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Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Building the fresh edition...
Loading Lead Story
Digital edition - updates daily
News Meets Markets
Lead Story
Markets are repricing around "Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?" Event volume totals $44M across outcomes, with $2M traded in the last 24 hours. Highest implied odds are for "Kevin Warsh" at 63.0%, with top volume on "Michelle Bowman" at 2.0% and $481K 24h volume.
Leading economic event: "Fed decision in Jan 2026?" Highest implied odds are for "Fed maintains rate" at 97.0%, with top volume on "Cut 25bps" at 4.0% and $237K 24h volume. More on Economics Desk.
Markets at a glance
Most traded
College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana - Miami (FL)
$18M
Highest implied
Pro Football Champion? - San Francisco
100.0%
Most liquid
College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana - Miami (FL)
$24M
Volume leaders
Liquidity watch
B1
Lead market: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman leads the desk at 2.0% with $481K traded.
Lead stories
Hassett Says Trump May Be Right to Keep Him Out as Fed Chair
Hassett Says Trump May Be Right to Keep Him Out as Fed Chair. AP Source : Fed Chair Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case. AP Source : Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case.
Sources: bloomberg.com, clickondetroit.com, pilotonline.com
Iran pres . warns of all - out war if U . S . strikes Ayatollah
Iran pres . warns of all - out war if U . S . strikes Ayatollah. Aggression towards Khamenei would lead to all - out war : Iran president warning to the US. Trump may attempt to kill Iran supreme leader in coming weeks : Ex - US ambassador.
B2
Awaiting market data for Portugal president.
Democratic nominee
Event volume $41M0%
B3
Lead market: Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps leads the desk at 4.0% with $237K traded.
Lead stories
Fed Chair Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook firing
Fed Chair Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook firing. AP Source : Fed Chair Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case. AP Source : Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case.
Sources: kmbc.com, clickondetroit.com, pilotonline.com
AP Source : Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case
AP Source : Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case. AP Source : Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case. AP Source : Fed Chair Powell to attend Supreme Court argument on Cook case.
B4
Lead market: Before 2027 leads the desk at 15.0% with $61K traded.
Lead stories
Sequoia to Join Funding Round for AI Startup Anthropic , FT Says
Sequoia to Join Funding Round for AI Startup Anthropic , FT Says. Sequoia Capital To Join $25 Billion Funding Round for Anthropic , After OpenAI , xAI : Report - Alphabet ( NASDAQ : G.... Kelly Evans : Hello , Gemini.
Sources: bloomberg.com, benzinga.com, cnbc.com
The Biggest EdTech Conference In The World Returns With A Focus On AI
The Biggest EdTech Conference In The World Returns With A Focus On AI.
B5
Lead market: Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? - Yes leads the desk at 12.0% with $35K traded.
Lead stories
Exclusive | Winona Ryder Stranger Thing stunt double reveals she didnt know key scene before filming
Exclusive | Winona Ryder Stranger Thing stunt double reveals she didnt know key scene before filming. A Decade Later , Netflix First Sci - Fi Hit Is Still a Global Obsession but Will It Ever Find a Replacement ?. Stranger Things Season 5 Could Have an Even Bigger Controversy On Their Hands.
Sources: nypost.com, collider.com, gamerant.com
25th MLK Jr . Social Justice Lecture & Award
25th MLK Jr . Social Justice Lecture & Award. Why Hedda , Roofman , and F1 Could Still Crash the Oscar PartyFilmmaker Magazine. Oscar Nomination Predictions 2026 : Sinners , One Battle Lead.
B6
Lead market: Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $90,000 or above leads the desk at 22.0% with $43K traded.
Lead stories
Trump imposes tariffs on eight European countries over Greenland - Newsquawk European Opening News
Trump imposes tariffs on eight European countries over Greenland - Newsquawk European Opening News.
Sources: zerohedge.com
American traders stall Bitcoin rally
American traders stall Bitcoin rally. Should You Forget Bitcoin and Buy XRP Instead ?. Bitcoin Miners are Losing $8 , 000 for Each BTC Mined , Hashrate Drops.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, finance.yahoo.com,
B7
Lead market: College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana - Miami (FL) leads the desk at 16.0% with $18M traded.
Lead stories
What channel is Indiana vs . Miami on ? Start time and broadcast info for CFP Final
What channel is Indiana vs . Miami on ? Start time and broadcast info for CFP Final. Why does Fernando Mendoza talk like that ? For Indiana star QB , it all part of the plan. Miami vs Indiana Best Bets , Predictions & Picks for Tonight National Championship Game.
Sources: nytimes.com, nytimes.com, covers.com
Miami vs . Indiana - National Title Game Picks & Prediction
Miami vs . Indiana - National Title Game Picks & Prediction. bet365 bonus code NYPBET : Bet $5 , get $200 in bonus bets for Miami vs . Indiana. FanDuel Promo Code : Get $300 Bonus Bets for College Football National Championship.
B8
Lead market: Highest temperature in NYC on Jan 20, 2026? - 22° to 23° leads the desk at 1.0% with $355K traded.
Lead stories
Here how much snow NY , NJ should expect this weekend
Here how much snow NY , NJ should expect this weekend. Forecasters tracking two chances for snow this weekend in NYC area.
Sources: fox5ny.com, yahoo.com
Florida Panthers lose 9 - 1 to Carolina Hurricanes in game after White House visit
Florida Panthers lose 9 - 1 to Carolina Hurricanes in game after White House visit.
Sources: russianmachineneverbreaks.com
B9
Top traders PnL across major prediction market sites.
Kalshi via Jupiter
Kalshi via Jupiter
$14M
85.0%
Sources: oann.com, hindustantimes.com, pakobserver.net
Tanzania President expresses regret over election internet shutdown – Channel Africa
Tanzania President expresses regret over election internet shutdown – Channel Africa. Latest News In Nigeria , Nigeria News Today , Your Online Nigerian Newspaper. FinancialContent - American Resilience : Surprise November Retail Surge Defies Shutdown and Sets High Bar for 2026.
Sources: channelafrica.co.za, nigerianeye.com, markets.financialcontent.com
Market wrap
Politics Desk is led by Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman at 2.0% with $481K traded.
Liquidity centers on Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Judy Shelton.
Lead event
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? - Michelle Bowman
Trading at 2.0% with $481K in volume.
Event leaders
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Top volume: Michelle Bowman | 2.0% | $481K
Top odds: Kevin Warsh | 63.0%
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Top volume: Before February 1, 2026 | 7.0% | $303K
Top odds: Before September 1, 2026 | 49.0%
Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?
Top volume & odds: Shut down | 22.0% | $181K
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Top volume: Before May 1, 2026 | 13.0% | $125K
Top odds: Before January 20, 2029 | 43.0%
Democratic nominee for President in 2028?
Top volume: Josh Shapiro | 8.0% | $116K
Top odds: Gavin Newsom | 35.0%
Popular events
8.0%
0.0pp
$2M
0%
Republican nominee
Event volume $12M0%
Presidential election
Event volume $8M0%
Sources: dailynews.com, thetimes-tribune.com, wsbradio.com
Costco quietly makes a major credit card change members love
Costco quietly makes a major credit card change members love. Polar Vortex Sends Natural Gas Prices Soaring 25 Percent. Trump admin urges judge to reject Minnesota attempt to stop ICE.
Sources: finance.yahoo.com, theepochtimes.com, sandiegouniontribune.com
Market wrap
Economics Desk is led by Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps at 4.0% with $237K traded.
Liquidity centers on Fed decision in Jan 2026? - Cut 25bps.
Event leaders
Fed funds rate after Jan 2026 meeting?
Top volume: Above 3.50% | 98.0% | $62K
Top odds: Above 3.25% | 100.0%
Gas prices in the US in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above $2.80 | 73.0% | $42K
Top odds: Above $2.70 | 99.0%
More tech layoffs in 2025 than in 2024?
Top volume & odds: Up in 2025 | 96.0% | $11K
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros?
Top volume: Before March | 9.0% | $8K
Top odds: Before December | 28.0%
Popular events
Sources: forbes.com
€1 , 650 Main Event Moves on to Day 1b
€1 , 650 Main Event Moves on to Day 1b. Insider Report : Buying in an AI penny stock play that up 48 % in 2026.
Sources: pokernews.com, theglobeandmail.com
Market wrap
Tech Desk is led by Before 2027 at 15.0% with $61K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Tesla launch unsupervised FSD? - Before 2026.
Event leaders
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 15.0% | $61K
What will be the top AI model in Jan 2026?
Top volume: gpt-5.2 | 2.0% | $7K
Top odds: gemini-3-pro | 96.0%
Top volume & odds: Gemini | 57.0% | $3K
When will Tesla launch unsupervised FSD?
Top volume & odds: Before 2027 | 58.0% | $3K
Popular events
Sources: penntoday.upenn.edu, filmmakermagazine.com, thewrap.com
Oscar nominations 2026 : See who is revealing this year nominees
Oscar nominations 2026 : See who is revealing this year nominees. Oscar nominations 2026 : See who is revealing this year nominees. Warner hits Sinner and One Battle tipped for Oscar nominations.
Sources: abc11.com, abc7.com, freemalaysiatoday.com
Market wrap
Culture Desk is led by Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? - Yes at 12.0% with $35K traded.
Liquidity centers on Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? - Yes.
Lead event
Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year? - Yes
Trading at 12.0% with $35K in volume.
Event leaders
Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?
Top volume & odds: Yes (Will Stranger Things release a new episode this year?) | 12.0% | $35K
How many launches will SpaceX have in Jan 2026?
Top volume: Above 12 | 48.0% | $28K
Top odds: Above 10 | 97.0%
How many album sales will A$AP Rocky's Don't Be Dumb have on the chart dated Jan 23rd?
Top volume: At least 120,000 albums | 5.0% | $28K
Top odds: At least 20,000 albums | 100.0%
Popular events
Bitcoin $92K Drop Resets Leverage , Clears Unhealthy Investor Optimism
Bitcoin $92K Drop Resets Leverage , Clears Unhealthy Investor Optimism. Leverage Decay Forced MSTU 91 % Plunge. Bitcoin Price Prediction : BTC Price Eyes $97K as Bullish Trendline and Liquidity Sweep Signal Rebound.
Sources: cointelegraph.com, finance.yahoo.com, bravenewcoin.com
Market wrap
Crypto Desk is led by Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $90,000 or above at 22.0% with $43K traded.
Liquidity centers on When will Bitcoin hit $150k? - Before January 2026.
Lead event
Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST? - $90,000 or above
Trading at 22.0% with $43K in volume.
Event leaders
Bitcoin price on Jan 23, 2026 at 5pm EST?
Top volume: $90,000 or above | 22.0% | $43K
Top odds: $83,000 or above | 96.0%
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 2.0% | $37K
Top odds: Before June 2026 | 14.0%
Will Bitcoin be above $200k by 2027?
Top volume & odds: Above $200000 | 15.0% | $25K
When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?
Top volume: Before February 2026 | 8.0% | $19K
Top odds: Before July 2026 | 67.0%
How high will Solana get in January?
Top volume & odds: Above $150.00 | 14.0% | $19K
Sources: thespread.com, nypost.com, covers.com
CFP National Championship Game : Miami Hurricanes Vs Indiana Hoosiers Live Game Discussion & Game Information. DraftKings College Football Promos : Claim $300 Bonus for National Championship. Why is Donald Trump at CFP national championship ? President attending Indiana vs Miami.
Sources: thephinsider.com, covers.com, aol.com
Market wrap
Sports Desk is led by College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana - Miami (FL) at 16.0% with $18M traded.
Liquidity centers on College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana - Miami (FL).
Lead event
College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana - Miami (FL)
Trading at 16.0% with $18M in volume.
Event leaders
College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana
Top volume: Miami (FL) | 16.0% | $18M
Top odds: Indiana | 85.0%
Top volume: Indiana wins by over 7.5 points | 64.0% | $7M
Top odds: Indiana wins by over 2.5 points | 84.0%
College Football Combo: Miami (FL) vs Indiana
Top volume: IND wins & Over 48.5 points | 7.0% | $2M
Top odds: IND wins & Under 48.5 points | 84.0%
Miami (FL) at Indiana: Total Points
Top volume: Over 45.5 points scored | 11.0% | $2M
Top odds: Over 36.5 points scored | 34.0%
College Football Combo: Miami (FL) at Indiana
Top volume: IND -7.5 & Over 48.5 points | 5.0% | $1M
Top odds: IND -7.5 & Under 48.5 points | 70.0%
Veteran Meteorologist Nick Patrick joins WAND. California Sierra Nevada Could Get Over 5 Feet of Snow This Week.
Sources: wandtv.com, theinertia.com
Market wrap
Climate Desk is led by Highest temperature in NYC on Jan 20, 2026? - 22° to 23° at 1.0% with $355K traded.
Liquidity centers on Highest temperature in NYC on Jan 20, 2026? - 22° to 23°.
Lead event
Highest temperature in NYC on Jan 20, 2026? - 22° to 23°
Trading at 1.0% with $355K in volume.
Event leaders
Highest temperature in NYC on Jan 20, 2026?
Top volume: 22° to 23° | 1.0% | $355K
Top odds: 26° to 27° | 100.0%
+$6,979
+$4,146
+$3,955
Kalshi via Jupiter
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