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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?" Event volume totals $5M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?)" at 26.0% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 93.0% and $543K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? - Yes
$0
Highest implied
Will Opinion launch a token by ___? - September 30, 2026
98.6%
Top priced
Will Opinion launch a token by ___? - September 30, 2026
98.6%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 leads the desk at 19.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully
Iran crown prince says survival of Tehran government sends a clear signal to every bully.
Sources: clickondetroit.com
CBS Feuds With Stephen Colbert After His On - Air Jab at MAGA - Coded Execs Over James Talarico
CBS Feuds With Stephen Colbert After His On - Air Jab at MAGA - Coded Execs Over James Talarico. HOOBOY , This Was DUMB : James Talarico BUSTED Telling WHOPPER of an FCC Lie to Prove Trump Scared of Him. Austria does not join Trump Peace Council.
Sources: ,
B2
Awaiting market data for Japan PM snap election, Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $675M+1%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 93.0% with $543K traded.
Lead stories
Best CD rates today , February 17 , 2026 : Lock in up to 4 % APY today
Best CD rates today , February 17 , 2026 : Lock in up to 4 % APY today. US stocks eked mild gains in choppy trade on return from the holiday - Newsquawk Asia - Pac Market Open. NZD / USD : All eyes on RBNZ guidance and new Governor Breman debut.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, zerohedge.com, fxstreet.com
B4
Lead market: IPOs before 2027? - Ledger leads the desk at 76.0% with $353K traded.
Lead stories
OpenAI , SpaceX and other IPOs could break the S & P 500 , Jeremy Grantham says
OpenAI , SpaceX and other IPOs could break the S & P 500 , Jeremy Grantham says.
Sources: morningstar.com
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI. Misanthropic , Evil : Elon Musk Slams AI Startup Anthropic After It Hits A $30 Billion Valuation. Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, ,
B5
Lead market: Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 11.0% with $210K traded.
Lead stories
Audiences Are Walking Out on 2025 Failed Oscar Contender
Audiences Are Walking Out on 2025 Failed Oscar Contender. Culture Biggest Week Returns to L . A . With BET Awards and BETX Taking Over the City | News. About Us - Just Bollywood.
Sources: collider.com, bet.com, justbollywood.in
Live After the Oscars® Show VIP Giveaway | Contests
Live After the Oscars® Show VIP Giveaway | Contests. Watch Doctor Zhivago. Oscar nominees mix and mingle at the annual Oscars Nominees Luncheon.
B6
Lead market: What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000 leads the desk at 2.5% with $255K traded.
Lead stories
Here Why Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC Market Will Bottom in Q4 2026 .
Here Why Bitcoin Analysts Say BTC Market Will Bottom in Q4 2026 .. Bitcoin Funding Hints At Overcrowded Trade : Is A Short Squeeze Near ?. Bitcoin Price Stuck Under $72K As Consolidation Looms : New Research ..
Sources: cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com
How Bitcoin Could Help You Retire a Millionaire
How Bitcoin Could Help You Retire a Millionaire. Strategy ( MSTR ) Stock Jumps 33 % on Revenue and Bitcoin Boost Can the Rally Hold ?. How Many iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF Shares You Need to Own the Equivalent of 1 Bitcoin.
B7
Lead market: UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham leads the desk at 2.8% with $506K traded.
Lead stories
Rivers United set to shape Group A fate in Champions League finale
Rivers United set to shape Group A fate in Champions League finale. Van Dijk sinks Sunderland to boost UCL bid. Arsenal : Chelsea stun Arteta with advanced talk for world - class striker ON.
Sources: premiumtimesng.com, tribune.com.pk, teamtalk.com
Milano Cortina : Gold 20 years later certifies our skating quality says Fabris - News
Milano Cortina : Gold 20 years later certifies our skating quality says Fabris - News. Quiet achievers on Monday | TV Tonight. Kristi Yamaguchi hopes Blade Angels can break U . S . individual figure skating medal drought : They are ready.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k leads the desk at 56.0% with $9K traded.
Lead stories
Climate change : The energy transition is well under way
Climate change : The energy transition is well under way. Climate change : The energy transition is well under way. GCC Launches First Climate Budget , ₹7 , 200 Crore Plan – Chennaionline.
Sources: smh.com.au, watoday.com.au, chennaionline.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Largest Company End of February?
97.9%
$140K
Tillis suggests Warsh faces long Fed chair nomination process
Tillis suggests Warsh faces long Fed chair nomination process. Tillis suggests Warsh faces long Fed chair nomination process that could restrict his business life. Texa GOP Senate nominee will lead the Republican ticket . Who would have the longest coattails ?.
Sources: yahoo.com, cbsnews.com, yahoo.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by US strikes Iran by...? - February 28 at 19.0% with $3M traded.
Top volume remains in US strikes Iran by...? - February 28.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.7% | $2M
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 94.4%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: John Thune | 1.1% | $714K
Top odds: J.D. Vance | 46.2%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?) | 7.9% | $476K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?) | 26.0% | $473K
Popular events
6.0%
0.0pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $304M+1%
Presidential election
Event volume $298M0%
OHSU and Research Union Ink Tentative Deal. Hong Kong Court Rejects Liquidation of Country Garden Amid Debt Restructuring , ETRealty. Metro Council files resolution urging termination of NES CEO following ice storm response.
Chicago crime : 2 children injured in hit - and - run crash on Central Avenue in South Austin , Chicago police say. Biggest Correction Ever ? Silver Violent Smashdown , and Why the Bull Survives. Bubble - Like Gold and Silver Sink on US Jobs Surprise as Distrusted Dollar Bounces.
Sources: abc7chicago.com, zerohedge.com, bullionvault.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 93.0% with $543K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 93.0% | $543K
Largest Company End of February?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company End of February? | 97.9% | $140K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume: ↑ $5,500 | 7.1% | $41K
Top odds: ↓ $4,600 | 15.0%
Popular events
Anthropic Says Its Newest AI Model Is Getting Pretty Good at Using a Computer
Anthropic Says Its Newest AI Model Is Getting Pretty Good at Using a Computer. From Madame Claude Salon to Epstein Island : The unchanging currency of power – Middle East Monitor. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei admits his company struggles to balance safety with profits.
Sources: cnet.com, middleeastmonitor.com, fortune.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by IPOs before 2027? - Ledger at 76.0% with $353K traded.
Top volume remains in IPOs before 2027? - Ledger.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume: xAI | 1.9% | $221K
Top odds: Anthropic | 70.8%
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
Top volume & odds: 85% | 49.0% | $34K
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Top volume: xAI | 6.1% | $8K
Top odds: Anthropic | 38.4%
Popular events
First - Ever Long Island Music and Entertainment Hall of Fame Documentary Film Festival Legacy Award Presented to Mus.... 5 Of The Most Memorable NAACP Image Awards Moments Over the Years. Netflix Quietly Makes 2024 Most Devastating Political Drama Harder To Watch.
Sources: longisland.com, blackamericaweb.com, collider.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes at 11.0% with $210K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes.
Lead event
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? - Yes
Trading at 11.0% with $210K in volume.
Event leaders
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?) | 11.0% | $210K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Marty Supreme | 2.6% | $47K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 75.0%
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 3.3% | $38K
Who will win the Beast Games: Season 2?
Top volume & odds: 167 | 93.6% | $21K
Popular events
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Tests $1 , 850 Support as Bearish Pressure Persists
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Tests $1 , 850 Support as Bearish Pressure Persists. Ethereum Sitting In The Opportunity Zone Is Still Struggling At Price Recovery. Ethereum Whales Accumulate Aggressively as ETH Price Drops Below $2K.
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, finance.yahoo.com, cointelegraph.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000 at 2.5% with $255K traded.
Top volume remains in What price will Bitcoin hit in February? - ↑ 85,000.
Event leaders
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume: ↑ 85,000 | 2.5% | $255K
Top odds: ↓ 60,000 | 27.0%
What price will Solana hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 60 | 11.5% | $54K
Popular events
Sources: ansa.it, tvtonight.com.au, cbsnews.com
Arsenal warned which ONE team can stop their quadruple dream
Arsenal warned which ONE team can stop their quadruple dream. Only In The Land : Watch 24 / 25 UWCL doc finale !. Mega quiz : Name every scorer in our UCL history.
Sources: aol.co.uk, arsenal.com, arsenal.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham at 2.8% with $506K traded.
Top volume remains in UEFA Champions League Winner - Tottenham.
Event leaders
2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner
Top volume & odds: Canada | 57.0% | $357K
Champions League: Which teams advance to round of 16?
Top volume & odds: Real Madrid | 93.5% | $10K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 68.0% | $1K
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 69.0% | $790
Climate emergency ignored as banks double down on coal and gas. Advanced Biofuel Market : Driving Sustainable and Renewable Energy Solutions Globally. Fragmented carbon schemes threaten maritime progress.
Why cant Government Ministers say climate change ? « The Standard
Why cant Government Ministers say climate change ? « The Standard. Supply Chain Emissions Are No Longer Someone Else Problem. Grand Haven utility adds another solar project to renewable energy mix.
Sources: thestandard.nz, forbes.com, wzzm13.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k at 56.0% with $9K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,370
+$3,361
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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