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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?" Event volume totals $8M across outcomes, with $1M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?)" at 75.0% and $1M 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in Jan 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Fed maintains rate" at 99.0%, with top volume on "Cut 25bps" at 2.0% and $663K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$20M
Highest implied
Pro Football Champion? - Denver
100.0%
Most liquid
$21M
Volume leaders
Liquidity watch
$21M
67.0%
B1
Lead market: Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes leads the desk at 75.0% with $1M traded.
Lead stories
Schumer - led shutdown in January ? Democrat shares update on DHS funding in Appropriations Bill after Alex Pretti sh.... We Will Not Provide The Votes : Schumer Leads Senate Democrats In Threat To Block DHS Funding , Raising Shutdown Fears. We Will Not Provide The Votes : Schumer Leads Senate Democrats In Threat To Block DHS Funding , Raising Shutdown Fears.
Sources: hindustantimes.com, benzinga.com,
B2
Awaiting market data for Impeachment tracker.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $42M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps leads the desk at 2.0% with $663K traded.
Lead stories
Will the Fed pause interest rates ? What to know amid legal uncertainty
Will the Fed pause interest rates ? What to know amid legal uncertainty. Here what investors want even more than a Fed interest - rate cut this week. Fed set to keep rates steady as officials defend independence.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, morningstar.com, hurriyetdailynews.com
Nat - Gas Prices Underpinned by a Historic US Winter Storm
Nat - Gas Prices Underpinned by a Historic US Winter Storm. Looking to Cash in AI , But Own Too Many Tech Stocks ? This High - Yielding Energy Stock is Capitalizing on the AI -.... US power grid strained as massive winter storm barrels across country.
B4
Lead market: What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026? - gpt-5.2 leads the desk at 1.0% with $70K traded.
Lead stories
Singapore users are flocking to Elon Musk Grok despite deepfake controversy
Singapore users are flocking to Elon Musk Grok despite deepfake controversy. Fausto Tantillo Bags Second Chip Lead of Series on Main Event Day 1a.
Sources: straitstimes.com, pokernews.com
OpenAI Stock vs . Anthropic Stock : Which Nvidia - Backed AI Start - up Would Be the Best IPO Stock to Buy in 2026 ?. OpenAI Stock vs . Anthropic Stock : Which Nvidia - Backed AI Start - up Would Be the Best IPO Stock to Buy in 2026 ?. Is Wikipedia dead ? OpenAI GPT - 5 . 2 turns to Elon Musk Grokipedia for real - time answers.
B5
Lead market: Oscar for Best Picture? - Sinners leads the desk at 23.0% with $56K traded.
Lead stories
Kirsten Dunst on the warpath and shares post lamenting Oscars snub for husband Jesse Plemons in Bugonia. Oscars 2026 Box Office : Which Film Nominated For Best Picture Delivered The Best Returns ?. Kirsten Dunst shades Marty Supreme amid husband Jesse Plemon Oscar snub.
Sources: dailymail.co.uk, koimoi.com, geo.tv
B6
Lead market: When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before March 2026 leads the desk at 3.0% with $62K traded.
Lead stories
Why Is Crypto Crashing ? Record $700M Exits Bitcoin ETFs in Single Day as Wall Street De - Risks Ahead of Trade War. These 3 Cryptocurrencies Could Skyrocket in 2026. BlackRock Billion - Dollar Exit.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, techstory.in
B7
Lead market: Seattle leads the desk at 67.0% with $20M traded.
Lead stories
NFL play - offs : New England Patriots reach Super Bowl 60 after beating Denver Broncos
NFL play - offs : New England Patriots reach Super Bowl 60 after beating Denver Broncos. Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks LIVE Score Updates in NFL Game | 01 / 25 / 2026. Where to watch Rams vs . Seahawks today : NFL Playoffs free stream.
Sources: bbc.com, vavel.com, syracuse.com
Host the Best Super Bowl Party in LA : Mixology & NFL Alumni
Host the Best Super Bowl Party in LA : Mixology & NFL Alumni. Watch the Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles LA Rams streaming live on demand for free in the 2026 NFL playoffs today ;.... Blue Jackets vs . Kings Prediction & Picks - Jan . 26.
B8
Lead market: Snow in New York City from Jan 24–26? - Above 10.0 inches leads the desk at 100.0% with $887K traded.
Lead stories
Best winter storm photos show surreal scenes from Texas to New England
Best winter storm photos show surreal scenes from Texas to New England. North Texas wakes Sunday morning to snow , icy roads , power outages. How much snow fell in your area ? See latest snowfall totals ..
Sources: yahoo.com, dallasnews.com, yahoo.com
Winter storm blankets US in snow and ice . See its path in maps .
Winter storm blankets US in snow and ice . See its path in maps .. Live weather updates : Winter storm to bring heavier showers to Louisville. Winter storm to bring several inches of snow to Delaware . Track storm radar.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$18M
34.0%
Will the Fed pause interest rates ? What to know amid legal uncertainty
Will the Fed pause interest rates ? What to know amid legal uncertainty. The Stock Market Is Facing a Federal Reserve Double Whammy in 2026 -- and Things May Get Ugly for Wall Street. Jack Smith warning : Testimony reminds us what Trump did , and can try again.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, nydailynews.com
Silent protestors gather in Cheltenham in solidarity with Iran
Silent protestors gather in Cheltenham in solidarity with Iran. Report : Khamenei Moved to Underground Bunker in Tehran. Is Iran Supreme Leader Hiding In A Bunker Amid Fears Of US Attack ? Latest Reports And Denials Explained.
Sources: bbc.com, article.wn.com, newsx.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026? - Yes at 75.0% with $1M traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?) | 75.0% | $1M
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.0% | $680K
Top odds: Rick Rieder | 49.0%
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 5.0% | $414K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 50.0%
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 11.0% | $82K
Top odds: Before Jan 20, 2029 | 70.0%
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Top volume: Before February | 2.0% | $57K
Top odds: Before 2027 | 25.0%
Popular events
7.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $12M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $9M0%
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, fool.com, foxbusiness.com
Carney Debunks Three Hoaxes Media , Democrats Are Pushing About the Economy
Carney Debunks Three Hoaxes Media , Democrats Are Pushing About the Economy. Rough bond market was behind Trump abrupt deescalation on Greenland.
Sources: breitbart.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps at 2.0% with $663K traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Above $2.855 | 100.0% | $52K
Top volume & odds: Starts | 1.0% | $22K
Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting?
Top volume: Above 3.75% | 2.0% | $18K
Top odds: Above 3.25% | 100.0%
Popular events
Sources: fool.com, finance.yahoo.com, livemint.com
Billionaire David Tepper Sells Oracle , Micron , and Intel , and Buys an AI Stock Up 31 , 000 % Since Its IPO. Next level : why China game makers are quietly bankrolling generative AI. Billionaire David Tepper Sells Oracle , Micron , and Intel , and Buys an AI Stock Up 31 , 000 % Since Its IPO.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, scmp.com, fool.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026? - gpt-5.2 at 1.0% with $70K traded.
Liquidity centers on What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026? - gpt-5.2.
Event leaders
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: gpt-5.2 | 1.0% | $70K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 98.0%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 15.0% | $17K
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?
Top volume & odds: OpenAI | 97.0% | $3K
Top volume & odds: Gemini | 54.0% | $3K
Popular events
Best AI in Jan 2026? - ChatGPT
Vol $38K
Vol $17K
15 Grammy Award Winners Who Made History With Their Wins. Look out for these underrated gems at the Grammys. Ultimate Guide to Hosting Unforgettable Parties and Events.
Sources: mentalfloss.com, bostonherald.com, el-balad.com
Ariana Grande Oscar snub explained : Academy voters detail bizarre reasons
Ariana Grande Oscar snub explained : Academy voters detail bizarre reasons. She was the heart and soul : One Battle After Another Leonardo DiCaprio talks about Chase Infiniti Oscar snub |. Teyana Taylor makes SNL debut alongside mini - me daughters : so grateful.
Sources: geo.tv, timesofindia.indiatimes.com, geo.tv
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Oscar for Best Picture? - Sinners at 23.0% with $56K traded.
Liquidity centers on Oscar for Best Picture? - Marty Supreme.
Event leaders
Grammy Award for Song Of The Year?
Top volume & odds: Golden [From "KPop Demon Hunters"] | 71.0% | $45K
Popular events
1 Top Cryptocurrency to Buy Before It Soars 177 % in 2026 , According to Cardano Founder Charles Hoskinson. ChatGPT , Gemini , Grok , and Claude All Predict Bitcoin Price for 2026 Why the $85K to $250K Range Matters. Top Crypto Presales for February 2026 : Pepeto Dominates with.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com, openpr.com
Deadly Winter Storm in US Impacts Foundry united states and Other Mining Pools
Deadly Winter Storm in US Impacts Foundry united states and Other Mining Pools. Bitcoin Gets the Macro Bug as $87 , 000 Comes Into Play. On This Date 16 Years Ago , Seller Offered 500 Bitcoin for $1 Worth $45 Million Today.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before March 2026 at 3.0% with $62K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before February 2026.
Event leaders
Top volume: Before March 2026 | 3.0% | $62K
Top odds: Before June 2026 | 13.0%
How high will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $100,000.00 | 5.0% | $42K
How low will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Below $85,000.00 | 53.0% | $28K
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 5.0% | $23K
Top odds: Before July 2026 | 64.0%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Top volume & odds: Above $200000 | 14.0% | $22K
Sources: covers.com, oregonlive.com, wncoam.iheart.com
Toronto weather : Live updates today as storm dumps 50 cm
Toronto weather : Live updates today as storm dumps 50 cm. Toronto , Eastern Canada brace for heavy snow as frigid temperatures persist. Teen arrested north of Toronto for antisemitic threats on Jewish sites.
Sources: cp24.com, theglobeandmail.com, israelnationalnews.com
Event leaders
NFC Championship Winner: Los Angeles vs Seattle
Top volume & odds: Seattle | 67.0% | $20M
Los Angeles R at Seattle: Spread
Top volume & odds: Seattle wins by over 2.5 points | 61.0% | $4M
Pro Football Combo: Los Angeles R at Seattle, New England at Denver
Top volume: NE wins, SEA wins | 78.0% | $1M
Top odds: DEN wins, SEA wins | 100.0%
Popular events
Vol $20M
Vol $2M
How much snow did your Ohio neighborhood get ? Check the totals here
How much snow did your Ohio neighborhood get ? Check the totals here. Puppy enjoys first ever snow day in Western Pennsylvania. Rare , prolonged period of sleet hits DC region , with freezing rain risk looming.
Sources: yahoo.com, wxii12.com, wtop.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Snow in New York City from Jan 24–26? - Above 10.0 inches at 100.0% with $887K traded.
Liquidity centers on Snow in New York City from Jan 24–26? - Above 10.0 inches.
Lead event
Snow in New York City from Jan 24–26? - Above 10.0 inches
Trading at 100.0% with $887K in volume.
Event leaders
Snow in New York City from Jan 24–26?
Top volume & odds: Above 10.0 inches | 100.0% | $887K
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026?
Top volume & odds: Above 10.0 inches | 100.0% | $165K
Snow in Washington DC in Jan 2026?
Top volume & odds: Above 6.0 inches | 100.0% | $83K
Top volume: Above 2.0 inches | 61.0% | $49K
Top odds: Above 0.5 inches | 100.0%
Snow in Philadelphia in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 15.0 inches | 12.0% | $28K
Top odds: Above 6.0 inches | 100.0%
+$6,979
+$4,146
+$3,955
Kalshi via Jupiter
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