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Prediction Herald
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $358M across outcomes. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Kevin Warsh" at 95.6% and $0 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in March?" Highest implied odds and top volume are on "No change" at 84.0% and $0 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton
$0
Highest implied
Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard Sale Price? - >500k
98.5%
Top priced
Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard Sale Price? - >500k
98.5%
Volume leaders
Price leaders
B1
Lead market: Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? - Yes leads the desk at 33.0% with $36K traded.
Lead stories
Rats are leaving the ship : Scott Bessent says U . S . Treasury has new goal as economic chao in Iran becomes crazy *.... Trump says nuclear talks in Oman were very good , claims Iran wants a deal very badly. Clues about an imminent attack on the Islamic Republic.
Sources: wnd.com, yahoo.com, israelnationalnews.com
Inside Andrew and Epstein threesome with dancer at party with young girls
Inside Andrew and Epstein threesome with dancer at party with young girls. Epstein Alive Claims Resurface After File Release. Epstein Files : Top NI lawyer Paul Tweed worked to clean up vile billionaire image , threatening the media on his behalf.
B2
Awaiting market data for Senate control 2026.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $578M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in March? - No change leads the desk at 84.0% with $0 traded.
Lead stories
For Better or Warsh : The Federal Reserve May Be Wall Street Ticking Time Bomb in 2026
For Better or Warsh : The Federal Reserve May Be Wall Street Ticking Time Bomb in 2026. For Better or Warsh : The Federal Reserve May Be Wall Street Ticking Time Bomb in 2026. Commentary : The Fed can beat populist demagogues by educating the public.
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, itemlive.com
Have Fiat Money , Will Tyrannize - LewRockwell
Have Fiat Money , Will Tyrannize - LewRockwell. Apostle Kawinga Urges Malawians to Embrace Irrigation Farming - Malawi Nyasa Times. Stablecoins Beyond The Hype : Lack Of Credit Protection For Holders.
B4
Lead market: Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Pizza Hut leads the desk at 76.0% with $0 traded.
Lead stories
Nvidia Return to China Faces Major Risks . Here Why
Nvidia Return to China Faces Major Risks . Here Why. This AI Stock Could Be One of the Most Valuable in the World by 2027. This AI Stock Could Be One of the Most Valuable in the World by 2027.
Sources: bloomberg.com, finance.yahoo.com, fool.com
What Anthropic Latest AI Tool Means for the Legal Software Industry
What Anthropic Latest AI Tool Means for the Legal Software Industry.
Sources:
B5
Lead market: Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...? - December 31, 2026 leads the desk at 61.2% with $6K traded.
Lead stories
Police arrest protesters at Minneapolis federal building on 1 - month anniversary of woman death
Police arrest protesters at Minneapolis federal building on 1 - month anniversary of woman death. Police arrest protesters at Minneapolis federal building on 1 - month anniversary of woman death. Minneapolis protesters arrested during one - month anniversary of Renee Good death | Minneapolis.
Sources: independent.co.uk, thehindu.com, theguardian.com
B6
Lead market: Bitcoin above ___ on February 11? - 64,000 leads the desk at 88.2% with $22K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin Sentiment Worst Since 2022 Bear As Price Crash Continues
Bitcoin Sentiment Worst Since 2022 Bear As Price Crash Continues. Macro Accomodative Policie May Not Be The Next Big Catalyst For Bitcoin. Forget A Bitcoin Yearly Top , BTC Price Might Have Hit A 16 - Year Cyclical Peak.
Sources: newsbtc.com, cointelegraph.com, newsbtc.com
Ethereum ( ETH ) Price Prediction : ETH Bounces Back to $2 , 000 Level as Traders Weigh Breakdown Risk vs Recovery Co.... Ethereum Libra Formation In Play : ETH Next Big Move Could Be Loading. Ethereum Bleeds : Price Cracks $2 , 000.
B7
Lead market: Seattle vs. New England - Seahawks leads the desk at 68.0% with $108K traded.
Lead stories
Big Game Kalshi Promo Code COVER Lets You Trade $10 On Seattle - New England For A $10 Bonus
Big Game Kalshi Promo Code COVER Lets You Trade $10 On Seattle - New England For A $10 Bonus. Big Game FanDuel Promo Code : $50 Deposit Match + Bet $5 , Get $200 If You Win On Seattle - New England. Big Game Underdog Promo Code COVER : Play $5 , Get $75 On Seattle - New England On Sunday.
Sources: covers.com, covers.com, covers.com
Holders PSG brace for tough run
Holders PSG brace for tough run. The 2007 Champions League Final was a missed opportunity for Liverpool . That Milan defeat still hurts me today Bolo.... They celebrated far too much - John Terry slams Arsenal reaction to Chelsea win | Football.
B8
Lead market: Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k leads the desk at 95.3% with $0 traded.
Lead stories
Fidelity Calls Out Limits of Extreme - Weather Adaptation Bets
Fidelity Calls Out Limits of Extreme - Weather Adaptation Bets. Colombia must rush to hit climate mark : OECD | Latest Market News. Biomass Power Generation Market Growth Driven by Renewable Energy Transition.
Sources: bloomberg.com, argusmedia.com, briefingwire.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
Sources: mirror.co.uk, deccanchronicle.com, independent.ie
Watch : MN Anti - ICE Crew Has a Bad Day With Police , and Theyre Not Very Happy With Tim Walz
Watch : MN Anti - ICE Crew Has a Bad Day With Police , and Theyre Not Very Happy With Tim Walz. Minnesota whistleblower says Walz knew of fraud , details alleged retaliation. VICTOR DAVIS HANSON : Slouching toward Fort Sumter ?.
Sources: redstate.com, foxnews.com, reviewjournal.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? - Yes at 33.0% with $36K traded.
Top volume remains in Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?) | 33.0% | $36K
Epstein client list released by...?
Top volume & odds: June 30 | 24.0% | $7K
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
Top volume: February 28 | 32.0% | $4K
Top odds: March 31 | 64.0%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Top volume & odds: Gavin Newsom | 29.0% | $0
Popular events
6.3%
+0.4pp
$5M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $232M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $237M0%
Sources: lewrockwell.com, nyasatimes.com, forbes.com
Gold : How it came to trade like a meme stock
Gold : How it came to trade like a meme stock. Gold , Silver Rates Today Live Updates : MCX gold , silver futures hit lower circuit levels ; gold ETFs crash 16 %. How the world most boring investment started trading like a meme stock.
Sources: bnnbloomberg.ca, economictimes.indiatimes.com, us.cnn.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in March? - No change at 84.0% with $0 traded.
Top volume remains in Fed decision in March? - No change.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: No change | 84.0% | $0
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Top volume & odds: 2 (50 bps) | 28.0% | $0
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ $4,600 | 42.2% | $0
Largest Company End of February?
Top volume & odds: Largest Company End of February? | 85.0% | $0
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of February?
Top volume & odds: ↓ $75 | 84.8% | $0
Googlers write open letter to company , demand transparency , protection , cut ties with ICE
Googlers write open letter to company , demand transparency , protection , cut ties with ICE. Nvidia shares rise by 8 per cent , CEO Huang talks about AI investment ; know key details. Google workers speak out in open letter against company links to immigration crackdown.
Sources: india.com, india.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Pizza Hut at 76.0% with $0 traded.
Top volume remains in Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Pizza Hut.
Lead event
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? - Pizza Hut
Trading at 76.0% with $0 in volume.
Event leaders
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Pizza Hut | 76.0% | $0
Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price
Top volume & odds: >$5m | 95.9% | $0
Which company has the best AI model end of February?
Top volume & odds: Anthropic | 67.3% | $0
Top volume & odds: Discord | 92.8% | $0
Logan Paul 1st edition Charizard Sale Price?
Top volume & odds: >500k | 98.5% | $0
Kate Hudson Best Actress Nomination Says a Lot About How the Oscars Really Work. Weve Already Seen Next Year First Big Oscar Film With Channing Tatum Best Performance Yet. Complete list of music performances at Super Bowl 60 and streaming details.
Sources: collider.com, collider.com, thebiglead.com
Why Kurt Russell wrote Tom Cruise a letter about Top Gun : Maverick
Why Kurt Russell wrote Tom Cruise a letter about Top Gun : Maverick. Jr NTR , Ram Charan RRR to get anime adaptation ? Director SS Rajamouli reveals talks with Japanese studios. Timothée Chalamet Addresses Claims About The Marty Supreme Marketing Campaign Being A Gimmick.
Sources: ew.com, pinkvilla.com, cinemablend.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...? - December 31, 2026 at 61.2% with $6K traded.
Top volume remains in Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...? - December 31, 2026.
Lead event
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...? - December 31, 2026
Trading at 61.2% with $6K in volume.
Event leaders
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 61.2% | $6K
Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Top volume: Josh Safdie | 1.3% | $3K
Top odds: Paul Thomas Anderson | 87.0%
Top volume & odds: Yes (X banned in U.K. by March 31?) | 3.7% | $2K
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Top volume & odds: December 31 | 12.0% | $0
Sources: bravenewcoin.com, newsbtc.com, techstory.in
Crypto Market Recap : Bitcoin Dumps Below $60K ; Tether Bets on Gold ; Uniswap ETF Bid Emerges ; and More ( Feb 1 – 7.... Tom Lee BitMine Adds Another $42 Million in Ethereum Despite Crypto Winter. DeFi . NFTs . AI . Quantum Is the Next Crypto Mega - Narrative - And $qONE Is the Only Way to Play It Right Now.
Sources: banklesstimes.com, finance.yahoo.com, partners.coinspeaker.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Bitcoin above ___ on February 11? - 64,000 at 88.2% with $22K traded.
Top volume remains in Bitcoin above ___ on February 11? - 64,000.
Event leaders
Bitcoin above ___ on February 11?
Top volume & odds: 64,000 | 88.2% | $22K
Ethereum above ___ on February 8?
Top volume & odds: 1,900 | 97.8% | $13K
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
Top volume & odds: ↑ 75,000 | 60.0% | $0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Top volume & odds: December 31, 2026 | 23.0% | $0
Popular events
Sources: tribune.com.pk, fourfourtwo.com, metro.co.uk
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Steph Curry to miss third straight Warriors game with right knee injury. Underdog Promo Code COVERS : Play $5 , Get $75 in Bonus Cash for Warriors vs . Lakers.
Sources: covers.com, marinij.com, covers.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Seattle vs. New England - Seahawks at 68.0% with $108K traded.
Top volume remains in Seattle vs. New England - Seahawks.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Seahawks | 68.0% | $108K
Top volume & odds: Arsenal | 20.0% | $0
Top volume & odds: Lakers | 53.0% | $0
Top volume & odds: Cavaliers | 84.0% | $0
Top volume & odds: Trail Blazers | 73.0% | $0
Popular events
Southern Oregon senator revives bill to make big oil pay for disasters driven by climate change. B . C . climate news : Carney amends EV mandate for emissions , replaces with incentive for cars under $50 , 000 | Ch.... Detmold group ON TRACK with 2025 - 2050 sustainability goals | Empower Stories | Build Authority.
Sources: heraldandnews.com, theprovince.com, econews.com.au
Morocco Unveils SR500 Program to Accelerate Commercial Solar Self - Production Through Carbon Finance – The North Afr.... Sustainable initiatives play crucial role in Super Bowl LX. What this state climate change battle can teach America * WorldNetDaily * by Oliver Lee Bateman , Real Clear Wire.
Sources: northafricapost.com, abcnews.go.com, wnd.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k at 95.3% with $0 traded.
Top volume remains in Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? - ↑2k.
Event leaders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Top volume & odds: ↑2k | 95.3% | $0
Top volume & odds: March 31 | 94.6% | $0
January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Top volume & odds: 1.05–1.09ºC | 85.0% | $0
Popular events
+$3,480
+$3,370
+$3,361
Kalshi via Jupiter
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