$59K
Sources: attackofthefanboy.com, rawstory.com, hotair.com
Live updates : US - Iran talks in Geneva , latest Trump administration news
Live updates : US - Iran talks in Geneva , latest Trump administration news.
Sources: us.cnn.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 at 9.0% with $984K traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - February 28.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 4.1% | $351K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 93.9%
Top volume: February 28 | 5.3% | $74K
Top odds: No strike by February 28 | 91.0%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?) | 1.4% | $66K
Popular events
6.4%
-0.1pp
$7M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $333M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $336M0%
Gentoo Media Secures EUR 18 Million Shareholder Loan Facility and Provides an Update on the Refinancing Process. Jackson Family Wines closes Carneros facility with 13 redundancies. Paul Mueller Company and Springfield Public Schools Announce Welding & Grinding Youth Apprenticeship Partnership.
3 Signs a Looming Recession Might Trigger a Stock Market Crash , and 1 Potential Way the Federal Reserve Might Be Abl.... Below zero : Fed governor wouldnt be surprised at negative job growth number. How this German traffic - light system can inspire a Bord Bia overhaul that works for farmers.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fortune.com, independent.ie
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 97.4% with $59K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 97.4% | $59K
Top volume & odds: Largest Company end of March? | 90.0% | $13K
Popular events
OpenAI Just Closed a $110 Billion Funding Round
OpenAI Just Closed a $110 Billion Funding Round. OpenAI $110 billion funding round draws investment from Amazon , Nvidia , SoftBank. India Yotta to build $2 billion AI hub with Nvidia GPUs , plans IPO.
Sources: businessinsider.com, thestar.com.my, cnbc.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic at 98.2% with $41K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Anthropic
Trading at 98.2% with $41K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 98.2% | $41K
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 1.8% | $12K
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 46.0% | $7K
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Top volume: Google | 38.0% | $1K
Top odds: Anthropic | 39.1%
Popular events
Sources: variety.com, thewrap.com, mensxp.com
The Transfiguration : Jesu Divinity Revealed
The Transfiguration : Jesu Divinity Revealed. Lenten Lessons on the Mass 8 : The Sign of the Cross. The Materiality Of Early Christ Devotion.
Sources: patheos.com, relevantradio.com, patheos.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner - Wunmi Mosaku at 21.6% with $113K traded.
Top volume remains in Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner - Wunmi Mosaku.
Lead event
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner - Wunmi Mosaku
Trading at 21.6% with $113K in volume.
Event leaders
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Top volume: Wunmi Mosaku | 21.6% | $113K
Top odds: Teyana Taylor | 53.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 18.0% | $85K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.8% | $13K
Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Top volume & odds: Paul Thomas Anderson | 93.0% | $11K
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 3.3% | $8K
Bitcoin ETFs Gain Momentum as BlackRock Leads Inflows. BTC USD Eyes $70K Breakout as Nvidia Earnings Causes Chaos. Bitcoin Miner MARA jumps 17 % after striking a deal with Starwood to build AI data centers.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, coinspeaker.com, coindesk.com
Mike Philbrick Top Picks for Feb . 26 , 2026 – BNN Bloomberg
Mike Philbrick Top Picks for Feb . 26 , 2026 – BNN Bloomberg. Strategy becomes the most shorted stock as Bitcoin price soars near $70 , 000. Crypto News : Pepeto Announces Presale Tops $7 . 33 Million As Bitcoin Reclaims $70 , 000 and Bull Run Start.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, finance.yahoo.com, manilatimes.net
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 75,000 at 3.3% with $80K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 75,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 75,000 | 3.3% | $80K
What price will Bitcoin hit February 23-March 1?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 70,000 | 36.0% | $19K
Top volume: March 31, 2026 | 1.1% | $17K
Top odds: December 31, 2026 | 19.0%
edgeX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume & odds: $1B | 58.0% | $8K
Sources: foxsportsabq.iheart.com, foxsportsabq.iheart.com, si.com
Leverkusen secure draw against Olympiacos
Leverkusen secure draw against Olympiacos. Sami Khedira snubs Arsenal when naming his favourite to win Champions League. Real lose 1 - 2 to OsasunaThe Shillong Times.
Sources: tribune.com.pk, metro.co.uk, theshillongtimes.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Pelicans | 79.0% | $391K
Top volume & odds: Lakers | 59.0% | $245K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 73.0% | $240
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 67.0% | $50
Popular events
Renewable energy news : GRS , Recurrent Energy , solar park project in Tanzania. Hurricane Melissa ties record for strongest storm in Atlantic history. Hurricane Melissa ties record for strongest storm in Atlantic history.
Sources: greentechlead.com, fox9.com, fox26houston.com
EPA rescinds greenhouse gas endangerment finding for motor vehicles | White & Case LLP
EPA rescinds greenhouse gas endangerment finding for motor vehicles | White & Case LLP. Digital Edge Advances Sustainability Strategy with Renewable PPA and Industry - First Recycled Water Initiative in India. Renewable energy news : Soleil Renewable , Catalyst Power.
Sources: jdsupra.com, koreaherald.com, greentechlead.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k at 18.0% with $699 traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$9,323
+$3,480
+$3,370
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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