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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $483M across outcomes, with $5M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 95.6%, with top volume on "Judy Shelton" at 3.1% and $1M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds are for "No change" at 93.0%, with top volume on "25 bps decrease" at 7.0% and $541K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton
$1M
Highest implied
Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard Sale Price? - >600k
98.9%
Top priced
Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard Sale Price? - >600k
98.9%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton leads the desk at 3.1% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Trump opens up about the big mistake he made in first term : Sometimes you listen to people
Trump opens up about the big mistake he made in first term : Sometimes you listen to people. I made a mistake : The 1 big decision that Trump now regrets. Trump Says Fed Chair Pick Kevin Warsh Could Drive More Than 15 % Economic Growth - IBM ( NYSE : IBM ).
Sources: marketrealist.com, nj.com, benzinga.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Thailand election winner, Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $662M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease leads the desk at 7.0% with $541K traded.
Lead stories
How much power does the Fed chair really have ?
How much power does the Fed chair really have ?. Tillis suggests Warsh faces long Fed chair nomination process. Tillis suggests Warsh faces long Fed chair nomination process that could restrict his business life.
Sources: npr.org, yahoo.com, cbsnews.com
Dublin Students Organize Regional Robotics Championship
Dublin Students Organize Regional Robotics Championship. NextEra Energy board declares quarterly dividend. IT Datacom Segment Supported Amphenol Corporation ( APH ) Better - Than - Expected Earnings.
B4
Lead market: Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google leads the desk at 29.0% with $292K traded.
Lead stories
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI
Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI. Misanthropic , Evil : Elon Musk Slams AI Startup Anthropic After It Hits A $30 Billion Valuation. Anthropic hits a $380B valuation as it heightens competition with OpenAI.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, news18.com, livemint.com
B5
Lead market: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 3.5% with $896K traded.
Lead stories
Which Book of the Bible Best Explains the Gospel ? - Explore the Bible
Which Book of the Bible Best Explains the Gospel ? - Explore the Bible. Latter - day Saints temple planned for Suffolk , church announces. Air1 Verse of the Day | Air1 Worship Music.
Sources: biblestudytools.com, 13newsnow.com, air1.com
2026 Independent Spirit Awards Winners List ( Updating Live )
2026 Independent Spirit Awards Winners List ( Updating Live ). Goleta Valley Library Film Club : Marty , 1955. Keep Your Movies . Ill Take Cinema !.
B6
Lead market: Flying Tulip FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $800M leads the desk at 81.0% with $162K traded.
Lead stories
Fire Force Newest Episode Makes Giovanni a True Monster in Amaterasu
Fire Force Newest Episode Makes Giovanni a True Monster in Amaterasu. Neighbors sue Gov . Shapiro over property dispute ; Shapiro team calls it political stunt. Life of Frank Chooka Elkington : A true Wodonga legend . | The Border Mail.
Sources: gamerant.com, wjactv.com, bordermail.com.au
B7
Lead market: 2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner - Canada leads the desk at 56.0% with $292K traded.
Lead stories
Mainer Sam Morse finishes 23rd in super - G at Olympics
Mainer Sam Morse finishes 23rd in super - G at Olympics. Lancashire Tourism Awards 2026 - full list of winners. Lower East Side Pinky Swear launches new Olympic tradition with themed events.
Sources: centralmaine.com, lancashiretelegraph.co.uk, amny.com
You Ask The Questions : Fabinho answers YOUR questions
You Ask The Questions : Fabinho answers YOUR questions. Father of Alexis Mac Allister sparks Liverpool exit speculations with fresh comments. Rivers United set to shape Group A fate in Champions League finale.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k leads the desk at 20.0% with $5K traded.
Lead stories
Hawaii environmental leaders condemn EPA rollback
Hawaii environmental leaders condemn EPA rollback. As Trump shreds climate rules , China emissions start to fall. Making climate action intelligent with AI.
Sources: westhawaiitoday.com, businesstimes.com.sg, tribuneindia.com
BarthHaas Group Commits to Sustainable High - Quality Beer
BarthHaas Group Commits to Sustainable High - Quality Beer. As Colorado ski resorts face big threat , not all press for climate action. As Colorado ski resorts face big threat , not all press for climate action.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Iran says US GBU - 57 bombs and Tomahawk missiles remain at nuclear sites , alarms Washington and Israel.
Sources: zeenews.india.com
Last Crack at Diplomacy ? U . S . Prepares for War and Peace With Iran
Last Crack at Diplomacy ? U . S . Prepares for War and Peace With Iran. Benjamin Netanyahu makes stance clear on potential US - Iran deal amid talks in Geneva : There shall be …. Iran Araghchi arrives in Geneva for second round of nuclear talks with US | Nuclear Energy News.
Sources: nysun.com, hindustantimes.com, aljazeera.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton at 3.1% with $1M traded.
Top volume remains in Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.1% | $1M
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 95.6%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?) | 16.0% | $454K
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume: Vivek Ramaswamy | 1.5% | $359K
Top odds: J.D. Vance | 46.8%
Popular events
5.1%
-0.2pp
$6M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $293M+2%
Presidential election
Event volume $294M+1%
Sources: patch.com, prnewswire.com, finance.yahoo.com
Why the Fed balance sheet could move mortgage rates sooner
Why the Fed balance sheet could move mortgage rates sooner. Fed Leadership Changes Have Historically Raised Market Volatility. GOP senator says he open to compromise on Trump nominee to chair the Federal Reserve.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, investing.com, clickondetroit.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease at 7.0% with $541K traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - 25 bps decrease.
Event leaders
Largest Company End of February?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company End of February? | 97.9% | $230K
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume: ↑ $5,800 | 2.6% | $40K
Top odds: ↓ $4,600 | 13.5%
Popular events
1 Artificial Intelligence ( AI ) Stock Investors Are Buying on the Dip. Pentagon Reportedly Hopping Mad at Anthropic for Not Blindly Supporting Everything Military Does. Apple Study : Users Want Transparent AI Agents Instead of Black - Box Systems.
Sources: fool.com, gizmodo.com, heise.de
Salesforce Employees Demand CEO Marc Benioff Cut Ties With ICE After Controversial Joke Sparks Backlash : Report - Sa.... Salesforce Reportedly Trims Workforce , Appoints New Leaders Amid AI Pivot - Amazon . com ( NASDAQ : AMZN ), Salesfor.... Nasdaq leads market declines as AI concerns weigh on tech stocks.
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com, proactiveinvestors.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google at 29.0% with $292K traded.
Top volume remains in Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google.
Lead event
Which company has the best AI model end of February? - Google
Trading at 29.0% with $292K in volume.
Event leaders
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume: Google | 29.0% | $292K
Top odds: Anthropic | 65.6%
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?) | 3.9% | $13K
Popular events
Sources: thewrap.com, independent.com, frontpagemag.com
Victor Wembanyama Marty Supreme jacket goes viral after Timothée Chalamet shout - out at NBA all - star weekend. Timothée Chalamet Just Broke This Oscars Record No One Has Done Since Marlon Brando. 8 Best Actor Oscar Wins That Are Indisputable.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, collider.com, collider.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes at 3.5% with $896K traded.
Top volume remains in Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?) | 3.5% | $896K
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Top volume: Hamnet | 6.0% | $76K
Top odds: One Battle After Another | 76.0%
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (GTA VI released before June 2026?) | 2.9% | $48K
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Top volume: Leonardo DiCaprio | 9.0% | $15K
Top odds: Timothée Chalamet | 78.0%
Popular events
Bitcoin Price To Bottom At $45K ? On - Chain Indicator Says Yes. Strategy Can Fully Cover $6 Billion In Debt if Bitcoin Drops 90 %, But What Happens Below That Line ?. Bitcoin Price Reclaims $70 , 000 After Deep February Slide.
Sources: newsbtc.com, finance.yahoo.com, bitcoinmagazine.com
It Inevitable Elon Musk Suddenly Confirms Massive Game - Changer As X Reveals Bitcoin And Crypto Price Updates. Weekend Round - Up : Bitcoin Wild Ride , Schiff Bitcoin Blast And Pudgy Penguin Valentine Day Pop - Up. Weekend Round - Up : Bitcoin Wild Ride , Schiff Bitcoin Blast And Pudgy Penguin Valentine Day Pop - Up.
Sources: forbes.com, benzinga.com, benzinga.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Flying Tulip FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $800M at 81.0% with $162K traded.
Top volume remains in Flying Tulip FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $800M.
Lead event
Flying Tulip FDV above ___ one day after launch? - $800M
Trading at 81.0% with $162K in volume.
Event leaders
Flying Tulip FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Top volume: $800M | 81.0% | $162K
Top odds: $400M | 91.0%
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume: ↓ 55,000 | 8.2% | $154K
Top odds: ↑ 75,000 | 39.0%
What price will Solana hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ 60 | 9.9% | $68K
Popular events
Sources: fourfourtwo.com, caughtoffside.com, premiumtimesng.com
Damian Lillard already recruiting legendary shooters to join him in next year NBA All - Star 3 - Point Contest. The Lakers will have a competitive advantage nobody is talking about. 3 East Bottom Dwellers Set to Leave the Chicago Bulls in Their Dust.
Sources: oregonlive.com, hoopshabit.com, si.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by 2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner - Canada at 56.0% with $292K traded.
Top volume remains in 2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner - Canada.
Lead event
2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner - Canada
Trading at 56.0% with $292K in volume.
Event leaders
2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner
Top volume & odds: Canada | 56.0% | $292K
Top volume & odds: Bucks | 67.0% | $872
Top volume & odds: Nuggets | 71.0% | $441
Popular events
UEFA Champions League Winner - Inter
Vol $223K
Vol $872
Sources: brewpublic.com, canoncitydailyrecord.com, eptrail.com
Very concerning : How EPA rolling back greenhouse gas emissions endangerment finding could impact health. Building sustainable food and beverage facilities : An end - to - end approach. Trump EPA greenhouse gas rule reversal : What it means for New Mexico up in the air.
Sources: centralmoinfo.com, foodbev.com, abqjournal.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k at 20.0% with $5K traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑12.5k.
Event leaders
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,370
+$3,361
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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