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News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $55M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds and top volume are on "Rick Rieder" at 52.0% and $855K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in Jan 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Fed maintains rate" at 98.0%, with top volume on "Cut 25bps" at 3.0% and $376K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$4M
Highest implied
Oscar for Best Picture? - Wicked: For Good
100.0%
Most liquid
Pro Football Champion? - San Francisco
$8M
Volume leaders
$4M
25.0%
$3M
77.0%
$2M
24.0%
Liquidity watch
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Rick Rieder leads the desk at 52.0% with $855K traded.
Lead stories
Who Could Donald Trump Nominate as Next Fed Chair ?
Who Could Donald Trump Nominate as Next Fed Chair ?. Bond Trader Rick Rieder Unexpectedly Surges to Top Contender for Fed Chair. Bitcoin Will Take The Place Of Gold Fed Suddenly Braced For A $34 Trillion BlackRock Price Surprise.
Sources: newsweek.com, finance.yahoo.com, forbes.com
International organisations lost their influence , Iran representative on emergency meeting in UN
International organisations lost their influence , Iran representative on emergency meeting in UN. Iran : UN Lost Influence , Nuclear Weapons Haram. Trump 11 - word Iran armada warning sparks WW3 fears.
B2
Awaiting market data for Portugal president.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $42M+2%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps leads the desk at 3.0% with $376K traded.
Lead stories
Will mortgage rates fall ahead of January Fed meeting ?
Will mortgage rates fall ahead of January Fed meeting ?. Fed not seen cutting rates again until June in latest survey. Smart yield hunting : CGSI says buy SGD , AUD - issued bonds , 5 - 10 year investment - grade debt.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, businesstimes.com.sg, businesstimes.com.sg
B4
Lead market: Best AI on January 24th? - ChatGPT leads the desk at 1.0% with $119K traded.
Lead stories
How this 30 - year - old Pokemon game is helping Google , OpenAI and Anthropic to evaluate AI models
How this 30 - year - old Pokemon game is helping Google , OpenAI and Anthropic to evaluate AI models. How playing Pokémon became the ultimate test of AI intelligence. OpenAI is coming for those sweet enterprise dollars in 2026.
Sources: timesofindia.indiatimes.com, livemint.com, techcrunch.com
B5
Lead market: Oscar for Best Picture? - Sinners leads the desk at 23.0% with $90K traded.
Lead stories
A surprising fantasy horror film has become the most Oscar - nominated movie of all time
A surprising fantasy horror film has become the most Oscar - nominated movie of all time. How to Watch and Stream Every 2026 Oscar - Nominated Film. Texas winter storm : How to stream 2026 Oscar nominees at home.
Sources: winteriscoming.net, people.com, statesman.com
Chalamet sets record with three Oscar acting nodsThe Shillong Times
Chalamet sets record with three Oscar acting nodsThe Shillong Times. Coronation Street actor announces exit from soap as co - stars rush to support. The 2026 Oscar Nominations Prove Long - Term Actor - Director Partnerships Still Dominate.
B6
Lead market: How high will Bitcoin get in January? - Above $100,000.00 leads the desk at 6.0% with $64K traded.
Lead stories
Cleanspark Inc . ( CLSK ) Expands in Texas in Pursuit of AI and HPC Opportunities
Cleanspark Inc . ( CLSK ) Expands in Texas in Pursuit of AI and HPC Opportunities. Bitcoin Price Stability Sparks Recovery Hopes , But Hurdles Loom. Bitcoin Pro Traders Buy Dips , While Also Expecting More Downside.
Sources: insidermonkey.com, newsbtc.com, cointelegraph.com
Major US Storm May Prompt Crypto Miners to Adjust Operations
Major US Storm May Prompt Crypto Miners to Adjust Operations. Gold Can Hit Up to $23 , 000 in Eight Years as Bitcoin Stalls. How Silver Cracked $100 And Added More Than Bitcoin Entire Market Cap In 3 Months.
B7
Lead market: Detroit leads the desk at 25.0% with $4M traded.
Lead stories
Rockets vs . Pistons NBA Rivals Week 2026 prediction , odds , pick
Rockets vs . Pistons NBA Rivals Week 2026 prediction , odds , pick. Summer Walker announces Still Finally Over It arena tour. grok down : Grok outage map and affected US cities list : Grok down as users report server issue.
Sources: clutchpoints.com, upi.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
B8
Lead market: Highest temperature in Chicago on Jan 23, 2026? - 4° or below leads the desk at 1.0% with $847K traded.
Lead stories
Huge US winter storm to bring crippling snow , sleet and ice from Texas to Boston
Huge US winter storm to bring crippling snow , sleet and ice from Texas to Boston. Huge US winter storm to bring crippling snow , sleet and ice from Texas to Boston. Huge US winter storm to bring crippling snow , sleet and ice from Texas to Boston.
Sources: silive.com, wfmynews2.com, wthr.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
27.0%
Sources: news.webindia123.com, newkerala.com, express.co.uk
House passes $1 . 2T in government spending bills , sending them to Senate
House passes $1 . 2T in government spending bills , sending them to Senate. House passes $1 . 2T in government spending bills , sending them to Senate. The Federal Reserve Is Still Dealing With The Shutdown Data Fog.
Sources: wptv.com, wkbw.com, investopedia.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Rick Rieder at 52.0% with $855K traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume & odds: Rick Rieder | 52.0% | $855K
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 9.0% | $401K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 50.0%
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Shut down | 12.0% | $355K
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Top volume & odds: Before 2028 | 36.0% | $134K
Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Democratic Party | 78.0% | $79K
Popular events
8.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $12M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $9M0%
2026 slow growth outlook raises debt concerns : First Capital. FY27 likely to be a year of fiscal restraint after tax breaks in FY26 : Report. The US economy grew faster in the third quarter and most economists didnt see that coming.
Sources: ft.lk, prokerala.com, marketrealist.com
State consolidated fiscal deficit widens 0 . 3 pc to 3 . 3 per cent in FY25 : RBI
State consolidated fiscal deficit widens 0 . 3 pc to 3 . 3 per cent in FY25 : RBI. Israel economy over past 20 years : not a collapse , not a miracle stagnation. We Get Nothing : Trump Shakes Davos with False NATO Claims and a New Greenland Ultimatum.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, ynetnews.com, indianexpress.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps at 3.0% with $376K traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps.
Event leaders
Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?
Top volume & odds: Above $2.80 | 100.0% | $14K
Popular events
Singapore users are flocking to Elon Musk Grok despite deepfake controversy. Fausto Tantillo Bags Second Chip Lead of Series on Main Event Day 1a. Singapore users flocking to Elon Musk Grok despite deepfake controversy.
Sources: straitstimes.com, pokernews.com, thestar.com.my
OpenAI chief Sam Altman plans India visit as AI leaders converge in New Delhi : sources
OpenAI chief Sam Altman plans India visit as AI leaders converge in New Delhi : sources. American versus Chinese LLMs : a Game of Capabilities for Enterprise Adoption. Musk Grok created 3 million sexualized images within days , research says.
Sources: techcrunch.com, zerohedge.com, japantimes.co.jp
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Best AI on January 24th? - ChatGPT at 1.0% with $119K traded.
Liquidity centers on Before 2027.
Event leaders
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: grok-4.1-thinking | 2.0% | $17K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 97.0%
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 14.0% | $16K
Top volume & odds: Gemini | 97.0% | $10K
Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?
Top volume & odds: OpenAI | 95.0% | $5K
Popular events
Sources: theshillongtimes.com, ok.co.uk, forbes.com
Stranger Things , Heated Rivalry Rule December Top TV Songs Chart
Stranger Things , Heated Rivalry Rule December Top TV Songs Chart. 8 Lingering Questions I Have After the Stranger Thing Series Finale. MLB teams unveil atrocious Stranger Thing hats for 2026 season.
Sources: billboard.com, collider.com, thebiglead.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Oscar for Best Picture? - Sinners at 23.0% with $90K traded.
Liquidity centers on Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? - Yes.
Event leaders
Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?) | 17.0% | $38K
Popular events
Sources: cointelegraph.com, cointelegraph.com, benzinga.com
Blazpay Accelerates Crypto Presale 2026 Momentum as WAX ( WAXP )
Blazpay Accelerates Crypto Presale 2026 Momentum as WAX ( WAXP ). Why LiquidChain Is the Gold Standard for Connecting BTC , ETH , and SOL. Free Spins No Deposit Bonus Casino Canada | No Deposit Casino Ontario By Cafe Casino.
Sources: openpr.com, partners.coinspeaker.com, manilatimes.net
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by How high will Bitcoin get in January? - Above $100,000.00 at 6.0% with $64K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before February 2026.
Lead event
How high will Bitcoin get in January? - Above $100,000.00
Trading at 6.0% with $64K in volume.
Event leaders
How high will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $100,000.00 | 6.0% | $64K
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 1.0% | $41K
Top odds: Before June 2026 | 12.0%
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 6.0% | $30K
Top odds: Before July 2026 | 68.0%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Top volume & odds: Above $200000 | 14.0% | $10K
How high will Solana get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $150.00 | 7.0% | $6K
Kings vs . Cavaliers Prediction , Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Friday , Jan . 23. Cavaliers vs . Kings Injury Report – Jan . 23 | FOX Sports AM 1280. Cavaliers vs . Kings Injury Report – Jan . 23 | Fox Sports 1340 WNCO.
Sources: si.com, foxsportsam1280.iheart.com, wncoam.iheart.com
Suns vs . Hawks Time , TV & Stream – Jan . 23 | Fox Sports 1350 AM
Suns vs . Hawks Time , TV & Stream – Jan . 23 | Fox Sports 1350 AM. Suns vs . Hawks Injury Report – Jan . 23 | Fox Sports 1350 AM. Map Shows Airports to Be Hit by Winter Storm Impacts.
Sources: foxsportsabq.iheart.com, foxsportsabq.iheart.com, newsweek.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Detroit at 25.0% with $4M traded.
Liquidity centers on Pro Football Champion? - San Francisco.
Event leaders
Top volume & odds: Phoenix | 63.0% | $2M
Top volume & odds: Lorenzo Musetti | 79.0% | $1M
Popular events
How much snow will winter storm drop on Elmira , Corning ? See projections. NYC snowstorm is approaching : These maps show potential snow totals. As states brace for major storm , here what to expect in Fort Collins.
Sources: yahoo.com, silive.com, yahoo.com
Major storm coming to DC , VA , MD . How much snow are we getting ?
Major storm coming to DC , VA , MD . How much snow are we getting ?. Crippling winter storm carries ice , snow . See latest forecast maps .. Winter storm live updates : At least 15 states declare state of emergency.
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Highest temperature in Chicago on Jan 23, 2026? - 4° or below at 1.0% with $847K traded.
Liquidity centers on Highest temperature in Chicago on Jan 23, 2026? - 4° or below.
Lead event
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jan 23, 2026? - 4° or below
Trading at 1.0% with $847K in volume.
Event leaders
Highest temperature in Chicago on Jan 23, 2026?
Top volume: 4° or below | 1.0% | $847K
Top odds: 7° to 8° | 100.0%
Snow in New York City from Jan 24–26?
Top volume: Above 12.0 inches | 45.0% | $126K
Top odds: Above 2.0 inches | 98.0%
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 10.0 inches | 81.0% | $46K
Top odds: Above 3.0 inches | 100.0%
+$6,979
+$4,146
+$3,955
Kalshi via Jupiter
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