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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "US strikes Iran by...?" Event volume totals $58M across outcomes, with $9M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "June 30" at 69.0%, with top volume on "February 28" at 26.0% and $4M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 92.8%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 5.5% and $375K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
US strikes Iran by...? - February 28
$4M
Highest implied
Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round - 50-52%
98.9%
Top priced
Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round - 50-52%
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 leads the desk at 26.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully. Thousands rally for people of Iran in Munich. Crown prince urges the world to stand with the people of Iran as 250 , 000 rally in Munich.
Sources: clickondetroit.com, canberratimes.com.au, local10.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $682M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 5.5% with $375K traded.
Lead stories
Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy , Say Researchers
Kalshi Data Could Inform Fed Reserve Policy , Say Researchers. U . S . Treasury yields : investors await Fed meeting minutes. Fed signals rate hikes possible if inflation stays elevated above target.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, cnbc.com, foxbusiness.com
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics leads the desk at 65.0% with $4K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI. Misanthropic , Evil : Elon Musk Slams AI Startup Anthropic After It Hits A $30 Billion Valuation. Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, news18.com, japantoday.com
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI. Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI. Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI.
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.4% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Polymarket : Odds of Jesus Christ returning outrank Kamala Harris for 2028
Polymarket : Odds of Jesus Christ returning outrank Kamala Harris for 2028. LDS Church names Elder Clark G . Gilbert to Quorum of the Twelve Apostles - LocalNews8 . com. Tribune interview with new LDS apostle Clark Gilbert.
Sources: albawaba.com, localnews8.com, sltrib.com
Dua Lipa named Bulgari global brand ambassador amid luxury expansion strategy
Dua Lipa named Bulgari global brand ambassador amid luxury expansion strategy. Yuva returns to theatres on February 20 ; Esha Deol calls it film close to my heart : Bollywood News. With Love box office collections day 14 : Anaswara Rajan film hits Rs 23 . 11 crores | Tamil Movie News.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000 leads the desk at 1.7% with $379K traded.
Lead stories
Four Sub - $60 , 000 BTC Price Levels Form Bitcoin Bottom Roadmap
Four Sub - $60 , 000 BTC Price Levels Form Bitcoin Bottom Roadmap. Tight Bitcoin Bollinger Bands Signal Big Move : Analyst. Bitcoin Targets $84K CME Gap After Rising Accumulation in BTC.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com
Bitcoin Price To Bottom At $45K ? On - Chain Indicator Says Yes
Bitcoin Price To Bottom At $45K ? On - Chain Indicator Says Yes. How mainstream adoption is now hammering the Bitcoin price. Jane Street Boosts Bitcoin Exposure with $276M IBIT Acquisition.
B7
Lead market: Pistons leads the desk at 65.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
FanDuel Promo Code : Bet $5 , Get $100 If It Wins For Pistons - Knicks & The NBA Return To The Hardwood. Cunningham 42 points , 13 assists lead Pistons to a 126 - 111 win over the Knicks. Pistons , Cade Cunningham continue dominance over Knicks.
Sources: covers.com, aol.com, nydailynews.com
How Vinicius Junior has become the most decisive player the Champions League since Cristiano Ronaldo .. Newcastle United can be a real contender in the Champions League Louis Saha. Osimhen Explains Why He was Furious versus Juventus – THISDAYLIVE.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k leads the desk at 53.0% with $5K traded.
Lead stories
Hawaii environmental leaders condemn EPA rollback | Honolulu Star - Advertiser
Hawaii environmental leaders condemn EPA rollback | Honolulu Star - Advertiser. Kenya green finance : A corporate playground , not a climate solution. What to know about EPA decision to revoke a scientific finding that helped fight climate change.
Sources: staradvertiser.com, capitalfm.co.ke, theoaklandpress.com
Six possible effects of Trump climate policy change
Six possible effects of Trump climate policy change. Repeal of greenhouse gas finding threatens health , economy of the state , experts warn. Trump condemned for revoking scientific finding on climate change.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Largest Company End of February?
98.6%
$96K
Over 20 countries will attend Trump Board of Peace meeting on Feb 19 , White House says. Over 20 countries will attend Trump Board of Peace meeting on Feb 19 , White House says. FCC chair backs Nexstar proposed acquisition of TEGNA after Trump public support.
Sources: asiaone.com, asiaone.com, 9news.com
( Exclusive ) Culture is a powerful soft power : Ricky Kej on meeting President Macron | Mumbai News
( Exclusive ) Culture is a powerful soft power : Ricky Kej on meeting President Macron | Mumbai News. How Rev . Jesse Jackson 2 campaigns for the White House shaped presidential politics. How Rev . Jesse Jackson 2 campaigns for the White House shaped presidential politics.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, cbsnews.com, cbsnews.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 at 26.0% with $4M traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - February 28.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.6% | $723K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.3%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Top volume: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 5.2% | $469K
Top odds: JD Vance | 24.1%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?) | 25.0% | $410K
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 1.1% | $356K
Top odds: J.D. Vance | 43.9%
Popular events
5.8%
-0.1pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $311M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $305M+1%
Cystatin C Assay Market to Reach $750 . 7 million , Globally , by 2033 at 7 . 4 % CAGR : Allied Market Research. Did DEI Play a Role in the Massive Sewage Leak Into the Potomac ?. Launching Coverage on Medline , a Medical - Surgical Giant , With a $45 Fair Value and a Narrow Moat.
Sources: finanznachrichten.de, twitchy.com, morningstar.com
Boston Fleet captain Megan Keller hits game - winning goal to secure gold medal for US
Boston Fleet captain Megan Keller hits game - winning goal to secure gold medal for US. Russia sold 300 , 000 ounces of gold as prices hit record. Amber Glenn former skating coach Benjamin Shroats arrested for sexual assault.
Sources: wgbh.org, mining.com, nypost.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease at 5.5% with $375K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Largest Company End of February?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company End of February? | 98.6% | $96K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume & odds: ↑ $5,500 | 8.7% | $66K
Popular events
Sources: pilotonline.com, news4jax.com, citizensvoice.com
Eric Schmidt Says Were Running Out Of Electricity , Urges Space Data Centers SpaceX CEO Elon Musk Quips : If Only The.... Eric Schmidt Says Were Running Out Of Electricity , Urges Space Data Centers SpaceX CEO Elon Musk Quips : If Only The....
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics at 65.0% with $4K traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Viking Therapeutics
Trading at 65.0% with $4K in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Viking Therapeutics | 65.0% | $4K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: Baidu | 1.1% | $4K
Top odds: Anthropic | 44.9%
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
Top volume: March 31 | 41.0% | $2K
Top odds: Super Heavy booster explodes? | 69.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 3.5% | $2K
Did you know that women need more sleep than men ? US doctor shares 5 surprising facts about sleep
Did you know that women need more sleep than men ? US doctor shares 5 surprising facts about sleep. Shikhar Dhawan wife - to - be Sophie Shine looks stunning in a dreamy lehenga for sangeet ceremony : Mehengi wali barbie. Sinners star Miles Caton : I didnt know how much I would be in the film … it might have scared me | Sinners.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, hindustantimes.com, theguardian.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.4% with $2M traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.4% | $2M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 16.0% | $2M
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 3.3% | $383K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Marty Supreme | 2.7% | $52K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 75.0%
Who will win the Beast Games: Season 2?
Top volume & odds: 167 | 91.9% | $2K
Popular events
Sources: newsbtc.com, fool.com.au, coinspeaker.com
French Banking Giant Société Générale Launches Euro Stablecoin On XRP Ledger
French Banking Giant Société Générale Launches Euro Stablecoin On XRP Ledger. Standard Chartered Cuts XRP Price Target By 65 %: From $8 to $2 . 80. Illicit Stablecoin Activity Hit a Five - Year High in 2025.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, 247wallst.com, cointelegraph.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000 at 1.7% with $379K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume: ↑ 85,000 | 1.7% | $379K
Top odds: ↓ 60,000 | 25.0%
What price will Ethereum hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 1,600 | 12.1% | $37K
Popular events
Sources: managingmadrid.com, themag.co.uk, thisdaylive.com
Bennedict Mathurin shines as surging Clippers hold off Nuggets
Bennedict Mathurin shines as surging Clippers hold off Nuggets. Bennedict Mathurin shines as surging Clippers hold off Nuggets. Bennedict Mathurin shines as surging Clippers hold off Nuggets.
Sources: dailynews.com, redlandsdailyfacts.com, sgvtribune.com
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Pistons | 65.0% | $1M
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 62.7% | $596K
Top volume & odds: Celtics | 67.0% | $467K
Top volume & odds: Raptors | 85.0% | $233K
Popular events
Sources: ghanamma.com, mtpr.org, irishexaminer.com
Climate - smart livestock farming adopted - Newsday Zimbabwe
Climate - smart livestock farming adopted - Newsday Zimbabwe. Donald Trump revoking major climate finding alarms scientists. Florida Legislation Would Ban Local Climate Policies.
Sources: newsday.co.zw, newsweek.com, cleantechnica.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k at 53.0% with $5K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,373
+$3,370
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
Leaderboard