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News Meets Markets
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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $50M across outcomes, with $3M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 51.0%, with top volume on "Judy Shelton" at 3.0% and $840K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in Jan 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Fed maintains rate" at 98.0%, with top volume on "Cut 25bps" at 3.0% and $554K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
$3M
Highest implied
Pro Football Champion? - San Francisco
100.0%
Most liquid
Pro Football Champion? - San Francisco
$8M
Volume leaders
$3M
41.0%
$2M
4.0%
$2M
62.0%
Liquidity watch
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton leads the desk at 3.0% with $840K traded.
Lead stories
Can Trump Fire Lisa Cook ? What the Supreme Court Will Consider
Can Trump Fire Lisa Cook ? What the Supreme Court Will Consider. Trump says he may be down to one candidate to head the Fed. Trump says he may be down to one candidate to head the Fed.
Sources: bloomberg.com, yahoo.com, marketscreener.com
What we know about Trump framework of a future deal over Greenland
What we know about Trump framework of a future deal over Greenland. Trump claims US gave Greenland back to Denmark . Why he is wrong – Firstpost. Trump stated reasons for wanting Greenland are wrong – but tactics fit with plan to limit China economic interests.
B2
Daily nominee and control markets, updated with the tape.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $41M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps leads the desk at 3.0% with $554K traded.
Lead stories
Can Trump Fire Lisa Cook ? What the Supreme Court Will Consider
Can Trump Fire Lisa Cook ? What the Supreme Court Will Consider. Fed expected to hold rates through March , and possibly through Powell tenure , on strong growth. Supreme Court seems inclined to keep Lisa Cook on Fed board.
Sources: bloomberg.com, theglobeandmail.com, baltimoresun.com
FxWirePro : GBP / NZD remains weak , eyes 2 . 2900 level
FxWirePro : GBP / NZD remains weak , eyes 2 . 2900 level. Consumers spent more , saved less in November as inflation rose to 2 . 8 %. Consumers spent more , saved less in November as inflation rose to 2 . 8 %.
B4
Lead market: Best AI on January 24th? - ChatGPT leads the desk at 1.0% with $60K traded.
Lead stories
SpaceX Orbital AI Gambit Accelerates IPO Push
SpaceX Orbital AI Gambit Accelerates IPO Push. Nvidia , Jeff Bezos join AI startup Humans & $480m seed round. Gemini Ad - Free Stance Challenges OpenAI Revenue Push.
Sources: webpronews.com, dealstreetasia.com, webpronews.com
Anthropic Enterprise AI Gambit : Amodei Bets Big on Reliability Over Hype
Anthropic Enterprise AI Gambit : Amodei Bets Big on Reliability Over Hype. AI boss says chip sales to China like selling nuclear weapons to North Korea. Anthropic Revenue Run Rate Tops $9 Billion as VCs Pile In.
Sources:
B5
Lead market: Oscar nominations for Best Director? - Chloé Zhao leads the desk at 75.0% with $125K traded.
Lead stories
Diane Warren 17 Oscar Nominations for Best Original Song
Diane Warren 17 Oscar Nominations for Best Original Song. Oscars 2026 : The biggest surprises out of the nominations list. Irish stars Jessie Buckley and Paul Mescal tipped for Oscar nominations.
Sources: billboard.com, mashable.com, irishmirror.ie
best Stranger Things quotes : 25 Stranger Things Quotes that defined a generation : From Mouthbreather to Keep the do.... Pluribus Finale Hits Nielsen Streaming High With 483 Million Minutes. Stranger Things , Pluribu : Streaming Ratings Dec . 22 - 28 , 2025.
B6
Lead market: Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $90,000 or above leads the desk at 40.0% with $101K traded.
Lead stories
Wall Street in turn is hit by Trump threats
Wall Street in turn is hit by Trump threats. Here Are Tuesday Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls : Chevron , Domino Pizza , Doximity , Exact Sciences , Intel.... Grayscale Files for Near Protocol ETF.
Sources: marketscreener.com, finance.yahoo.com, insidebitcoins.com
Is Bitcoin Selling Off On Quantum Fears ? A Reality Check
Is Bitcoin Selling Off On Quantum Fears ? A Reality Check. Bitcoin loses 25 , 000 crypto millionaires one year into Trump presidency. Bitcoin To $80 , 000 ? Analyst Warns Of Potential Free Fall.
B7
Lead market: Toronto leads the desk at 41.0% with $3M traded.
Lead stories
Raptors vs Kings Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game
Raptors vs Kings Prediction , Picks & Odds for Tonight NBA Game. Raptors vs . Kings Injury Report – Jan . 21 | FOX Sports AM 1280. Raptors Battle Kings on January 21 Gameday.
Sources: covers.com, foxsportsam1280.iheart.com, el-balad.com
OKC Thunder Forced Into Major Changes in Starting Lineup vs . Bucks
OKC Thunder Forced Into Major Changes in Starting Lineup vs . Bucks. Thunder vs . Bucks FREE LIVE STREAM ( 1 / 21 / 26 ): How to watch NBA game online. What to Watch For As Short Handed OKC Thunder Battle Bucks.
Sources:
B8
Lead market: Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 10.0 inches leads the desk at 73.0% with $41K traded.
Lead stories
Snow predicted in Virginia this week . Will it impact Petersburg area ?
Snow predicted in Virginia this week . Will it impact Petersburg area ?. Snow storm brewing this week could be most impactful of the winter. Ted Cruz seen on flight to California ahead of winter storm in Texas.
Snow In The Sunshine State : Florida City Sees Rare Snowfall For Second Year In A Row
Snow In The Sunshine State : Florida City Sees Rare Snowfall For Second Year In A Row.
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
27.0%
Sources: bbc.com, firstpost.com, japantoday.com
greenland news : Why did Donald Trump rule out Greenland invasion ? US President explains military limits , NATO talk.... By suddenly declaring a deal on Greenland , Trump demolished his case for owning it. Trump mixes up Greenland and Iceland four times in Davos speech on NATO and Arctic issues.
Sources: economictimes.indiatimes.com, cbc.ca, news.meaww.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton at 3.0% with $840K traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Judy Shelton | 3.0% | $840K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 51.0%
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Top volume & odds: Before January 21, 2029 | 59.0% | $418K
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Top volume: Before May 1, 2026 | 11.0% | $414K
Top odds: Before January 20, 2029 | 44.0%
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 6.0% | $274K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 43.0%
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Shut down | 12.0% | $268K
8.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $12M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $8M0%
Sources: econotimes.com, upi.com, upi.com
Kazakhstan set to boost economy real sector with financial support
Kazakhstan set to boost economy real sector with financial support. Trump sees the EU for the bully it is : Macron wants to pretend like Europe is treated unjustly. World Bank ups Zimbabwe growth forecast to 5 %.
Sources: trend.az, freerepublic.com, bulawayo24.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps at 3.0% with $554K traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps.
Event leaders
Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above $2.90 | 29.0% | $10K
Top odds: Above $2.75 | 99.0%
Popular events
AI startup OpenEvidence doubles valuation to $12B in latest funding round
AI startup OpenEvidence doubles valuation to $12B in latest funding round. AI boss says Nvidia chip sales to China like selling nuclear weapons to North Korea. Nvidia boss sees trillion in AI spending ahead.
Sources: nypost.com, the-independent.com, economictimes.indiatimes.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Best AI on January 24th? - ChatGPT at 1.0% with $60K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Tesla launch unsupervised FSD? - Before 2026.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 14.0% | $18K
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: gpt-5.2 | 1.0% | $7K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 97.0%
When will Tesla launch unsupervised FSD?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 59.0% | $6K
Popular events
Fake VIP Passes Sold For Trump Davos Venue , Organisers Warn Billionaires | World News
Fake VIP Passes Sold For Trump Davos Venue , Organisers Warn Billionaires | World News. WEF Davos 2026 : How scammers are targeting attendees with fake USA House passes – Firstpost. Softball earns more preseason recognition.
Sources: news18.com, firstpost.com, klll.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Oscar nominations for Best Director? - Chloé Zhao at 75.0% with $125K traded.
Liquidity centers on Oscar nominations for Best Director? - Chloé Zhao.
Event leaders
Oscar nominations for Best Director?
Top volume: Chloé Zhao | 75.0% | $125K
Top odds: Paul Thomas Anderson | 100.0%
Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?) | 15.0% | $74K
Top Song on Weekly Top Songs USA on Jan 22, 2026?
Top volume: End of Beginning | 3.0% | $65K
Top odds: I Just Might | 99.0%
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?
Top volume: Dwayne Johnson | 3.0% | $39K
Top odds: Timothée Chalamet | 100.0%
Sources: newsbtc.com, arabianbusiness.com, newsbtc.com
Here Are Wednesday Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls : Alibaba , Applied Digital , ARM Holdings , FedEx , Flutte.... 01 Quantum Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Results and Provides an Update on Business Developments.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, cantechletter.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $90,000 or above at 40.0% with $101K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before February 2026.
Lead event
Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $90,000 or above
Trading at 40.0% with $101K in volume.
Event leaders
Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Top volume: $90,000 or above | 40.0% | $101K
Top odds: $85,000 or above | 100.0%
How high will Bitcoin get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $100,000.00 | 9.0% | $50K
Ethereum price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Top volume: $3,100 or above | 5.0% | $28K
Top odds: $2,340 or above | 100.0%
Top volume: Before April 2026 | 6.0% | $26K
Top odds: Before June 2026 | 13.0%
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Top volume & odds: Above $99999.99 | 79.0% | $18K
The 2026 Greater LA Homeless Count is underway as city , county rethinks roles and funding
The 2026 Greater LA Homeless Count is underway as city , county rethinks roles and funding. Daughter of LA mayoral candidate Austin Beutner dies at 22. Judge extreme and bizarre comments lead to ethics investigation , reversal of $10M jury verdict.
Sources: dailybreeze.com, foxla.com, abajournal.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by Toronto at 41.0% with $3M traded.
Liquidity centers on Pro Football Champion? - San Francisco.
Event leaders
Los Angeles L at Los Angeles C
Top volume: Los Angeles L | 49.0% | $568K
Top odds: Los Angeles C | 52.0%
Popular events
Sources: news18.com
Florida Panthers lose 9 - 1 to Carolina Hurricanes in game after White House visit
Florida Panthers lose 9 - 1 to Carolina Hurricanes in game after White House visit.
Sources: russianmachineneverbreaks.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 10.0 inches at 73.0% with $41K traded.
Liquidity centers on Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 10.0 inches.
Lead event
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026? - Above 10.0 inches
Trading at 73.0% with $41K in volume.
Event leaders
Snow in New York City in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 10.0 inches | 73.0% | $41K
Top odds: Above 3.0 inches | 98.0%
+$6,979
+$4,146
+$3,955
Kalshi via Jupiter
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