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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?" Event volume totals $48M across outcomes, with $22M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?)" at 94.0% and $22M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in Mar 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Fed maintains rate" at 90.0%, with top volume on "Cut 25bps" at 10.0% and $308K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes
$22M
Highest implied
Australian Open Final: Alcaraz vs Djokovic - Jannik Sinner
100.0%
Most liquid
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton
$22M
Volume leaders
Liquidity watch
B1
Lead market: Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 94.0% with $22M traded.
Lead stories
Polymarket , Kalshi contract limits demonstrated in latest U . S . government shutdown fight
Polymarket , Kalshi contract limits demonstrated in latest U . S . government shutdown fight. Senate vote wont avert a partial government shutdown . Here why .. Senate vote wont avert a partial government shutdown . Here why ..
Sources: coindesk.com, wcnc.com, 9news.com
B2
Awaiting market data for Impeachment tracker.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $43M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in Mar 2026? - Cut 25bps leads the desk at 10.0% with $308K traded.
Lead stories
FinancialContent - Inflation Ghost Returns : December PPI Surge Shakes Market Confidence and Stalls Fed Cut Hopes.
Sources: markets.financialcontent.com
Here how much Midwest region gas prices rose from last week
Here how much Midwest region gas prices rose from last week. Kanlaon Volcano emits superheated gas , may signal explosive eruption. Woman critically injured as gas tank explodes in Ipoh house.
Sources: yahoo.com,
B4
Lead market: Best AI in Jan 2026? - ChatGPT leads the desk at 1.0% with $137K traded.
Lead stories
Amazon Reportedly Considering $50 Billion Investment in OpenAI
Amazon Reportedly Considering $50 Billion Investment in OpenAI. Perplexity inks $750m AI cloud deal with Microsoft. OpenAI Reportedly Eyes Late - 2026 IPO Amid Rising Competition and Massive Funding Needs.
Sources: themunicheye.com, dealstreetasia.com, econotimes.com
Perplexity signs $750 million AI cloud deal with Microsoft , Bloomberg News reports
Perplexity signs $750 million AI cloud deal with Microsoft , Bloomberg News reports. OpenAI Funding Surge : Amazon Eyes $50B Stake as AI Competition Hits New Heights. OpenAI eyes fourth quarter 2026 IPO amid generative AI competition , WSJ reports.
B5
Lead market: Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st? - Before Jan 31, 2026 leads the desk at 1.0% with $257K traded.
Lead stories
Kanye West announces new album
Kanye West announces new album. Who Is the Real Kanye West ? | Opinion. A New Chapter : Ye Returns to Direct Production for Bully Amid Public Apologies.
Sources: punknews.org, newsweek.com, z93jamz.com
Bridgestone Arena Opens to Those Affected by Winter Storms on Friday and Saturday
Bridgestone Arena Opens to Those Affected by Winter Storms on Friday and Saturday. Aurora man arrested following string of break - ins in Beaufort County. How elite college finance clubs pave the way to Wall Street.
B6
Lead market: How low will Bitcoin get in January? - Below $80,000.00 leads the desk at 5.0% with $126K traded.
Lead stories
Bitcoin Could Find Next Bottom Near $50 , 000 Based On Gold Ratio , Expert Warns
Bitcoin Could Find Next Bottom Near $50 , 000 Based On Gold Ratio , Expert Warns. MSTR Stock Hits 52 - Week Low as Bitcoin Slides Toward $80K. Bitcoin Mining Profits Hit 14 - Month Low After Winter Storm Rocks Miners : CryptoQuant.
Sources: newsbtc.com, coinspeaker.com, finance.yahoo.com
Bitcoin mining stock prices pummeled in broader market sell off
Bitcoin mining stock prices pummeled in broader market sell off. The Best Cryptocurrency to Buy With $500 Right Now. Bitcoin tanks further , falls to two - month low in Singapore , investor rush to Gold amid volatility.
B7
Lead market: Sacramento leads the desk at 2.0% with $2M traded.
Lead stories
Leading scorer Jaylen Brown may miss Celtic matchup vs . Kings
Leading scorer Jaylen Brown may miss Celtic matchup vs . Kings. Celtics vs . Kings Injury Report – Jan . 30 | FOX Sports AM 1280. Shams Charania Reports Celtics Eyeing Trade For This Kind Of Big - Time Player.
Sources: ktik.com, foxsportsam1280.iheart.com, nesn.com
Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Lakers LIVE Score Updates : ( 0 - 0 ) | 01 / 30 / 2026
Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Lakers LIVE Score Updates : ( 0 - 0 ) | 01 / 30 / 2026. Lakers vs Wizards Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. National Shutdown brings protests to L . A ., across the nation calling for the end of ICE violence.
B8
Lead market: Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 15.0 inches leads the desk at 3.0% with $58K traded.
Lead stories
Live updates : Winter storm watch in effect , great day for snowballs
Live updates : Winter storm watch in effect , great day for snowballs. PNC contributes $2 million to help Pittsburgh purchase snow removal equipment for city. See artists at Lake Geneva Winterfest Snow Sculpting Invitational.
Sources: yahoo.com, post-gazette.com, yahoo.com
Columbia , SC , weather : Is the Midlands getting snow , ice ?
Columbia , SC , weather : Is the Midlands getting snow , ice ?. Myrtle Beach residents urged to stay off snowy roads. Could it snow in Tampa this weekend ?.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
2.0%
$13M
33.0%
$12M
68.0%
Kevin Warsh Emerges As Frontrunner For Fed Chair Ahead Of Friday Announcement : Prediction Market Agrees. Kevin Warsh Emerges As Frontrunner For Fed Chair Ahead Of Friday Announcement : Prediction Market Agrees. Trump Picks Former US Fed Official Kevin Warsh As Next Federal Reserve Chair.
Sources: benzinga.com, benzinga.com, news18.com
Explainer - How does Iran system of power work ?
Explainer - How does Iran system of power work ?. Explainer - How does Iran system of power work ?. What is Iran Revolutionary Guard ? The force labelled a terrorist group by EU.
Sources: internazionale.it, al-monitor.com, aol.co.uk
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes at 94.0% with $22M traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?) | 94.0% | $22M
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 2.0% | $15M
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 98.0%
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 2.0% | $750K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 49.0%
Will Trump sign an executive order this week (1/25-1/31)?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Trump sign an executive order this week (1/25-1/31)?) | 99.0% | $389K
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Top volume: Before February | 2.0% | $336K
Top odds: Before 2027 | 22.0%
Popular events
9.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $13M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $9M0%
Labor credit card economics are hurting Australian families
Labor credit card economics are hurting Australian families. Colombia central bank shocks with 100 - bp rate hike to 10 . 25 %. Producer prices rose 0 . 5 % in December on uptick in services inflation.
Sources: afr.com, marketscreener.com, sun-sentinel.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in Mar 2026? - Cut 25bps at 10.0% with $308K traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in Mar 2026? - Cut 25bps.
Event leaders
Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above $2.90 | 2.0% | $172K
Top odds: Above $2.85 | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: 2.1 to 2.5 | 79.0% | $21K
Top volume & odds: Starts | 1.0% | $10K
Popular events
SpaceX and xAI Explore Major Merger Ahead of Anticipated IPO , ETTelecom
SpaceX and xAI Explore Major Merger Ahead of Anticipated IPO , ETTelecom. FinancialContent - Amazon in Talks for Massive $50 Billion Investment in OpenAI to Challenge Microsoft Dominance. Amazon considers investing up to $50bn in OpenAI to bolster its AI strategy.
Sources: telecom.economictimes.indiatimes.com, markets.financialcontent.com, marketscreener.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Best AI in Jan 2026? - ChatGPT at 1.0% with $137K traded.
Liquidity centers on Best AI in Jan 2026? - ChatGPT.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 15.0% | $59K
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: gpt-5.2 | 1.0% | $48K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 99.0%
Popular events
Best AI in Jan 2026? - ChatGPT
Vol $137K
Vol $59K
List : Super Bowl LX events around the San Francisco Bay Area
List : Super Bowl LX events around the San Francisco Bay Area. Super Bowl 60 : Some blind fans to experience big game with tactile device that tracks ball. Some blind fans to experience Super Bowl with tactile device that tracks ball.
Sources: ktvu.com, abc7news.com, theoaklandpress.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st? - Before Jan 31, 2026 at 1.0% with $257K traded.
Liquidity centers on Oscar for Best Picture? - Marty Supreme.
Lead event
Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st? - Before Jan 31, 2026
Trading at 1.0% with $257K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Kanye West / Ye release BULLY before January 31st?
Top volume & odds: Before Jan 31, 2026 | 1.0% | $257K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 12 | 13.0% | $158K
Top odds: Above 10 | 100.0%
Grammy Award for Song Of The Year?
Top volume & odds: Golden [From "KPop Demon Hunters"] | 71.0% | $43K
Grammy Award for Best New Artist?
Top volume & odds: Olivia Dean | 71.0% | $41K
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, cnbctv18.com
Fintech Stock SoFi Technologies Just Proved That the Ultimate Cryptocurrency Has a Clear Use Case
Fintech Stock SoFi Technologies Just Proved That the Ultimate Cryptocurrency Has a Clear Use Case. Amboss Unveils RailsX : The First Lightning - Native DEX for P2P Bitcoin and Stablecoin Trading. The Phnom Penh Post | Preparing Cambodia for the Rise of BTC and USDT Wallet - to - Wallet Scam Networks.
Sources: fool.com, financial-news.co.uk, phnompenhpost.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by How low will Bitcoin get in January? - Below $80,000.00 at 5.0% with $126K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before June 2026.
Lead event
How low will Bitcoin get in January? - Below $80,000.00
Trading at 5.0% with $126K in volume.
Event leaders
How low will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume: Below $80,000.00 | 5.0% | $126K
Top odds: Below $82,500.00 | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Before June 2026 | 10.0% | $59K
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 1.0% | $40K
Top odds: Before July 2026 | 65.0%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Top volume & odds: Above $200000 | 13.0% | $24K
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Above $99999.99 | 71.0% | $16K
Sources: vavel.com, covers.com, latimes.com
Reddit NBA streams alternatives to watch Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic NBA game streaming for free today ; TV chan.... Beede Breakdown : Orlando Magic flips script vs . Raptors. Desmond Bane long - range accuracy powers Magic past Raptors.
Sources: oregonlive.com, orlandosentinel.com, 640wxsm.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Sacramento at 2.0% with $2M traded.
Liquidity centers on New England.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Los Angeles L | 100.0% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Toronto | 64.0% | $2M
Australian Open Final: Alcaraz vs Djokovic
Top volume: Novak Djokovic | 28.0% | $1M
Top odds: Jannik Sinner | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: New York | 94.0% | $1M
Popular events
Sources: postandcourier.com, postandcourier.com, wtsp.com
Tens of thousands enter 6th day without power as more is coming
Tens of thousands enter 6th day without power as more is coming. Tens of thousands enter 6th day without power as more is coming. Tens of thousands enter 6th day without power as more is coming.
Sources: orlandosentinel.com, baltimoresun.com, sun-sentinel.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 15.0 inches at 3.0% with $58K traded.
Liquidity centers on Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 10.0 inches.
Lead event
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 15.0 inches
Trading at 3.0% with $58K in volume.
Event leaders
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 3.0% | $58K
Top odds: Above 10.0 inches | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Above 0.1 inches | 1.0% | $25K
Snow in Washington DC in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 10.0 inches | 3.0% | $14K
Top odds: Above 6.0 inches | 100.0%
Top volume & odds: Above 2.0 inches | 100.0% | $5K
Snow in Philadelphia in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 1.0% | $4K
Top odds: Above 10.0 inches | 100.0%
+$8,597
+$8,591
+$8,591
Kalshi via Jupiter
Polymarket
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